ADM Shares Dip Ahead of Ex-Dividend Date
Shares of Archer Daniels Midland Co. (ADM.N) declined by approximately 0.4% today, reflecting a broader trend in the market as investors prepare for the upcoming ex-dividend date. The stock crossed below its 5-day simple moving average (SMA), indicating a potential shift in momentum towards bearish sentiment. This technical breakdown comes as ADM is set to trade ex-dividend on November 19, 2025, with a dividend of $0.51 scheduled for payment on December 11, 2025. Analysts expect shares to open about 0.87% lower following the ex-dividend date, suggesting that the market is pricing in the dividend adjustment. The recent performance aligns with a cautious outlook as investors weigh dividend yields against current trading conditions.
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Market Performance: Consumer staples stocks have experienced a significant rally in 2026, indicating strong market performance in this sector.
Investment Opportunities: Despite the rally making it challenging to find undervalued stocks, there are still investment opportunities available for those willing to search.
- Cargo Volume Decline: The Port of Los Angeles processed approximately 812,000 TEUs in January, reflecting a 12% year-over-year decline, indicating that unfulfilled commitments from the U.S.-China trade deal have severely impacted agricultural exports and overall port performance.
- Soybean Export Struggles: Exports of soybeans from the Port to China plummeted by 80% last year, and despite President Trump's announcement of potential additional purchases of 8 million metric tons, no improvements have been observed, highlighting the diminishing competitiveness of U.S. agricultural products in global markets.
- Falling Freight Rates: The decrease in container volumes has led to an 11.5% drop in ocean freight rates over the past month, with rates in the mid-low market segment falling by over 18%, prompting carriers to implement aggressive capacity management strategies, which may result in canceled sailings and further supply chain disruptions.
- Southeast Asia Import Growth: While imports from China have declined, containerized imports from Vietnam, Thailand, and Indonesia increased by 17.8%, 36.5%, and 18% respectively, indicating a diversification trend in U.S. import sources that partially offsets the decrease in Chinese imports.
- Investor Patience: Investors focusing on reliable dividend payers have needed to be patient recently.
- Market Performance in 2026: In 2026, this patience is rewarded as companies like Caterpillar, Exxon Mobil, and Clorox achieve returns exceeding 25%.
- Director Buy Signal: Archer Daniels Midland's director David R. McAtee II made a significant stock purchase totaling $486.7K over the past six months at an average cost of $64.90/share, indicating his confidence in the company's future and suggesting the stock may be undervalued.
- Stock Performance: As of the latest trading session, ADM shares are priced at $68.32, reflecting a 1.2% increase from the previous day and nearing its 52-week high of $69.75, which indicates optimistic market sentiment regarding the company's prospects.
- Dividend Yield: The current annualized dividend for ADM stands at $2.08/share, paid quarterly, with the next ex-dividend date on February 17, 2026, resulting in an approximate yield of 3.1%, showcasing the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders.
- Long-term Dividend History: ADM's long-term dividend history chart provides investors with insights into the sustainability of its recent dividend payments, further bolstering investor confidence in the stock's reliability.
- Market Decline: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.84%, the Dow Jones by 0.34%, and the Nasdaq 100 by 1.55%, indicating a sharp sell-off after reaching record highs, which negatively impacted investor sentiment.
- Tech Sector Retreat: Data service and software stocks plummeted following the release of an automation tool by AI firm Anthropic, with Thomson Reuters and EPAM Systems down over 15% and 13% respectively, reflecting a loss of confidence in tech stocks.
- Precious Metals Rally: Gold prices surged over 6% and silver over 8%, leading to gains in mining stocks, with Hecla Mining and Freeport McMoRan rising more than 8% and 6% respectively, indicating increased demand for safe-haven assets.
- Economic Outlook Improvement: Richmond Fed President noted an improving US economic outlook despite ongoing risks, with markets focusing on upcoming economic data and the passage of a spending bill to gauge future economic trends.
- Financial Performance: ADM reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.87 for Q4 2025 and $3.43 for the full year, demonstrating robust performance with a total segment operating profit of $821 million, reflecting strong cash flow management amid market challenges.
- Cost-Saving Initiatives: The company executed over 20 projects as part of portfolio optimization, resulting in approximately $200 million in cost savings, while also restoring Decatur East operations and achieving the lowest injury rate in its history, highlighting a dual focus on safety and efficiency.
- Future Outlook: ADM's outlook for adjusted EPS in 2026 is projected between $3.60 and $4.25, indicating confidence in future growth despite ongoing market fluidity and policy uncertainties, emphasizing disciplined capital allocation strategies.
- Strategic Focus: The company is concentrating on five key areas including enhanced nutrition, biosolutions, precision fermentation, and decarbonization, introducing innovations like allergen-free pea protein, aiming to capture market opportunities and drive long-term growth through sustained investment.











