
TSM Earnings
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd
- Overview
- Forecast
- Valuation
- Earnings
Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd(TSM) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: TWD
Actual
Estimate
Surprise Analysis
FY2025Q1 | 2025-04-17 | Pre-Market | 2.03 | 2.12 | +4.43 | 836.61B | 839.25B | +0.32 | +0.05 | +4.05 |
FY2024Q4 | 2025-01-16 | Pre-Market | 2.16 | 2.24 | +3.70 | 855.65B | 868.46B | +1.50 | +3.86 | +8.62 |
FY2024Q3 | 2024-10-17 | Pre-Market | 1.74 | 1.94 | +11.49 | 750.21B | 759.69B | +1.26 | +9.79 | +7.14 |
FY2024Q2 | 2024-07-18 | - | 1.37 | 1.48 | +8.03 | 655.71B | 673.51B | +2.71 | +0.39 | -6.66 |
FY2024Q1 | 2024-04-18 | - | 1.29 | 1.38 | +6.98 | 584.46B | 592.64B | +1.40 | -4.86 | -4.36 |
FY2023Q4 | 2024-01-18 | - | 1.37 | 1.44 | +5.11 | 617.31B | 625.53B | +1.33 | +9.79 | +13.18 |
FY2023Q3 | 2023-10-19 | - | 1.16 | 1.29 | +11.21 | 539.18B | 546.73B | +1.40 | +3.69 | -2.19 |
- | 2023-07-20 | - | 1.07 | 1.14 | +6.54 | - | - | - | -5.05 | -3.54 |
- | 2023-04-20 | - | 1.21 | 1.31 | +8.26 | - | - | - | +2.36 | -5.71 |
- | 2023-01-12 | - | 1.80 | 1.82 | +1.11 | - | - | - | +6.38 | +8.09 |
TSM Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd reported performance for FY2025Q1, announced on 2025-04-17. The company achieved an EPS of 2.12, compared to analyst estimates of 2.03 by 4.43% . Revenue for the quarter reached 839.25B compared to expectations of 836.61B by 0.32% .
The stock price reacted with a 0.05% one-day change and a 4.05% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
TSM Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd(TSM) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q2 project quarter revenue of 928.00B and an EPS of 2.23.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.65%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -79.98%. For the upcoming Q2 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 5.1% . These revisions correlate with a 11.77% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between TSM's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward

-0.65%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward

-79.98%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q2 2025
Revise Upward

+5.1%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up

+11.77%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:3.68T
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:59.69
—
Stock Price193.32
TSM Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-17,Pre-Market):
EPS: 2.12 (Actual) vs.2.03 (Estimate) (4.43%)
Revenue: 839.25B (Actual) vs. 836.61B (Estimate) (0.32%)
Price Reaction: 0.05%(1-Day), 4.05%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-01-16,Pre-Market):
EPS: 2.24 (Actual) vs.2.16 (Estimate) (3.70%)
Revenue: 868.46B (Actual) vs. 855.65B (Estimate) (1.50%)
Price Reaction: 3.86%(1-Day), 8.62%(5-Day)
FY2024Q3 (2024-10-17,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.94 (Actual) vs.1.74 (Estimate) (11.49%)
Revenue: 759.69B (Actual) vs. 750.21B (Estimate) (1.26%)
Price Reaction: 9.79%(1-Day), 7.14%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how TSM performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TSM sees a -3.65% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.13% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +2.64%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in MAR/2025, the stock changed -2.56% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 18.15% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-18
The earnings call reflects mixed signals: strong AI demand and a slight EPS beat are positive, but revenue decline and margin pressure due to external factors (earthquake, overseas expansion) are concerning. Q&A highlighted demand strength but also management's evasiveness on certain risks. No explicit Q2 guidance was given, which can cause uncertainty. The absence of a share repurchase plan and increased inventory days further contribute to a neutral outlook. Without market cap data, a neutral prediction is prudent, considering both positive and negative elements.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-17
The earnings call highlighted strong AI demand and a significant investment plan, but these were offset by a decline in revenue and margins, and vague management responses in the Q&A. The guidance for Q1 2025 indicates a revenue decline, and there was no new partnership announcement or shareholder return plan adjustment. The market is likely to remain cautious, resulting in a neutral stock price movement.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM) Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call Summary
Neutral
2024-10-17
The earnings call summary presents a mixed outlook. Financial performance shows declines in revenue, margins, and net income, which are negative signals. However, the optimistic guidance for Q3 2024 and a substantial share buyback program provide positive counterpoints. The Q&A section reveals management's optimism but also highlights competitive pressures and supply chain challenges. Overall, the lack of specific revenue targets and decreased financial metrics offset the positive aspects, leading to a neutral sentiment prediction for the stock price.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-07-18
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with a 10.3% revenue increase, improved gross and operating margins, and robust cash flow. The Q&A section reveals high demand for AI-related products, with management committed to meeting this demand and addressing geopolitical risks. Despite some uncertainty in capacity expansion specifics, the overall sentiment is positive, driven by strong earnings, optimistic guidance, and shareholder returns. The absence of market cap data suggests a neutral to positive market reaction, with potential for a 2% to 8% stock price increase over the next two weeks.
FAQ

What were the key highlights of TSM’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q1?
TSM reported its FY2025Q1 earnings on 2025-04-17, showcasing a revenue of 839.25B against an estimate of 836.61B, resulting in a 0.32% surprise. The EPS was 2.12, surpassing the expected 2.03 by 4.43% . The stock experienced a 0.05% price change on the earnings day and a 4.05% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

How did TSM’s stock price react after the FY2025Q1 earnings release?

What are the revenue and EPS estimates for TSM for 2025/Q2?

How does TSM’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

What should investors expect from TSM’s next earnings report?
