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  4. Forecast

Stock Price Prediction

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TSM
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0.000(0.000%)
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TSM Price Prediction Next Week

Based on the comprehensive data analysis and recent market developments, here's the price prediction for TSM for the next trading week:

Technical Analysis

  • Current price: $222.28
  • RSI (14) at 62.14 indicates neutral momentum with room for upside
  • MACD at 5.89 shows positive momentum
  • SMA20 at $209.52 and SMA60 at $199.14 confirm strong uptrend
  • Fibonacci resistance levels: R1 at $223.38, R2 at $229.96, R3 at $240.62
  • Support levels: S1 at $202.06, S2 at $195.48

Fundamental Catalysts

  • Q4 2024 results exceeded expectations with revenue of $26.9B (+37% YoY)
  • Management projects AI revenue CAGR of 40% over next 5 years
  • Overall revenue CAGR guidance of 20% for next 5 years
  • Gross margin expected to reach 58% in Q1 2025

Price Target Analysis Based on technical and fundamental factors:

Short-term (Next Week):

  • Bullish scenario (60% probability): $229-232
  • Base scenario (30% probability): $220-225
  • Bearish scenario (10% probability): $215-220

Key drivers supporting bullish outlook:

  • Strong Q4 results and positive 2025 guidance
  • Continued AI chip demand growth
  • Favorable industry position versus competitors
  • Expanding gross margins

Trading recommendation: BUY with entry around $220-222, initial stop loss at $215 (below S1 support), first target at $229 (R2 resistance).

Based on the comprehensive data analysis and recent market developments, here's the price prediction for TSM for the next trading week:

Technical Analysis

  • Current price: $222.28
  • RSI (14) at 62.14 indicates neutral momentum with room for upside
  • MACD at 5.89 shows positive momentum
  • SMA20 at $209.52 and SMA60 at $199.14 confirm strong uptrend
  • Fibonacci resistance levels: R1 at $223.38, R2 at $229.96, R3 at $240.62
  • Support levels: S1 at $202.06, S2 at $195.48

Fundamental Catalysts

  • Q4 2024 results exceeded expectations with revenue of $26.9B (+37% YoY)
  • Management projects AI revenue CAGR of 40% over next 5 years
  • Overall revenue CAGR guidance of 20% for next 5 years
  • Gross margin expected to reach 58% in Q1 2025

Price Target Analysis Based on technical and fundamental factors:

Short-term (Next Week):

  • Bullish scenario (60% probability): $229-232
  • Base scenario (30% probability): $220-225
  • Bearish scenario (10% probability): $215-220

Key drivers supporting bullish outlook:

  • Strong Q4 results and positive 2025 guidance
  • Continued AI chip demand growth
  • Favorable industry position versus competitors
  • Expanding gross margins

Trading recommendation: BUY with entry around $220-222, initial stop loss at $215 (below S1 support), first target at $229 (R2 resistance).

TSM Similar Chart Price Prediction

The price of TSM is predicted to go up -3.37%, based on the high correlation periods with AIFU. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 94.49%.

stocks logo

TSM

stocks logo

AIFU

Down: -3.37%Similarity: 94.49%

TSM Stock Forecast & Prediction For Years 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029 and 2030

Year

TSM Price Forecast($)

Potential Return(%)

2025

217.100

4.070

2026

250.000

19.840

2027

300.000

43.810

2028

350.000

67.780

2029

350.000

59.080

2030

350.000

59.080

What is TSM stock price prediction 2025 ?

TSM stock is currently trading at $217.1. Based on its strong AI-driven demand, 2nm chip advancements expected in late 2025, and robust financial performance, the stock could reach $250 by the end of 2025, reflecting a 15% upside. This projection is supported by TSMC's market dominance and pricing power in advanced nodes.

What is TSM stock price prediction 2026 ?

TSM's stock price in 2026 is projected to reach $250-$270, driven by the mass production of 2nm chips starting in H2 2026 and strong AI-related demand. The company's leadership in advanced semiconductor technology and diversified client base, including Nvidia and Apple, will likely sustain revenue growth. However, geopolitical risks and competition could impact this forecast.

What is TSM stock price prediction 2027 ?

TSM's stock price in 2027 is projected to reach approximately $300, driven by strong demand for its advanced 2nm chips, which are expected to dominate the AI and HPC markets starting in 2026. The company's leadership in cutting-edge semiconductor technology and its diversified customer base, including Nvidia and Apple, will likely sustain robust revenue growth. Additionally, the global semiconductor market's expansion and TSM's market dominance position it for significant long-term gains.

What is TSM stock price prediction 2028 ?

TSM's stock price in 2028 is projected to reach approximately $350, driven by strong demand for advanced AI chips and the rollout of 2nm technology, which will enhance efficiency and performance. The company's dominant market position, coupled with its diversified customer base including Nvidia and Apple, ensures sustained revenue growth. Additionally, TSM's strategic pricing power and expansion into overseas fabs will further bolster profitability.

What is TSM stock price prediction 2029 ?

TSM's stock price in 2029 is projected to reach $350, driven by strong demand for advanced AI chips and the rollout of 2nm technology, which will solidify its market leadership. The company's robust revenue growth, supported by AI and HPC segments, and strategic expansion into new markets will further enhance its valuation. Additionally, TSM's ability to maintain high gross margins and capitalize on industry trends positions it for significant long-term growth.

What is TSM stock price prediction 2030 ?

TSM's stock price in 2030 is projected to reach approximately $350-$400, driven by strong demand for advanced AI chips, 2nm technology adoption, and its dominant market position in semiconductor manufacturing. The company's consistent revenue growth, pricing power, and expansion into new markets like HPC and automotive further support this valuation. However, geopolitical risks and potential overcapacity in mature nodes could pose challenges.

TSM Revenue Forecast

TSM EPS Forecast

TSM FAQs

What is bull’s view on TSM?

TSM stock is bullish with a price target of $240, supported by strong AI-driven demand and technological leadership in advanced chips. Recent analyst upgrades and Microsoft's $80 billion AI investment signal robust growth potential. Current price of $203.35 offers a 18% upside to the target.

What is bear's view on TSM?

TSM stock may face bearish pressure near $200 due to overvaluation concerns after its 2024 rally of over 100%. Despite strong fundamentals like AI-driven demand and 2nm chip advancements, the market's fear sentiment (score: 31.66) and potential profit-taking could limit upside. A break below $195 could signal further downside.

What is TSM revenue forecast for next quarter？

The market consensus for TSM's revenue in the upcoming quarter is projected to be approximately $831.968B TWD.

What is TSM eps forecast for next quarter？

The market consensus for TSM's eps in the upcoming quarter is projected to be approximately $2.07 TWD.

TSM VS S&P500

TSMC should consistently earn higher gross margins than competitors thanks to its economies of scale and premium pricing justified by cutting-edge process technologies.

TSMC wins when customers compete to offer the most advanced processing systems using the latest process technologies.

TSMC will benefit from more semiconductor firms embracing the fabless business model and internet giants designing their own data center chips.

Ask Intellectia about TSM

TSM Analyst's Forecast

Simon Coles

Barclays

Buy

Price Target

$240 → $255

Upside

+20.57%

Barclays analyst Simon Coles raised the firm's price target on TSMC to $255 from $240 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. TSMC delivered a beat and raise quarter, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says the company's growth for 2025 is higher than expected and capex is also ahead of expectations. Artificial intelligence remains the driver of strong growth with other markets only expected to see a mild recovery, contends Barclays.
Simon Coles

Barclays

Buy

Price Target

$215 → $240

Upside

+28.01%

Simon Coles

Barclays

Buy

Price Target

$200 → $215

Upside

+7.09%

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