Technical Analysis: Based on the latest price action, TSM is showing mixed signals. The stock closed at $211.50 on Friday with a -1.53% decline . The current price is near the Fibonacci resistance level of $219 with support at $200.89.
The RSI(14) reading of 56.82 indicates neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD shows a positive value of 3.45, suggesting some bullish momentum remains despite Friday's decline.
News Sentiment & Fundamental Drivers:
Price Prediction for Next Week: Based on technical indicators and news sentiment:
Most likely scenario (60% probability): Target price: $215-220
Bearish scenario (30% probability): Target price: $200-205
Sideways scenario (10% probability): Target price: $208-213
Trading Recommendation: BUY Entry point: Current price ($211.50) Stop loss: $205 (just below S1) Take profit: $219 (R1)
The strong fundamental backdrop with AI demand and government support, combined with neutral technical indicators, suggests potential upside in the coming week. However, traders should maintain tight stops given recent volatility.
The price of TSM is predicted to go up -2.89%, based on the high correlation periods with CORZ. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 93.03%.
TSM
CORZ
Year
TSM Price Forecast($)
Potential Return(%)
2025
217.100
4.070
2026
250.000
19.840
2027
300.000
43.810
2028
350.000
67.780
2029
350.000
59.080
2030
350.000
59.080
TSMC should consistently earn higher gross margins than competitors thanks to its economies of scale and premium pricing justified by cutting-edge process technologies.
TSMC wins when customers compete to offer the most advanced processing systems using the latest process technologies.
TSMC will benefit from more semiconductor firms embracing the fabless business model and internet giants designing their own data center chips.
Barclays
Price Target
$240 → $255
Upside
+20.57%
Barclays
Price Target
$215 → $240
Upside
+28.01%
Barclays
Price Target
$200 → $215
Upside
+7.09%