Philip Morris Hits Record High on Q3 Earnings Beat: ETFs in Focus
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 25 2024
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Strong Financial Performance: Philip Morris International reported a significant recovery in 2024, with a 44% stock surge and robust third-quarter results, including adjusted EPS of $1.91 and net revenues of $9.9 billion, surpassing estimates due to increased demand for smoke-free products.
Future Growth Projections: The company anticipates adjusted EPS growth of 7.3-8.3% for 2024, alongside an expected increase in net revenues and operating income, driven by its focus on smoke-free alternatives like IQOS and ZYN nicotine pouches.
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Analyst Views on PM
Wall Street analysts forecast PM stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 184.300
Low
175.00
Averages
191.95
High
210.00
Current: 184.300
Low
175.00
Averages
191.95
High
210.00
About PM
Philip Morris International Inc. is an international tobacco company. The Company’s product portfolio primarily consists of cigarettes and smoke-free products. Its smoke-free business (SFB) also includes wellness and healthcare products, as well as consumer accessories, such as lighters and matches. The Company’s segments include Europe Region; South and Southeast Asia, Commonwealth of Independent States, Middle East and Africa Region (SSEA, CIS & MEA); East Asia, Australia & PMI Global Travel Retail (EA, AU & PMI GTR), and Americas Region. The Company's brands include Marlboro, HEETS, IQOS, IQOS ILUMA, TEREA, VEEV and ZYN. Its IQOS smoke-free product brand portfolio includes heated tobacco and nicotine-containing vapor products. Its international cigarette brands are Chesterfield, L&M, and Philip Morris. It also owns a number of local cigarette brands, such as Dji Sam Soe and Sampoerna A in Indonesia, and Fortune and Jackpot in the Philippines.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
U.S. Consumer Sentiment Rises Amid Energy Price Easing
- Consumer Sentiment Improvement: The University of Michigan's preliminary consumer sentiment index rose to 48.9 in June from a record low of 44.8 in May, indicating cautious optimism among consumers despite being the second-lowest level since the 1970s, reflecting lingering economic concerns.
- Energy Price Impact: A significant drop in oil prices, with U.S. crude down 3.4% to $84.76 per barrel, driven by optimism over a potential U.S.-Iran deal, served as a primary catalyst for the sentiment increase, particularly benefiting middle and lower-income households who are more sensitive to fuel costs.
- Strong Retail Spending: The rise in consumer morale aligns with data showing U.S. retail sales increased in May, driven by e-commerce growth, suggesting that household demand remains robust despite high borrowing costs and uneven inflation, as reported by the National Retail Federation.
- Divergent Stock Performance: Consumer staples stocks like Tyson Foods and Philip Morris saw slight gains, while consumer discretionary stocks faced pressure, with the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) rising about 0.1% and the consumer discretionary ETF (XLY) slipping 0.7%, indicating varying market confidence across sectors.
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Philip Morris Declares Quarterly Dividend
- Quarterly Dividend Declaration: Philip Morris International's Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $1.47 per common share, payable on July 20, 2026, reflecting the company's stable cash flow and commitment to shareholders.
- Dividend Payment Dates: The record date for the dividend is June 25, 2026, with the ex-dividend date also set for June 25, which will influence investors' holding decisions and may attract more long-term investors.
- Smoke-Free Product Market: As of December 31, 2025, Philip Morris's smoke-free products are sold in over 105 markets, with 43 million legal-age consumers using them, indicating significant progress in the company's transformation efforts.
- R&D Investment: Since 2008, Philip Morris has invested over $16 billion in developing smoke-free products, demonstrating the company's commitment to reducing cigarette sales and promoting the commercialization of healthier alternatives.
See More
Philip Morris Declares $1.47 Quarterly Dividend, Consistent Yield
- Stable Quarterly Dividend: Philip Morris has declared a quarterly dividend of $1.47 per share, consistent with previous quarters, demonstrating the company's ongoing ability to maintain cash flow and shareholder returns, which is likely to attract income-seeking investors.
- Dividend Payment Schedule: The dividend is payable on July 20, with a record date of June 25 and an ex-dividend date also on June 25, ensuring shareholders receive timely returns and bolstering investor confidence.
- Consistent Dividend Performance: The company has announced a dividend of $1.47 for four consecutive quarters, indicating its ability to uphold a stable dividend policy amid market challenges, reflecting management's confidence in future cash flows.
- Market Impact Analysis: Despite facing pressures from a $500 million impairment in Canada and ruble depreciation, the stable dividend policy may alleviate investor concerns regarding the company's long-term profitability, enhancing its appeal in the consumer staples sector.
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EU Illicit Cigarette Consumption Leads to €16.7 Billion Tax Revenue Loss
- Current Illicit Consumption: A recent KPMG study reveals that illicit cigarette consumption in the EU is projected to reach 10.3% of total consumption by 2025, resulting in an estimated €16.7 billion tax revenue loss, highlighting significant challenges in combating illicit trade in the region.
- Market Impact Analysis: Across 38 European countries, illicit consumption amounts to 55.3 billion cigarettes, leading to approximately €22.4 billion in state budget revenue losses, indicating the severe impact of illicit trade on the entire tobacco and nicotine value chain.
- Surge in Counterfeits: The consumption of counterfeit cigarettes is expected to hit 18.3 billion in 2025, accounting for 44% of illicit consumption and reflecting a year-on-year increase of over 20%, which not only exacerbates market chaos but also poses a direct threat to legitimate businesses.
- Characteristics of the French Market: France has emerged as the largest illicit cigarette market in Europe, with an illicit share of 41.4%, equating to 20.5 billion cigarettes, of which counterfeits account for nearly 9.7 billion, illustrating the negative effects of excessive taxation and product bans on market dynamics.
See More
Philip Morris International Rating Upgrade
- Rating Upgrade: Philip Morris International (PM) has received an 'overweight' rating, indicating analysts' optimistic outlook on its future performance, which may attract more investor interest.
- Price Target Set: Analysts have set an average price target of $194.4 for the company, reflecting the market's potential for stock appreciation, which could drive the stock price higher.
- Market Reaction Anticipation: The rating upgrade and price target increase may enhance investor confidence, thereby improving the liquidity and market performance of the company's stock, further solidifying its leadership position in the tobacco industry.
- Long-Term Growth Potential: With the company's ongoing investments in new products and market expansion, the analysts' positive rating may signal Philip Morris International's future growth potential and profitability.
See More
Zacks Analyst Blog Stock Updates
- Chevron's Strong Performance: Chevron's stock has risen 25.6% over the past six months, slightly below the industry's 27.1% gain, benefiting from higher oil prices and quality assets from the Hess acquisition, with production growth guidance of 7%-10% enhancing cash flow and market competitiveness.
- Goldman's Robust Growth: Goldman Sachs shares have increased by 28.3% in the past six months, significantly outperforming the industry's 2.7% growth, with earnings exceeding estimates for four consecutive quarters, as management focuses on sustainable revenue streams and diversifies through private equity market expansion.
- Philip Morris's Successful Transition: Philip Morris's stock has gained 16% over the last six months, surpassing the tobacco industry's 11.8% growth, with Q1 net revenues up 9.1% year-over-year, driven by smoke-free products contributing 43% of total revenues, indicating strong growth potential in this segment.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Zacks' stock-picking strategies have outperformed the S&P's average gain of 7.7% annually since 2000, with the latest recommendations of seven stocks expected to provide early price pop opportunities, reflecting Zacks' strong analytical capabilities and investment confidence.
See More
U.S. Consumer Sentiment Rises Amid Energy Price Easing
- Consumer Sentiment Improvement: The University of Michigan's preliminary consumer sentiment index rose to 48.9 in June from a record low of 44.8 in May, indicating cautious optimism among consumers despite being the second-lowest level since the 1970s, reflecting lingering economic concerns.
- Energy Price Impact: A significant drop in oil prices, with U.S. crude down 3.4% to $84.76 per barrel, driven by optimism over a potential U.S.-Iran deal, served as a primary catalyst for the sentiment increase, particularly benefiting middle and lower-income households who are more sensitive to fuel costs.
- Strong Retail Spending: The rise in consumer morale aligns with data showing U.S. retail sales increased in May, driven by e-commerce growth, suggesting that household demand remains robust despite high borrowing costs and uneven inflation, as reported by the National Retail Federation.
- Divergent Stock Performance: Consumer staples stocks like Tyson Foods and Philip Morris saw slight gains, while consumer discretionary stocks faced pressure, with the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) rising about 0.1% and the consumer discretionary ETF (XLY) slipping 0.7%, indicating varying market confidence across sectors.
See More
Philip Morris Declares Quarterly Dividend
- Quarterly Dividend Declaration: Philip Morris International's Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $1.47 per common share, payable on July 20, 2026, reflecting the company's stable cash flow and commitment to shareholders.
- Dividend Payment Dates: The record date for the dividend is June 25, 2026, with the ex-dividend date also set for June 25, which will influence investors' holding decisions and may attract more long-term investors.
- Smoke-Free Product Market: As of December 31, 2025, Philip Morris's smoke-free products are sold in over 105 markets, with 43 million legal-age consumers using them, indicating significant progress in the company's transformation efforts.
- R&D Investment: Since 2008, Philip Morris has invested over $16 billion in developing smoke-free products, demonstrating the company's commitment to reducing cigarette sales and promoting the commercialization of healthier alternatives.
See More
Philip Morris Declares $1.47 Quarterly Dividend, Consistent Yield
- Stable Quarterly Dividend: Philip Morris has declared a quarterly dividend of $1.47 per share, consistent with previous quarters, demonstrating the company's ongoing ability to maintain cash flow and shareholder returns, which is likely to attract income-seeking investors.
- Dividend Payment Schedule: The dividend is payable on July 20, with a record date of June 25 and an ex-dividend date also on June 25, ensuring shareholders receive timely returns and bolstering investor confidence.
- Consistent Dividend Performance: The company has announced a dividend of $1.47 for four consecutive quarters, indicating its ability to uphold a stable dividend policy amid market challenges, reflecting management's confidence in future cash flows.
- Market Impact Analysis: Despite facing pressures from a $500 million impairment in Canada and ruble depreciation, the stable dividend policy may alleviate investor concerns regarding the company's long-term profitability, enhancing its appeal in the consumer staples sector.
See More
EU Illicit Cigarette Consumption Leads to €16.7 Billion Tax Revenue Loss
- Current Illicit Consumption: A recent KPMG study reveals that illicit cigarette consumption in the EU is projected to reach 10.3% of total consumption by 2025, resulting in an estimated €16.7 billion tax revenue loss, highlighting significant challenges in combating illicit trade in the region.
- Market Impact Analysis: Across 38 European countries, illicit consumption amounts to 55.3 billion cigarettes, leading to approximately €22.4 billion in state budget revenue losses, indicating the severe impact of illicit trade on the entire tobacco and nicotine value chain.
- Surge in Counterfeits: The consumption of counterfeit cigarettes is expected to hit 18.3 billion in 2025, accounting for 44% of illicit consumption and reflecting a year-on-year increase of over 20%, which not only exacerbates market chaos but also poses a direct threat to legitimate businesses.
- Characteristics of the French Market: France has emerged as the largest illicit cigarette market in Europe, with an illicit share of 41.4%, equating to 20.5 billion cigarettes, of which counterfeits account for nearly 9.7 billion, illustrating the negative effects of excessive taxation and product bans on market dynamics.
See More
Philip Morris International Rating Upgrade
- Rating Upgrade: Philip Morris International (PM) has received an 'overweight' rating, indicating analysts' optimistic outlook on its future performance, which may attract more investor interest.
- Price Target Set: Analysts have set an average price target of $194.4 for the company, reflecting the market's potential for stock appreciation, which could drive the stock price higher.
- Market Reaction Anticipation: The rating upgrade and price target increase may enhance investor confidence, thereby improving the liquidity and market performance of the company's stock, further solidifying its leadership position in the tobacco industry.
- Long-Term Growth Potential: With the company's ongoing investments in new products and market expansion, the analysts' positive rating may signal Philip Morris International's future growth potential and profitability.
See More
Zacks Analyst Blog Stock Updates
- Chevron's Strong Performance: Chevron's stock has risen 25.6% over the past six months, slightly below the industry's 27.1% gain, benefiting from higher oil prices and quality assets from the Hess acquisition, with production growth guidance of 7%-10% enhancing cash flow and market competitiveness.
- Goldman's Robust Growth: Goldman Sachs shares have increased by 28.3% in the past six months, significantly outperforming the industry's 2.7% growth, with earnings exceeding estimates for four consecutive quarters, as management focuses on sustainable revenue streams and diversifies through private equity market expansion.
- Philip Morris's Successful Transition: Philip Morris's stock has gained 16% over the last six months, surpassing the tobacco industry's 11.8% growth, with Q1 net revenues up 9.1% year-over-year, driven by smoke-free products contributing 43% of total revenues, indicating strong growth potential in this segment.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Zacks' stock-picking strategies have outperformed the S&P's average gain of 7.7% annually since 2000, with the latest recommendations of seven stocks expected to provide early price pop opportunities, reflecting Zacks' strong analytical capabilities and investment confidence.
See More
