Should You Buy Archer-Daniels-Midland Co (ADM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
ADM is not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor who wants to act immediately. The stock is trading around ~$68.8 pre-market, which is ABOVE most recent Wall Street price targets ($50–$60) while technicals are overbought and momentum is starting to cool. With earnings (QDEC 2025) on 2026-02-03 and recent SEC settlement headlines, the risk/reward at this level is unfavorable—avoid new buying and reduce/exit if already owned.
Technical Analysis
Trend is bullish but stretched. Moving averages are positive (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), confirming an uptrend. However RSI_6 is ~77.4 (overbought/extended), suggesting near-term upside may be limited. MACD histogram is positive (0.528) but ‘positively contracting,’ implying bullish momentum is weakening. Price is also above R1 (~68.07) and pushing toward R2 (~69.59); buying here is effectively buying near resistance rather than support (pivot ~65.61).
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent analyst trend is negative: multiple firms have Underweight/Underperform calls with price targets clustered well below the current price—JPMorgan Underweight (PT ~$60, raised slightly from $59), BofA Underperform (PT $57), Morgan Stanley Underweight (PT $50), and JPMorgan previously cut to PT $59. Wall Street ‘pros’ view: potential improvement in parts of the ag environment into 2026, but the dominant ‘cons’ are margin/headwind concerns (including Carbohydrate Solutions), policy/renewables-related uncertainty, and an unfavorable setup at current levels. Overall, sell-side positioning does not support buying at ~$69.
Wall Street analysts forecast ADM stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ADM is 56.8 USD with a low forecast of 50 USD and a high forecast of 61 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast ADM stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ADM is 56.8 USD with a low forecast of 50 USD and a high forecast of 61 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 67.400
Current: 67.400
