Should I Buy Archer-Daniels-Midland Co Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ADM has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
ADM stock price ended at $50.13 on Friday, after rising 2.6%
The Archer-Daniels-Midland Co stock price increased by 2.6% on the last trading day (16 May 2025), rising from 48.91 to 50.13. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.92% , ranging from a day low of $48.73 to a day high of 50.155. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 4.76% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -950.15K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 3.23M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 161.07M.
ADM Technical Signals
ADM(Archer-Daniels-Midland Co Corp) has 4 buy signals and 1 sell signal now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-13. The total price change during this trend is -1.10%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of ADM over the last 5 trading days is 192.43M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
ADM Moving Average Analysis
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Monday, May 19, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $51.769040000000004, and $53.404. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $46.47896, and $44.844. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
ADM Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Archer-Daniels-Midland Co(ADM) as of 12 May 2025 is 22.01%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 48.53 to 49.90. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
1
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
2.336
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
2.28
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.716
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 5-day SMA
--
Bullish
1 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
128.566
Bearish
ADM Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Archer-Daniels-Midland Co(ADM), our algorithm predicts ADM's 1-month price at $50.44, with an 0.62%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 97.12%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Archer-Daniels-Midland Co (ADM.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a 0.62% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with RSG.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.12%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
ADM
No Data
RSG
Up: 0.62%Similarity: 97.12%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
RSG.N
97.12%
+0.62%
RBLX.N
96.86%
-13.76%
BAX.N
96.81%
+3.14%
LVS.N
96.80%
+1.08%
CIO.N
96.78%
+1.24%
LKFN.O
96.76%
+2.35%
FRGE.N
96.75%
-49.32%
CRVL.O
96.74%
+18.28%
JBTM.N
96.59%
+17.95%
ADM Seasonality Analysis
Based on ADM's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is63.64%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in ADM. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Archer-Daniels-Midland Co (ADM.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while January has the lowest probability (36.36%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. (ADM)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
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