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  4. Forecast

Stock Price Prediction

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TSM
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$
0.000
0.000(0.000%)
    OverviewForecastTechnicalOptionsEarningsFinancialsValuationInsiders

TSM Price Prediction Next Week

Technical Analysis

TSM's stock has shown strong momentum recently, with the price consolidating near $198 after a significant rally. The stock is currently trading above its key moving averages, indicating a bullish trend.

News Sentiment & Fundamental Drivers

  • Strong AI-Related Growth: TSM expects AI-related revenue to grow at a CAGR of 45% over the next five years, with overall revenue projected to grow at a 20% CAGR.
  • Market Leadership: TSM maintains approximately 64% share of the global foundry market, manufacturing chips for major tech companies like Nvidia, AMD, and Apple.
  • Valuation: Trading at a forward P/E of 24x, which is relatively attractive compared to peers and considering its growth prospects.

Price Prediction for Next Week (Feb 24-Mar 1, 2025)

Based on technical analysis and news sentiment:

Target Prices:

  • Support levels: $195, $192
  • Resistance levels: $205, $210

Scenarios:

  • Bullish (60% probability): $205-210
  • Base case (30% probability): $198-202
  • Bearish (10% probability): $192-195

Trading Recommendation

BUY with entry point at current levels ($198-199)

  • Set stop loss at $192
  • First target: $205
  • Second target: $210

Rationale:

  1. Strong technical setup with price consolidating above key moving averages
  2. Positive fundamental outlook with AI-driven growth
  3. Attractive valuation relative to peers
  4. Recent positive analyst coverage and institutional interest

Key Risks:

  • Geopolitical tensions with China
  • Potential impact from new U.S. export restrictions
  • General market volatility

Note: This analysis is based on current market conditions and available information. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

Technical Analysis

TSM's stock has shown strong momentum recently, with the price consolidating near $198 after a significant rally. The stock is currently trading above its key moving averages, indicating a bullish trend.

News Sentiment & Fundamental Drivers

  • Strong AI-Related Growth: TSM expects AI-related revenue to grow at a CAGR of 45% over the next five years, with overall revenue projected to grow at a 20% CAGR.
  • Market Leadership: TSM maintains approximately 64% share of the global foundry market, manufacturing chips for major tech companies like Nvidia, AMD, and Apple.
  • Valuation: Trading at a forward P/E of 24x, which is relatively attractive compared to peers and considering its growth prospects.

Price Prediction for Next Week (Feb 24-Mar 1, 2025)

Based on technical analysis and news sentiment:

Target Prices:

  • Support levels: $195, $192
  • Resistance levels: $205, $210

Scenarios:

  • Bullish (60% probability): $205-210
  • Base case (30% probability): $198-202
  • Bearish (10% probability): $192-195

Trading Recommendation

BUY with entry point at current levels ($198-199)

  • Set stop loss at $192
  • First target: $205
  • Second target: $210

Rationale:

  1. Strong technical setup with price consolidating above key moving averages
  2. Positive fundamental outlook with AI-driven growth
  3. Attractive valuation relative to peers
  4. Recent positive analyst coverage and institutional interest

Key Risks:

  • Geopolitical tensions with China
  • Potential impact from new U.S. export restrictions
  • General market volatility

Note: This analysis is based on current market conditions and available information. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

TSM Similar Chart Price Prediction

The price of TSM is predicted to go up -0.49%, based on the high correlation periods with GEV. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 90.74%.

stocks logo

TSM

stocks logo

GEV

Down: -0.49%Similarity: 90.74%

TSM Stock Forecast & Prediction For Years 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029 and 2030

Year

TSM Price Forecast($)

Potential Return(%)

2025

217.100

4.070

2026

260.000

24.210

2027

300.000

43.320

2028

320.000

52.880

2029

350.000

67.210

2030

400.000

91.090

What is TSM stock price prediction 2025 ?

TSM stock is currently trading at $217.1. Based on its strong AI-driven demand, 2nm chip advancements expected in late 2025, and robust financial performance, the stock could reach $250 by the end of 2025, reflecting a 15% upside. This projection is supported by TSMC's market dominance and pricing power in advanced nodes.

What is TSM stock price prediction 2026 ?

TSM's stock price in 2026 is projected to reach $260, driven by robust growth in AI-related revenue, expected to expand at a 40% CAGR, and the adoption of advanced 2nm chip technology. The company's dominant market position and increasing demand for high-performance computing and AI chips will sustain its upward trajectory. However, geopolitical risks and export restrictions to China could pose challenges.

What is TSM stock price prediction 2027 ?

TSM's stock price in 2027 is projected to reach approximately $300, driven by its dominant position in the semiconductor industry and expected 20% annual revenue growth, particularly in AI and high-performance computing. The company's advancements in 2nm technology and increasing U.S. investments further solidify its growth trajectory. However, geopolitical risks and competition remain key factors to monitor.

What is TSM stock price prediction 2028 ?

TSM's stock price in 2028 is projected to reach approximately $320, driven by its dominant position in the semiconductor industry and expected revenue growth from AI and high-performance computing markets, with a CAGR of 20% over the next five years. The company's advancements in 2nm chip technology and increasing U.S. investments further solidify its growth trajectory. However, geopolitical risks and potential market volatility could influence this forecast.

What is TSM stock price prediction 2029 ?

TSM's stock price in 2029 is projected to reach $350, driven by its dominant position in AI chip manufacturing and expected revenue growth at a CAGR of 20% over the next five years. The company's advancements in 2nm technology and increasing demand for AI and HPC chips will significantly boost profitability. However, geopolitical risks and export restrictions to China remain potential challenges.

What is TSM stock price prediction 2030 ?

TSM's stock price in 2030 is projected to reach approximately $400, driven by its dominant 64% global foundry market share and robust growth in AI-related revenue, expected to expand at a 40% CAGR over the next five years. The semiconductor industry's forecasted growth to $1.47 trillion by 2030 further supports TSM's long-term potential. Additionally, advancements in fabrication technology, such as the 2nm process, will enhance energy efficiency and maintain TSM's competitive edge.

TSM Revenue Forecast

TSM EPS Forecast

TSM FAQs

What is bull’s view on TSM?

TSMC (TSM) is viewed bullishly by analysts, with Barclays raising its price target to $255, citing strong growth driven by AI and higher-than-expected capex. The stock currently trades at $211.96, implying a 20% upside to the target price. Analysts highlight TSMC's core position in the semiconductor industry and its resilience despite mild recoveries in other markets.

What is bear's view on TSM?

TSM stock currently trades at $211.96, with a bearish view stemming from geopolitical risks and potential tariff impacts announced by the U.S. administration. The stock's recent 13% drop reflects market concerns over AI chip demand slowdown and competition from cost-efficient Chinese AI models like DeepSeek. Analysts' price targets suggest limited upside, with $240 as the average, indicating overvaluation risks.

What is TSM revenue forecast for next quarter？

The market consensus for TSM's revenue in the upcoming quarter is projected to be approximately $833.392B TWD.

What is TSM eps forecast for next quarter？

The market consensus for TSM's eps in the upcoming quarter is projected to be approximately $2.042 TWD.

TSM VS S&P500

TSMC should consistently earn higher gross margins than competitors thanks to its economies of scale and premium pricing justified by cutting-edge process technologies.

TSMC wins when customers compete to offer the most advanced processing systems using the latest process technologies.

TSMC will benefit from more semiconductor firms embracing the fabless business model and internet giants designing their own data center chips.

Ask Intellectia about TSM

TSM Analyst's Forecast

Simon Coles

Barclays

Buy

2025-01-17

Price Target

$240 → $255

Upside

+20.57%

Barclays analyst Simon Coles raised the firm's price target on TSMC to $255 from $240 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. TSMC delivered a beat and raise quarter, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says the company's growth for 2025 is higher than expected and capex is also ahead of expectations. Artificial intelligence remains the driver of strong growth with other markets only expected to see a mild recovery, contends Barclays.
Charles Shi

Needham

Strong Buy

2025-01-16

Price Target

$225

Upside

+4.75%

Simon Coles

Barclays

Buy

2024-11-18

Price Target

$215 → $240

Upside

+28.01%

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