TSMC Predicts 60% Growth in AI Chip Revenue
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Should l Buy TSM?
Source: Fool
- Market Share Growth: TSMC's foundry market share reached 71% in Q3 2025, up from 64.9% in Q3 2024, demonstrating its strong competitive position in high-performance computing and further solidifying its market leadership.
- Strong Financial Performance: In 2025, TSMC reported revenue of $122 billion, a 31% increase, with high-performance computing revenue accounting for 58% and growing by 48%, indicating a promising outlook for potential AI revenue growth.
- Improved Gross Margin: TSMC's gross margin increased from 56.1% in 2024 to 59.9%, and despite facing higher taxes and comprehensive losses, its comprehensive income rose by 33% to $53 billion, reflecting enhanced profitability.
- Outstanding Stock Performance: TSMC's stock price surged over 80% in the past year, reaching a record high, and although its P/E ratio has climbed to 35, the valuation remains reasonable given the company's AI-driven growth prospects.
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Analyst Views on TSM
Wall Street analysts forecast TSM stock price to fall
8 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 376.810
Low
63.24
Averages
313.46
High
390.00
Current: 376.810
Low
63.24
Averages
313.46
High
390.00
About TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd is a Taiwan-based integrated circuit foundry service provider. The Company is primarily engaged in integrated circuit manufacturing services. It offers advanced process technologies, specialised process solutions, advanced photomask and silicon stacking, and packaging-related technologies, while supporting a comprehensive design ecosystem. The Company's products serve diverse electronic sectors including artificial intelligence, high-performance computing, wired and wireless communications, automotive and industrial equipment, personal computing, information applications, consumer electronics, smart internet of things, and wearable devices.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
TSMC Predicts 60% CAGR Growth in AI Chip Revenue
- Market Share Growth: TSMC's foundry market share reached 71% in Q3 2025, up from 64.9% in Q3 2024 according to TrendForce, indicating its dominant position in the semiconductor industry and further solidifying its competitive edge.
- Strong Financial Performance: TSMC reported $122 billion in revenue for 2025, a 31% increase, with high-performance computing (HPC) revenue making up 58% and growing by 48%, reflecting robust performance in high-growth areas and boosting investor confidence.
- Rising Profit Margins: The company's gross profit margin increased to 59.9% in 2025 from 56.1% in 2024, and despite higher income taxes and comprehensive losses, comprehensive income rose by 33%, demonstrating sustained profitability.
- Exceptional Stock Performance: TSMC's stock surged over 80% in the past year, hitting a nearly five-year high, and although its P/E ratio has reached 35, investors remain optimistic about its future AI-driven growth, suggesting the stock still holds investment value.
See More
Taiwan Semiconductor Leads Semiconductor Market Growth
- Market Share Dominance: As of Q3, Taiwan Semiconductor holds a commanding 72% market share in the pure foundry market, significantly outpacing its nearest competitor Samsung at 7%, which solidifies its long-term profitability in the AI hardware sector.
- Significant Revenue Growth: In Q4 2025, Taiwan Semiconductor reported net revenue of $33.75 billion, a 25.5% increase year-over-year, with earnings per share rising by 35%, reflecting strong demand in high-performance computing and AI chip markets.
- Strategic Expansion Investment: Taiwan Semiconductor has committed $100 billion to expand its manufacturing facilities in the U.S., a move that not only enhances its competitive edge in the global market but also aligns with the strategic goals of the U.S.-Taiwan trade agreement.
- Robust Cash Flow: By the end of Q4 2025, Taiwan Semiconductor's cash and cash equivalents totaled $97 billion, significantly exceeding total liabilities of $78.2 billion, indicating a strong financial position that supports future investments and expansions.
See More
Taiwan Semiconductor Achieves 72% Market Share
- Market Dominance: Taiwan Semiconductor holds a commanding 72% market share in the pure foundry market, significantly outpacing its nearest competitor, Samsung, at 7%, which solidifies its critical role in the surging demand for AI hardware globally.
- Strong Financial Performance: In Q4 2025, Taiwan Semiconductor reported net revenue of $33.75 billion, a 25.5% increase year-over-year, with earnings per share rising by 35%, showcasing its robust profitability in the advanced chip market and reinforcing its market position.
- Expansion Investment Plans: The company has committed $100 billion to expand its manufacturing facilities in the U.S., a strategic move that not only enhances its production capacity but also demonstrates a long-term commitment to the American market, expected to drive future revenue growth.
- High-Growth Segment: The high-performance computing segment, which includes AI chips, emerged as Taiwan Semiconductor's fastest-growing revenue source, increasing by 48% and accounting for 58% of total revenue in 2025, indicating the company's forward-looking positioning in future technology trends.
See More
Semiconductor Sector Continues Strong Growth
- Sector Performance: Over the past three years, the PHLX Semiconductor Sector index has surged by 175%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 70% increase, highlighting the semiconductor industry's robust growth potential and market appeal.
- Company Performance Comparison: Nvidia's stock has skyrocketed over 700% in the past three years, while TSMC has also seen a respectable 311% increase, indicating substantial returns for investors amid soaring AI chip demand.
- Future Growth Expectations: Consensus estimates predict TSMC will achieve a 34% earnings increase in 2026, while Nvidia is expected to grow by 66% in fiscal 2027, reflecting Nvidia's dominant position in the AI chip market and its strong growth prospects.
- Market Opportunity Analysis: Nvidia anticipates a 40% compound annual growth rate in data center investments over the next five years, and as the world's largest semiconductor foundry, TSMC is also poised to benefit, further solidifying its market position.
See More
Nvidia Earnings Fail to Boost Semiconductor Stocks
- Nvidia Earnings Reaction: Nvidia reported fourth-quarter revenue of $68.13 billion, a 73% year-over-year increase that surpassed the Street's estimate of $66 billion, yet failed to excite investors, leading to a decline in semiconductor stocks.
- Strong Data Center Performance: The data center segment generated a record $62.3 billion in revenue, rising 75% year-over-year, indicating robust market demand, but concerns about AI profitability persist among investors.
- Increased Market Volatility: Rising oil prices and bond yields have heightened market volatility, with Nvidia shares dropping 5.5%, negatively impacting the entire semiconductor index and causing declines in other chipmakers like Broadcom and AMD.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Although Nvidia expects first-quarter revenue between $76.44 billion and $79.56 billion, exceeding the Street estimate of $71.96 billion, supply constraints may affect the gaming segment, raising investor concerns about future performance.
See More
AVEM Stock Performance Analysis and ETF Dynamics
- Price Range Analysis: AVEM's 52-week low is $52.52 and high is $89.75, with the last trade at $88.50, indicating the stock is trading near its high, reflecting market optimism about its future performance.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the recent share price to the 200-day moving average can provide investors with valuable insights for technical analysis, aiding in the assessment of price trends and potential buy or sell opportunities.
- ETF Trading Mechanism: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on investor demand, impacting the liquidity and market performance of the ETF.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in shares outstanding for ETFs helps identify those experiencing significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), allowing for an assessment of their impact on underlying assets and market trends.
See More
TSMC Predicts 60% CAGR Growth in AI Chip Revenue
- Market Share Growth: TSMC's foundry market share reached 71% in Q3 2025, up from 64.9% in Q3 2024 according to TrendForce, indicating its dominant position in the semiconductor industry and further solidifying its competitive edge.
- Strong Financial Performance: TSMC reported $122 billion in revenue for 2025, a 31% increase, with high-performance computing (HPC) revenue making up 58% and growing by 48%, reflecting robust performance in high-growth areas and boosting investor confidence.
- Rising Profit Margins: The company's gross profit margin increased to 59.9% in 2025 from 56.1% in 2024, and despite higher income taxes and comprehensive losses, comprehensive income rose by 33%, demonstrating sustained profitability.
- Exceptional Stock Performance: TSMC's stock surged over 80% in the past year, hitting a nearly five-year high, and although its P/E ratio has reached 35, investors remain optimistic about its future AI-driven growth, suggesting the stock still holds investment value.
See More
Taiwan Semiconductor Leads Semiconductor Market Growth
- Market Share Dominance: As of Q3, Taiwan Semiconductor holds a commanding 72% market share in the pure foundry market, significantly outpacing its nearest competitor Samsung at 7%, which solidifies its long-term profitability in the AI hardware sector.
- Significant Revenue Growth: In Q4 2025, Taiwan Semiconductor reported net revenue of $33.75 billion, a 25.5% increase year-over-year, with earnings per share rising by 35%, reflecting strong demand in high-performance computing and AI chip markets.
- Strategic Expansion Investment: Taiwan Semiconductor has committed $100 billion to expand its manufacturing facilities in the U.S., a move that not only enhances its competitive edge in the global market but also aligns with the strategic goals of the U.S.-Taiwan trade agreement.
- Robust Cash Flow: By the end of Q4 2025, Taiwan Semiconductor's cash and cash equivalents totaled $97 billion, significantly exceeding total liabilities of $78.2 billion, indicating a strong financial position that supports future investments and expansions.
See More
Taiwan Semiconductor Achieves 72% Market Share
- Market Dominance: Taiwan Semiconductor holds a commanding 72% market share in the pure foundry market, significantly outpacing its nearest competitor, Samsung, at 7%, which solidifies its critical role in the surging demand for AI hardware globally.
- Strong Financial Performance: In Q4 2025, Taiwan Semiconductor reported net revenue of $33.75 billion, a 25.5% increase year-over-year, with earnings per share rising by 35%, showcasing its robust profitability in the advanced chip market and reinforcing its market position.
- Expansion Investment Plans: The company has committed $100 billion to expand its manufacturing facilities in the U.S., a strategic move that not only enhances its production capacity but also demonstrates a long-term commitment to the American market, expected to drive future revenue growth.
- High-Growth Segment: The high-performance computing segment, which includes AI chips, emerged as Taiwan Semiconductor's fastest-growing revenue source, increasing by 48% and accounting for 58% of total revenue in 2025, indicating the company's forward-looking positioning in future technology trends.
See More
Semiconductor Sector Continues Strong Growth
- Sector Performance: Over the past three years, the PHLX Semiconductor Sector index has surged by 175%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 70% increase, highlighting the semiconductor industry's robust growth potential and market appeal.
- Company Performance Comparison: Nvidia's stock has skyrocketed over 700% in the past three years, while TSMC has also seen a respectable 311% increase, indicating substantial returns for investors amid soaring AI chip demand.
- Future Growth Expectations: Consensus estimates predict TSMC will achieve a 34% earnings increase in 2026, while Nvidia is expected to grow by 66% in fiscal 2027, reflecting Nvidia's dominant position in the AI chip market and its strong growth prospects.
- Market Opportunity Analysis: Nvidia anticipates a 40% compound annual growth rate in data center investments over the next five years, and as the world's largest semiconductor foundry, TSMC is also poised to benefit, further solidifying its market position.
See More
Nvidia Earnings Fail to Boost Semiconductor Stocks
- Nvidia Earnings Reaction: Nvidia reported fourth-quarter revenue of $68.13 billion, a 73% year-over-year increase that surpassed the Street's estimate of $66 billion, yet failed to excite investors, leading to a decline in semiconductor stocks.
- Strong Data Center Performance: The data center segment generated a record $62.3 billion in revenue, rising 75% year-over-year, indicating robust market demand, but concerns about AI profitability persist among investors.
- Increased Market Volatility: Rising oil prices and bond yields have heightened market volatility, with Nvidia shares dropping 5.5%, negatively impacting the entire semiconductor index and causing declines in other chipmakers like Broadcom and AMD.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Although Nvidia expects first-quarter revenue between $76.44 billion and $79.56 billion, exceeding the Street estimate of $71.96 billion, supply constraints may affect the gaming segment, raising investor concerns about future performance.
See More
AVEM Stock Performance Analysis and ETF Dynamics
- Price Range Analysis: AVEM's 52-week low is $52.52 and high is $89.75, with the last trade at $88.50, indicating the stock is trading near its high, reflecting market optimism about its future performance.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the recent share price to the 200-day moving average can provide investors with valuable insights for technical analysis, aiding in the assessment of price trends and potential buy or sell opportunities.
- ETF Trading Mechanism: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on investor demand, impacting the liquidity and market performance of the ETF.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in shares outstanding for ETFs helps identify those experiencing significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), allowing for an assessment of their impact on underlying assets and market trends.
See More
