Should I Buy Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. TSM has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
TSM stock price ended at $194.22 on Friday, after rising 0%
The Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd stock price increased by 0% on the last trading day (16 May 2025), rising from 194.53 to 194.22. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.30% , ranging from a day low of $192.57 to a day high of 195.08. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 8.33% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -1.84M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 8.40M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.63B.
TSM Technical Signals
TSM(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd Corp) has 3 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-06. The total price change during this trend is +12.53%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of TSM over the last 5 trading days is 2.74B. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
TSM Moving Average Analysis
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Saturday, May 17, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $198.9044621333333, and $208.69573333333332. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $167.22380453333335, and $157.43253333333334. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
TSM Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd(TSM) as of 12 May 2025 is 17.89%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 176.52 to 186.98. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
4
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
23.977
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
21.15
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
7.201
Bullish
4 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
96.183
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
132.044
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
98.017
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-6.579
Bearish
TSM Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd(TSM), our algorithm predicts TSM's 1-month price at $187.23, with an 6.07%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.40%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 11, 2025 , forecasts a 6.07% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with PTC.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.4%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
TSM
No Data
PTC
Up: 6.07%Similarity: 98.4%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
PTC.O
98.40%
+6.07%
WWD.O
98.08%
+6.77%
HLNE.O
97.39%
+6.18%
URI.N
97.24%
+7.92%
HLT.N
97.14%
+5.25%
GRC.N
97.10%
+3.93%
WAB.N
97.01%
+6.79%
MPWR.O
96.90%
+12.17%
ORCL.N
96.89%
+6.75%
NTAP.O
96.77%
+7.58%
TSM Seasonality Analysis
Based on TSM's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is72.73%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in TSM. In contrast,Januaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at81.82%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM.N) stock in January has the highest probability of a positive return (81.82%), while February has the lowest probability (54.55%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd. (TSM)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM.N) stock?
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