Ulta Beauty (ULTA) and Sally Beauty (SBH) Upgraded Amid Growth Expectations for 2026
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 21 2026
0mins
Should l Buy SBH?
Source: seekingalpha
- Market Challenges and Opportunities: The beauty, personal care, and household products sector faces slowing global consumption and structural tariff pressures in 2026, yet restructuring initiatives launched in 2025 are expected to yield positive impacts, helping companies navigate market challenges.
- Rating Upgrades: Raymond James analyst Olivia Tong upgraded Ulta Beauty (ULTA) from Outperform to Strong Buy, anticipating outsized growth in 2026, reflecting the company's success in attracting younger consumers and its effective loyalty programs.
- Sally Beauty's Growth Potential: Tong raised Sally Beauty Holdings (SBH) from Market Perform to Outperform, believing that the 'Sally Ignited' store refresh and partnerships with DoorDash and Uber Eats will enhance customer convenience and drive sales growth.
- Price Target Increases: Tong raised Ulta's price target by 31% to $790 and set a $19 target for Sally Beauty, reflecting optimism about both companies' future growth potential, contributing to their stock prices reaching multi-year highs.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy SBH?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on SBH
Wall Street analysts forecast SBH stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 15.230
Low
13.00
Averages
15.88
High
19.00
Current: 15.230
Low
13.00
Averages
15.88
High
19.00
About SBH
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. is an international specialty retailer and distributor of professional beauty supplies. The Company operates in two business segments: Sally Beauty Supply and Beauty Systems Group, which offers beauty products in key categories, including hair care, hair color, styling tools and nails. Sally Beauty Supply is an omni-channel retailer that offers professional beauty supplies and provides education to retail consumers and salon professionals throughout North America, South America and Europe. Sally Beauty Supply stores offer up to 7,000 products for hair color, hair care, nails, and skin care through proprietary brands, such as Ion, Bondbar, Strawberry Leopard, and Generic Value Products. Beauty Systems Group stores, branded as Cosmo Prof or Armstrong McCall stores, along with its outside sales consultants, sell up to 8,000 professionally branded products, including Paul Mitchell, Wella, Matrix, Schwarzkopf, Kenra, Goldwell, Joico, Amika and Moroccanoil.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.

- Surge in Short Positions: Hedge funds have significantly increased their short positions on U.S. stocks to the highest level since 2016, according to Goldman Sachs, driven by fears of AI disruption and four consecutive weeks of heavy net equity selling, indicating a bearish sentiment among investors regarding market prospects.
- Strong Small-Cap Performance: Among small-cap stocks with high short interest, Designer Brands (DBI) and Green Plains (GPRE) achieved near-perfect Quant Ratings of 4.94 and 4.92, respectively, highlighting their relative strength in the current market environment amidst rising short interest.
- Diverse Industry Representation: The list includes companies from various sectors such as apparel retail, oil and gas refining, consumer finance, and biotechnology, suggesting an increasing investor focus on high short-interest stocks across different industries, potentially reflecting confidence in future growth within these sectors.
- Rating Criteria: Seeking Alpha's Quant Ratings are based on critical quantitative measures including valuation, growth, stock momentum, and profitability, with ratings ranging from 1 to 5, where ratings above 3.5 are considered bullish and below 2.5 bearish, illustrating the varied market perspectives on small-cap stocks.
See More
- Sentiment Recovery: The CNN Money Fear & Greed Index rose to 48.3 on Monday, entering the 'Neutral' zone from a previous reading of 43.9, indicating improved market sentiment that may attract more investors.
- Broad Market Gains: U.S. stocks mostly closed higher on Monday, with the Nasdaq Composite jumping over 200 points to 23,238.67, suggesting strong performance in tech stocks driving overall market positivity.
- Dow Jones Record High: The Dow Jones index increased by about 20 points to 50,135.87 on Monday, marking a new record, reflecting enhanced investor confidence in economic recovery that could further propel market growth.
- Sector Performance Divergence: While most sectors in the S&P 500 closed positively, with materials, energy, and information technology stocks leading gains, consumer staples and healthcare stocks fell, indicating a divergence in market performance that may influence investor decisions.
See More
- Nasdaq Performance: The Nasdaq Composite rose by 1.15% to 23,295.01 on Monday, indicating strong performance in technology stocks and reflecting increased investor confidence in the tech sector.
- Dow Jones Decline: The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell slightly by 0.07% to 50,078.58, suggesting a relative weakness in traditional sectors, which may affect overall market sentiment.
- Sally Beauty Earnings Beat: Sally Beauty Holdings Inc (NYSE:SBH) reported an adjusted EPS of 48 cents for Q1, surpassing market expectations of 46 cents, with quarterly sales of $943.168 million exceeding the anticipated $940.150 million, demonstrating the company's resilience in a competitive market.
- Commodity Market Movements: On Monday, oil prices increased by 0.8% to $64.05, gold rose by 2.2% to $5,088.80, and silver surged by 7.9% to $82.94, reflecting heightened demand for safe-haven assets, which could influence future investment strategies.
See More
- Strong Sales Performance: Sally Beauty achieved $943 million in sales for Q1 2026, with adjusted earnings per share rising 12% to $0.48, reflecting robust demand and strong performance in core business areas.
- Strategic Transformation: The company exited lower-margin full-service operations in Europe, projected to create a $10 million sales headwind in 2026, but this strategic shift aims to simplify operations and focus on high-growth areas, enhancing overall profitability.
- Significant E-commerce Growth: Sally's global e-commerce sales grew by 20%, with U.S. and Canada e-commerce sales up 28%, indicating substantial progress in digital transformation and improved customer online shopping experiences.
- Optimistic Outlook: The company raised the low end of its full-year EPS guidance to $2.02 to $2.10, expecting Q2 sales between $895 million and $905 million, demonstrating management's confidence in future performance and positive market expectations.
See More
- Earnings Highlights: Sally Beauty's Q1 2026 earnings report reveals a Non-GAAP EPS of $0.48, beating estimates by $0.02, with revenue of $943.17 million reflecting a 0.6% year-over-year increase, surpassing expectations by $3.02 million, indicating stable market performance.
- E-commerce Growth: Global e-commerce sales reached $111 million, accounting for 11.7% of net sales; while consolidated comparable sales remained flat, the growth in e-commerce supports future sales potential and reflects changing consumer shopping habits.
- Cash Flow Performance: The first quarter saw cash flow from operations of $93 million and free cash flow of $57 million, demonstrating strong cash flow performance that supports ongoing investments and shareholder returns, indicating a healthy financial position for the company.
- Fiscal Year 2026 Guidance: The company projects Q2 net sales between $895 million and $905 million, with adjusted EPS guidance of $0.39 to $0.42, reflecting confidence in future growth despite slight discrepancies with market consensus.
See More
- Strong Financial Performance: Sally Beauty achieved a 12% growth in adjusted EPS for Q1 of fiscal 2026, indicating the company's ability to meet market expectations while maintaining healthy gross margins, which enhances investor confidence.
- Robust Cash Flow: As of December 31, 2025, the company reported $93 million in cash flow from operations and $57 million in free cash flow, enabling it to repay $20 million in term loan debt and repurchase 1.4 million shares, thereby increasing shareholder value.
- Optimized Inventory Management: The company's inventory stood at $979 million, down 2.7% year-over-year, demonstrating effective inventory management that helps improve operational efficiency and reduce capital lock-up.
- Ongoing Strategic Investments: The company continues to advance its strategic initiatives aimed at accelerating growth and enhancing profitability, which not only lays the groundwork for future market expansion but also creates long-term value for shareholders.
See More







