TSM Earning Date, Earning Analysis and Earning Prediction

Quarterly Results

TSM Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, TSM remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2026/Q1 project quarter revenue of 1.11T and an EPS of 3.29.

However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates have been unchanged by 0%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted unchanged by 0%. These revisions correlate with a 12.87% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in TSM long-term fundamentals.

The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

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AI Analysis

Earnings Surprise Analysis

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Earnings Reaction

The chart below shows how TSM performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TSM sees a -4.26% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a 0.11% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by 2.21%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.

For example, in MAR/2026, the stock changed 1.97% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 1.3% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What were the key highlights of TSM's latest earnings report for ?

TSM reported its earnings on 2026-04-16, showcasing a revenue of 35.90B against an estimate of 35.50B, resulting in a 1.12% surprise. The EPS was 3.49, surpassing the expected 3.31 by 5.44%. The stock experienced a -3.13% price change on the earnings day and a 0% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

How did TSM's stock price react after the earnings release?

Following TSM's earnings announcement on 2026-04-16, the stock price moved by -3.13% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 0% change. Historically, TSM's stock price tends to shift by an average of -4.26% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 0.11% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

What are the revenue and EPS estimates for TSM for 2026/Q1?

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate TSM's annual revenue to reach 1.11T, while the EPS is projected at 3.29. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates unchanged by 0% and EPS estimates unchanged by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

How does TSM's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between TSM's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates moved unchanged by 0%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

What should investors expect from TSM's next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, TSM's stock price typically moves by -4.26% in the 10 days before its earnings and 0.11% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 3.29 and revenue of 1.11T.

What is the sentiment in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call reflects a strong business outlook driven by robust demand in HPC and AI applications, a high CapEx guidance, and a positive gross margin trajectory. While management avoided specifics on some metrics, the overall sentiment is positive with high confidence in technology leadership and strategic expansions, such as in Arizona. The positive guidance and strategic plans outweigh the lack of specific details, suggesting a positive stock price movement.