US-Israel-Iran Conflict Weighs on Tech Stocks
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy CSCO?
Source: seekingalpha
- Tech Stocks Decline: The ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict led to a broad decline in tech stocks on Friday, with the Nasdaq Composite falling approximately 1.3%, while both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped nearly 0.9%, reflecting market sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Troop Deployment Consideration: The Pentagon is reportedly considering deploying up to 10,000 additional ground troops to the Middle East to expand President Trump's military options, which could heighten market uncertainty and impact investor confidence.
- Surge in Oil Price Expectations: Oil prices could potentially surge to $200 a barrel if the conflict extends into June and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, a forecast that could have profound implications for the global economy, particularly for energy-dependent sectors.
- Mixed Performance in Chip Stocks: While major AI chipmakers like Nvidia and AMD saw declines, Micron Technology managed to rise about 2%, indicating significant differences in market reactions among companies in the current environment.
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Analyst Views on CSCO
Wall Street analysts forecast CSCO stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 82.160
Low
76.00
Averages
91.30
High
100.00
Current: 82.160
Low
76.00
Averages
91.30
High
100.00
About CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc. designs and sells a range of technologies that power the Internet. The Company is integrating its product portfolios across networking, security, collaboration, applications and cloud. The Company's segments include the Americas; Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMEA), and Asia Pacific, Japan, and China (APJC). Its Networking product category represents its core networking technologies of switching, routing, wireless, fifth generation (5G), silicon, optics solutions and compute products. Its Security product category consists of its cloud and application security, industrial security, network security, and user and device security offerings. Its Collaboration product category consists of its meetings, collaboration devices, calling, contact center and platform as a service (CPaaS) offering. Its Observability product category consists of its full stack observability offerings.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Market Focus: Investors are closely monitoring the potential impact of the Iran war on the U.S. and global economies as they head into the Easter week, reflecting market sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Economic Outlook Volatility: Analysts warn that escalating conflict could lead to rising energy prices, which may affect inflation and consumer spending, thereby negatively impacting economic growth.
- Investment Strategy Adjustments: Investors may reassess their portfolios, considering allocations to safe-haven assets to mitigate potential market volatility and uncertainty, indicating a cautious market sentiment.
- Global Market Interconnection: The ongoing Iran war could trigger a ripple effect across global markets, particularly in countries heavily reliant on energy, prompting investors to stay alert to developments in related sectors.
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- Stock Price Decline: Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO) shares fell 2.8% in the afternoon session, primarily due to escalating geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran, which pushed oil prices above $100 per barrel, shaking investor confidence.
- Market Reaction: Major indices saw significant declines, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones experiencing substantial drops, reflecting market uncertainty about future economic conditions, especially as consumer confidence surveys indicated inflation expectations rising to 3.8%.
- Economic Outlook Concerns: Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin noted that rising oil prices are historically correlated with recessions, which deepens market worries about the economic outlook, particularly in light of the current geopolitical climate.
- Investment Opportunity: Despite the recent drop, Cisco shares have risen 5% since the beginning of the year, currently trading at $79.82, close to the 52-week high of $86.78, suggesting that investors may view the current price fluctuation as an opportunity to buy quality stocks.
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- Energy Stocks Surge: Following the outbreak of war in Iran, energy stocks, particularly fertilizer manufacturers, have shown strong performance, indicating robust market demand that could drive profitability for related companies.
- AWS Growth Acceleration: Amazon's cloud unit AWS is no longer lagging behind Microsoft Azure, thanks to its partnership with Anthropic, with expectations for next quarter's margins to exceed market forecasts, boosting investor confidence.
- Cybersecurity Challenges: CrowdStrike has been affected by turmoil in the software market, but the CEO highlighted the positive impact of AI on cyberattacks, indicating long-term growth potential in the security sector, despite high stock prices.
- Healthcare Sector Risks: Eli Lilly faces pricing pressure from competitor Novo Nordisk, but the company is prepared to counter this by increasing volume, with the upcoming launch of its GLP-1 obesity drug expected to drive growth.
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- Tech Stocks Decline: The ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict led to a broad decline in tech stocks on Friday, with the Nasdaq Composite falling approximately 1.3%, while both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped nearly 0.9%, reflecting market sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Troop Deployment Consideration: The Pentagon is reportedly considering deploying up to 10,000 additional ground troops to the Middle East to expand President Trump's military options, which could heighten market uncertainty and impact investor confidence.
- Surge in Oil Price Expectations: Oil prices could potentially surge to $200 a barrel if the conflict extends into June and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, a forecast that could have profound implications for the global economy, particularly for energy-dependent sectors.
- Mixed Performance in Chip Stocks: While major AI chipmakers like Nvidia and AMD saw declines, Micron Technology managed to rise about 2%, indicating significant differences in market reactions among companies in the current environment.
See More
- Oil Price Surge Impact: Following the U.S. and Israel's attack on Iran, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has led to a 50% increase in Brent crude and a 40% rise in WTI over the past 19 trading sessions, triggering panic in the stock market with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq down over 5%.
- Enterprise Software Stocks Hit: Despite CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks gaining 5.5% and 5% respectively from February 27 to Thursday's close, news of Anthropic testing its powerful AI model caused both to drop over 5% on Friday, highlighting ongoing concerns about AI disruption.
- Cisco Systems' Relative Stability: Cisco saw a 3.4% increase from February 27 to Thursday, remaining slightly positive on Friday, benefiting from the AI buildout boom, although global memory shortages are pressuring costs and margins, underscoring its critical role in data centers.
- Meta and Nike Face Major Losses: Meta has dropped over 17% since the war began due to a jury ruling on negligence regarding user warnings, while Nike is down 16.5% amid concerns over consumer spending and bearish analyst calls, raising doubts about its turnaround prospects.
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- Market Reaction: Cybersecurity stocks experienced a significant decline on Friday, with the iShares Cybersecurity ETF dropping 3% as Anthropic tests its latest AI model, Mythos, raising concerns about potential security risks.
- Stock Performance: Individual stocks suffered heavily, with Zscaler and SentinelOne tumbling over 8%, Tenable plummeting nearly 11%, and both Okta and Netskope falling more than 6%, indicating investor anxiety over the implications of advanced AI technologies.
- Industry Trends: The cybersecurity sector is under pressure from fears of AI disruption, as evidenced by last month's decline following Anthropic's announcement of a new code-scanning security tool, highlighting concerns about the industry's ability to counter increasingly sophisticated attacks.
- Security Threats: Anthropic revealed in November that a state-sponsored group in China used Claude to automate a cyberattack, intensifying the pressure on cybersecurity firms to innovate rapidly in response to evolving threats.
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