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TSM Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
370.500
1 Day change
1.97%
52 Week Range
390.200
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Based on the investor's long-term strategy, beginner knowledge level, and available investment capital, TSM is a good buy. The company's strong financial performance, bullish technical indicators, favorable analyst ratings, and the positive market sentiment surrounding AI chip demand make it a compelling investment opportunity. The absence of Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals does not detract from the long-term potential of this stock.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators show a bullish trend. The MACD is positive and contracting, indicating upward momentum. The RSI is neutral at 52.525, suggesting no overbought or oversold conditions. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and the stock is trading above key support levels (Pivot: 356.854). Resistance levels are at R1: 378.002 and R2: 391.066, indicating potential upside.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue up 25.52% YoY and net income up 40.66% YoY.

  • Positive sentiment around AI chip demand, with global funding for AI chip startups reaching $8.3 billion in

  • Favorable analyst ratings with increased price targets, reflecting confidence in the company's growth potential.

  • Bullish technical indicators supporting upward price movement.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • No recent significant trading activity from hedge funds or insiders.

  • Lack of recent congress trading data, which could have provided additional sentiment insights.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, TSM reported strong financials: Revenue increased by 25.52% YoY to $33.71 billion, Net Income rose by 40.66% YoY to $16.30 billion, EPS grew by 40% YoY to $0.63, and Gross Margin improved to 62.32%, up 5.63% YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are bullish on TSM. Needham raised the price target to $480 and maintained a Buy rating. Citi increased the price target to NT$2,800, citing strong AI demand. DA Davidson initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $450 price target, emphasizing the company's competitive advantage in leading-edge manufacturing.

Wall Street analysts forecast TSM stock price to fall
8 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TSM stock price to fall
7 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 363.350
sliders
Low
63.24
Averages
313.46
High
390
Current: 363.350
sliders
Low
63.24
Averages
313.46
High
390
Needham
Buy
maintain
$410 -> $480
AI Analysis
2026-04-16
New
Reason
Needham
Price Target
$410 -> $480
AI Analysis
2026-04-16
New
maintain
Buy
Reason
Needham raised the firm's price target on TSMC to $480 from $410 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
Citi
Buy
maintain
2026-03-30
Reason
Citi
Price Target
2026-03-30
maintain
Buy
Reason
Citi raised the firm's price target on TSMC to NT$2,800 from NT$2,600 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm increased the company's estimates to reflect strong AI demand.
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