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TSM Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
347.090
1 Day change
-0.46%
52 Week Range
390.200
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Based on the investor's beginner knowledge level, long-term investment preference, and the strong financial performance of TSMC, the stock is a good buy. Despite the current price dip, the company's robust growth in AI-related revenue, strong analyst ratings, and positive long-term outlook make it a solid choice for long-term investment.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negatively expanding with a histogram of -4.571, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is at 26.003, suggesting the stock is nearing oversold territory. The current price is below the pivot level of 366.336, with key support at 336.298. This indicates a potential buying opportunity for long-term investors.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The high put-call ratios suggest bearish short-term sentiment, but this may not impact long-term investors.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
7

Positive Catalysts

  • TSMC is projected to achieve over 50% annual growth in AI revenue and holds a near-monopoly in advanced logic chip manufacturing. Analysts have consistently raised price targets, citing strong demand for advanced nodes and AI-related growth. The company achieved a 25.52% YoY revenue increase and a 40.66% YoY net income increase in Q4 2025.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The stock is currently experiencing a price decline (-4.20% in regular market and -2.93% in pre-market). Additionally, options data indicates bearish short-term sentiment.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, TSMC reported a revenue increase of 25.52% YoY to $33.1 billion, net income growth of 40.66% YoY to $16.3 billion, and EPS growth of 40% YoY. Gross margin improved to 62.32%, up 5.63% YoY, demonstrating strong profitability and operational efficiency.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are highly bullish on TSMC. DA Davidson initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $450 price target, citing a 'compounding execution moat.' Barclays raised its price target to $450, and Goldman Sachs highlighted TSMC's multi-year growth engine in AI, raising its price target to NT$2,330.

Wall Street analysts forecast TSM stock price to fall
8 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TSM stock price to fall
7 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 348.700
sliders
Low
63.24
Averages
313.46
High
390
Current: 348.700
sliders
Low
63.24
Averages
313.46
High
390
DA Davidson
NULL -> Buy
initiated
$450
AI Analysis
2026-02-12
Reason
DA Davidson
Price Target
$450
AI Analysis
2026-02-12
initiated
NULL -> Buy
Reason
DA Davidson initiated coverage of TSMC with a Buy rating and $450 price target. The firm sees a a "compounding execution moat" for the company in leading edge manufacturing. This gives TSMC a "durable, self-reinforcing advantage" as AI compute demand scales, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Davidson highlights the company's ability to "repeatedly industrialize architectural transitions into predictable, high volume platforms."
Barclays
NULL -> Overweight
maintain
$380 -> $450
2026-01-16
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$380 -> $450
2026-01-16
maintain
NULL -> Overweight
Reason
Barclays raised the firm's price target on TSMC to $450 from $380 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The company's Q4 results were "strong across the board," the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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