Yelp Now Offers August 2026 Options
Put Contract Overview: The $30.00 put contract for YELP has a bid of 80 cents, allowing investors to buy shares at a cost basis of $29.20, which is a 4% discount from the current price of $31.26. There is a 64% chance the contract may expire worthless, offering a potential 2.67% return on cash commitment.
Call Contract Overview: The $33.00 call contract has a bid of $1.30, and if shares are purchased at $31.26 and the call is sold, it could yield a total return of 9.72% if exercised. There is a 48% chance this contract may also expire worthless, providing a potential 4.16% additional return.
Volatility Insights: The implied volatility for the put contract is 37% and for the call contract is 36%, while the actual trailing twelve-month volatility is calculated at 35%.
YieldBoost Concept: Both the put and call contracts offer a "YieldBoost," with the put providing a 3.96% annualized return if it expires worthless, and the call offering a 6.17% annualized return under similar conditions.
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- Share Reduction Details: According to an SEC filing dated February 17, 2026, SMITH THOMAS W reduced its position in Yelp by 96,280 shares during Q4, resulting in a $4.09 million decline in value, reflecting both the sale and stock price changes, indicating a cautious outlook on Yelp's future performance.
- Remaining Stake Proportion: After the reduction, SMITH THOMAS W's remaining stake in Yelp constitutes only 0.22% of its 13F AUM, suggesting a significant loss of confidence in Yelp's investment potential, which may influence market perceptions of the company.
- Top Holdings Analysis: As of February 17, 2026, SMITH THOMAS W's top holdings include CACC valued at $42.08 million (38.9% of AUM), W at $23.81 million (22.0% of AUM), and BTI at $22.51 million (20.8% of AUM), demonstrating a diversified investment strategy and preference for other companies.
- Yelp Market Performance: As of February 17, 2026, Yelp's stock price stood at $20.68, down 45.7% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 by 56.53 percentage points, reflecting the challenges it faces in a competitive market environment.
- Share Reduction Details: SMITH THOMAS W sold 96,280 shares of Yelp in Q4 2026, resulting in a $4.09 million decline in position value, reflecting both stock price fluctuations and the sale itself.
- Asset Management Impact: This transaction represented a 2.75% decrease in the fund's 13F reportable assets under management (AUM), with the remaining Yelp stake now accounting for only 0.22% of AUM, thus falling outside the fund's top five holdings.
- Stock Performance Analysis: As of February 17, 2026, Yelp's stock price stood at $20.68, down 45.7% over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 by 56.53 percentage points, indicating a pessimistic market outlook on its growth potential.
- Business Model Overview: Yelp operates as a leading online platform connecting consumers with local businesses through a mix of advertising and digital solutions, with its scalable business model supported by a large user base and diverse service offerings that drive recurring revenue streams.
- PayPal's Rebound Potential: PayPal shares plummeted in early February due to disappointing results and CEO change, now trading at a high single-digit forward P/E, attracting acquisition rumors that could draw new buyers and boost stock prices.
- Wendy's Strategic Opportunities: Wendy's stock has fallen 50% over the past year, but trades at less than 10 times forward earnings, potentially attracting shareholder activism or buyout interest; if the 'Project Fresh' turnaround plan succeeds, stock prices may recover.
- Yelp's Value Potential: Yelp's shares have dropped 35% in the past year, trading at under 6 times forward earnings; despite AI threats, its $300 million net cash could fund a significant share buyback or acquisition, making it attractive to potential buyers.
- Market Reaction and Investment Opportunities: Amid macroeconomic pressures, tech and finance stocks have generally declined, but stocks that fell due to company-specific negative news may present rebound opportunities for investors, highlighting the importance of identifying undervalued stocks.
- Earnings Growth vs. Market Reaction: First Watch Restaurant Group reported a 20% sales growth in Q4, aligning with Wall Street expectations, while its earnings per share of $0.24 tripled analyst forecasts; however, the stock fell 13%, indicating market concerns over the company's conservative guidance.
- Store and Same-Store Sales Performance: The company increased its store count by 11% and achieved a same-store sales growth of 3.6%, managing to deliver a 0.5% growth in same-store traffic amidst weak consumer spending, showcasing its long-term competitive strength.
- Cautious Future Guidance: Management projected revenue growth of only 12% to 14% for 2026, with same-store sales growth expected to be just 1% to 3%, both lower than 2025's performance; CEO Chris Tomasso emphasized the need for caution across the industry regarding future prospects.
- Unique Operating Model and Employee Satisfaction: First Watch operates exclusively from 7 a.m. to 2:30 p.m., utilizing a single shift, which enhances employee satisfaction, as evidenced by its ranking on Glassdoor's 2026 Best Places to Work in Consumer Services, highlighting its operational advantages.
- Significant Revenue Growth: First Watch achieved a 20% revenue increase in Q4, surpassing Wall Street expectations, with earnings per share of $0.24, tripling analyst forecasts, indicating strong growth potential in a competitive market.
- Negative Market Reaction: Despite strong Q4 performance, the company's conservative guidance for 2026, projecting revenue growth of only 12% to 14% and same-store sales growth of just 1% to 3%, led to a 13% drop in share price post-report, reflecting market unease about future prospects.
- Slower Store Expansion: First Watch's store count grew by 11% over the past year, but the forecast for 2026 indicates a slowdown to 9% growth, contrasting sharply with historical double-digit increases, which may undermine investor confidence in the company's long-term growth trajectory.
- Unique Operating Model: Operating from 7 a.m. to 2:30 p.m. with a single shift enhances employee satisfaction and efficiency, evidenced by First Watch's ranking on Glassdoor's 2026 Best Places to Work in Consumer Services, further solidifying its market position.
- Earnings Beat: Yelp reported Q4 2025 earnings per share of $0.61, exceeding analyst expectations by $0.07, with sales of $359.99 million, surpassing Wall Street's target by $770,000; despite a 0.5% year-over-year sales decline, annual revenue grew approximately 4% to a record $1.46 billion.
- Stock Decline: Despite the strong earnings report, Yelp's stock fell by 8.9%, trading at $20.75 as of 3:45 PM, reflecting investor dissatisfaction with the company's guidance, resulting in a market capitalization of $1.4 billion.
- Weak 2026 Guidance: Yelp's guidance for 2026 projects sales between $1.455 billion and $1.475 billion, indicating flat sales growth compared to last year's mid-single-digit increase, which has dampened market sentiment.
- Declining EBITDA Forecast: Non-GAAP EBITDA is projected to be between $310 million and $330 million, down from $369 million last year; although the company is investing in AI and services to drive growth, meaningful sales growth may not materialize until next year.











