SoFi Faces Short Seller Allegations, Stock Plummets
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy SOFI?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Short Seller Allegations: Muddy Waters Research has released a report alleging that SoFi's personal lending business is in serious trouble, which could lead to restated financials and an SEC investigation; if proven true, this could have a significant negative impact on the company.
- Rising Loan Risks: The report claims that SoFi's delinquency rate is closer to 6.1%, significantly higher than the reported 2.89%, indicating potential flaws in the company's risk management practices that could undermine investor confidence.
- Insider Buying Signal: CEO Anthony Noto purchased approximately $200 million worth of SoFi stock following the report's release, signaling confidence in the company's future; however, this move also raises questions about the company's financial health.
- Market Reaction: SoFi's stock has fallen below $20, down nearly 50% from all-time highs set in 2025, reflecting market uncertainty regarding the company's future prospects, prompting investors to carefully assess risks and opportunities.
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Analyst Views on SOFI
Wall Street analysts forecast SOFI stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
6 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 15.870
Low
18.00
Averages
28.31
High
38.00
Current: 15.870
Low
18.00
Averages
28.31
High
38.00
About SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc. is a member-centric, one-stop shop for digital financial services. The Company, through its lending and financial services products, allows members to borrow, save, spend, invest and protect their money. The Company's segments include Lending, Technology Platform and Financial Services. The Lending segment offers personal loans, student loans, home loans and related servicing to help its members with a variety of financial needs. Its platform supports the full transaction lifecycle, including credit application, underwriting, approval, funding and servicing. The Technology Platform segment provides services through a diversified suite of offerings which include an event and authorization platform accessed via application programming interfaces, a cloud-native digital and core banking platform and services related to both platforms. The Financial Services segment offers a suite of financial services solutions, including SoFi Money and SoFi Invest.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Market Dynamics Analysis: Stock prices referenced are from the trading day of March 27, 2026, reflecting market volatility at that time, which may influence investor decisions.
- Investor Engagement: The video encourages viewers to subscribe and click on a special offer link, indicating a focus on audience engagement and potential customer conversion.
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- Video Overview: The video discusses SoFi and Meta, focusing on their potential impact on cybersecurity stocks, highlighting market interest in these companies.
- Market Dynamics Analysis: Stock prices referenced are from the trading day of March 27, 2026, reflecting market volatility at that time, which may influence investor decisions.
- Investor Engagement: The video encourages viewers to subscribe and click on a special offer link, indicating a focus on audience engagement and potential customer conversion.
- Industry Outlook Discussion: By analyzing the performance of SoFi and Meta, the video may provide investors with insights into the future development of the cybersecurity sector, aiding their understanding of market trends.
See More
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Market Trends: Following recent uncertainty, stocks have pulled back, with the Trump administration's pause in hostilities with Iran initially easing investor anxiety, but rising energy prices and inflation concerns are complicating the market outlook.
Investment Opportunities: Analysts are highlighting potential opportunities in various sectors, including energy stocks and companies like Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), which is expected to see growth due to strong institutional buying and planned product launches.
Stock Performance: Companies like Rivian Automotive and Tesla are under scrutiny, with Rivian showing quiet performance while Tesla faces regulatory challenges, impacting investor sentiment and stock prices.
Consumer Sector Insights: Retail stocks, particularly Gap and Macy's, are experiencing mixed reactions post-earnings reports, with some showing recovery while others face caution from investors regarding their future strategies.
See More
Analysis of Today's Savings Rates
- Current Rate Overview: According to the FDIC, the national average savings account rate stands at 0.39%, a significant increase from 0.06% three years ago, indicating a gradual recovery in the savings market despite still being lower than other investment returns.
- High-Yield Account Benefits: Some top savings accounts currently offer rates as high as 4% APY, such as those from SoFi and Valley Bank Direct, attracting savers seeking higher returns, which could lead to a shift of funds towards these high-yield products.
- Interest Earnings Calculation: With an average rate of 0.39%, depositing $1,000 would yield only $3.91 in interest after one year, whereas a high-yield account at 4% APY would generate $40.81, highlighting the significant advantage of high-yield accounts.
- Impact of Deposit Amount: Depositing $10,000 in a 4% APY account would result in a total balance of $10,408.08 after one year, earning $408.08 in interest, emphasizing the positive correlation between deposit amounts and earnings.
See More
Financial Stocks Struggle, Consumer Finance Takes Major Hit
- Consumer Finance Decline: Year-to-date, consumer finance stocks have plummeted by 21%, with Robinhood, Affirm, and SoFi down 39%, 40%, and 38% respectively, reflecting investor concerns over economic slowdown and rising credit risks, leading to a valuation correction for these previously high-performing stocks in 2025.
- Payment Processor Advantage: Visa and Mastercard, as the largest payment processors in the U.S., account for 76% of credit card transaction volume and 69% of cards in circulation, and due to their lack of credit risk exposure, they maintain stable cash flows during economic downturns, with expectations of double-digit earnings growth in 2026.
- Market Dominance: S&P Global and Moody's control 80% of the credit rating market, and with its strong positions in market intelligence and indexing, S&P Global has historically performed well under various market conditions, with a projected 5% increase in credit issuance in 2026.
- Analyst Optimism: 93% of analysts rate Mastercard and S&P Global as
See More
Financial Stocks Decline, Visa and Mastercard Stand Out
- Overall Financial Sector Decline: Financial stocks have dropped approximately 10% year-to-date, with consumer finance stocks suffering the most, down 21%, significantly impacting the entire financial sector.
- Visa and Mastercard's Market Position: As the largest payment processors in the U.S., Visa and Mastercard account for 76% of credit card purchase volume and 69% of all cards in circulation, and their lack of credit risk allows them to perform relatively well during economic downturns.
- Analyst Optimism for Visa and Mastercard: With 93% of analysts rating Mastercard as a 'buy' with a price target of $669, indicating a 34% upside, and 92% rating Visa with a target of $408, also suggesting a 34% potential gain, both companies are viewed favorably.
- S&P Global's Resilient Performance: As a dominant player in the credit ratings market, S&P Global, alongside Moody's, controls 80% of the market share, with a projected 5% increase in credit issuance in 2026, and its status as a Dividend King with 53 consecutive years of dividend increases underscores its financial strength.
See More
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- Loan Platform Expansion: SoFi has closed a transaction with a leading global bank for over $1 billion in loans and established a new partnership with a top-five global private asset management firm, expected to deliver up to $2 billion over two years, indicating sustained strong demand for personal loans.
- Strategic Partnerships: The company is committing over $3.6 billion in personal loan delivery across three new partnerships, showcasing the unique value of its Loan Platform Business in effectively connecting borrower demand with institutional capital, thereby driving a capital-light, fee-based revenue model.
- Market Reaction Analysis: Despite the growth potential of SoFi's Loan Platform Business, its stock fell more than 3% on Thursday, reflecting mixed sentiments among retail traders regarding its expansion plans, with shares down 40% year-to-date.
- Strong Borrower Demand: SoFi's Loan Platform Business secured over $10 billion in commitments by 2025 to meet borrower demand, underscoring the company's competitiveness and adaptability in the personal loan market.
See More
