Nvidia: The Giant Potential in the AI Market
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 20 2026
0mins
Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: Fool
- Market Size Forecast: The global AI market is projected to reach $5.3 trillion by 2035, up from $274 billion in 2023, indicating a significant growth trend that will create generational wealth for investors and drive long-term growth for related companies.
- Revenue Growth Momentum: Nvidia achieved nearly $216 billion in revenue for fiscal 2026, a 65% increase year-over-year, with current quarter revenue expectations at $78 billion, suggesting a 77% year-over-year growth, highlighting its acceleration potential despite a massive revenue base.
- Dominance in AI Chip Market: The global AI chip market is expected to grow from $500 billion in 2026 to $1 trillion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of nearly 19%, and Nvidia holds a 90% market share, indicating substantial future growth opportunities.
- Full-Stack AI Strategy: Nvidia plans to invest $26 billion in open-weight AI models over the next year, aiming to enhance its control over the AI ecosystem by integrating hardware and software, thereby achieving sustainable long-term growth.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 167.520
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 167.520
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is a full-stack computing infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. The Company’s segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing platforms and artificial intelligence (AI) solutions and software; networking; automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms, and DGX Cloud computing services. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating industrial AI and digital twin applications.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
French AI Startup Mistral Secures $830 Million in Debt Financing
- Significant Financing: French AI startup Mistral has successfully secured $830 million in debt financing, which will be allocated towards building a data center near Paris, marking a substantial investment in AI infrastructure.
- Infrastructure Expansion Plans: The company plans to utilize these funds to acquire thousands of Nvidia chips to support the operation of its data center, aiming to enhance its competitiveness in AI model development, particularly against rivals like OpenAI and Anthropic.
- Demand-Driven Strategy: CEO Arthur Mensch stated that with surging demand from governments, enterprises, and research institutions for customized AI environments, Mistral will continue to invest in infrastructure to ensure that AI innovation and autonomy remain central to Europe.
- Strong Banking Support: The financing transaction was backed by a consortium of seven top-tier global banks, including Bpifrance, BNP Paribas, and Crédit Agricole CIB, reflecting strong market confidence in Mistral's future growth.
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- Market Demand and Challenges: While the concept of space data centers garners interest, practical implementation faces high launch costs and technical hurdles, with Nvidia's advancements potentially serving as a first step in overcoming these obstacles.
- Partnerships: Nvidia collaborates with several space tech companies, including Starcloud, which successfully launched the first satellite operating an Nvidia H100 GPU in space, showcasing its strategic positioning in the space market.
- Investment Outlook: Although market expectations for Nvidia's future growth have moderated, the current forward P/E ratio of 21.4 still reflects its core position in AI and data centers, with the success of space data centers likely to further enhance its market value.
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- Market Reaction: Following the scandal, Nvidia's stock has dropped 10%, although it still boasts a market cap of $4.1 trillion, reflecting investor concerns over high-valued tech stocks, especially in light of potential market restrictions.
- Chinese Market Opportunity: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang estimated that the AI market in China could reach $50 billion in the coming years, and this incident may hinder Nvidia's growth prospects in this lucrative market, despite the alleged smuggling amount being around $2.5 billion.
- Long-term Investment Outlook: While facing short-term risks, Nvidia's chips are likely to remain in high demand in the AI sector, prompting investors to consider adding to their positions during price dips, anticipating a potential rebound in the future.
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- Market Growth Potential: Nvidia's growth potential in the Chinese market is widely recognized, with CEO Jensen Huang estimating that the AI market could reach $50 billion in the coming years; however, the recent scandal involving Super Micro raises concerns about the stock's future performance amid fears of market restrictions.
- Smuggling Scandal Impact: The U.S. government has charged multiple individuals connected to Super Micro with smuggling Nvidia chips worth approximately $2.5 billion, which could undermine investor confidence in Nvidia, even though the company itself is not accused of wrongdoing.
- Stock Volatility: Nvidia's shares have fallen 10% this year, although they remain above the 52-week low of $87; the stock's price-to-earnings ratio is currently at 34, down from over 50 in the past year, yet it shows no signs of rallying amidst broader tech sector pressures.
- Long-Term Investment Outlook: Despite short-term risks, Nvidia's opportunities in AI remain substantial, with continued high demand for its chips, making the stock worth considering for long-term investment, even as it may dip further in the near future.
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- Oil Price Impact: U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices rose over 3% to above $100 per barrel; however, despite this typically leading to higher bond yields, the 10-year Treasury yield fell about 10 basis points to 4.32%, reflecting a cautious market response to short-term energy cost spikes.
- TJX Dividend and Buyback: TJX Companies announced a 14% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.48 per share and plans to repurchase approximately $2.5 billion to $2.75 billion of stock in the current fiscal year, signaling confidence in future earnings and cash flow growth, despite a modest dividend yield of 1.2%.
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Semiconductor Stocks Face Short-Term Downside Risks
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- Technical Indicator Warning: According to Tom DeMark's TD Combo model, SMH's long-term uptrend shows signs of exhaustion, with the last two 'sell' signals accurately predicting cyclical corrections in late 2021 and mid-2024, indicating a potential nine-month corrective phase ahead.
- Taiwan Semiconductor's Market Position: As the second-largest holding in SMH, TSMC's stock has recently broken down below the daily cloud model, facing short-term support at $293 from a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, with a further drop below $232 potentially exacerbating market downside pressure.
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See More
French AI Startup Mistral Secures $830 Million in Debt Financing
- Significant Financing: French AI startup Mistral has successfully secured $830 million in debt financing, which will be allocated towards building a data center near Paris, marking a substantial investment in AI infrastructure.
- Infrastructure Expansion Plans: The company plans to utilize these funds to acquire thousands of Nvidia chips to support the operation of its data center, aiming to enhance its competitiveness in AI model development, particularly against rivals like OpenAI and Anthropic.
- Demand-Driven Strategy: CEO Arthur Mensch stated that with surging demand from governments, enterprises, and research institutions for customized AI environments, Mistral will continue to invest in infrastructure to ensure that AI innovation and autonomy remain central to Europe.
- Strong Banking Support: The financing transaction was backed by a consortium of seven top-tier global banks, including Bpifrance, BNP Paribas, and Crédit Agricole CIB, reflecting strong market confidence in Mistral's future growth.
See More
Nvidia Advances Space Data Center Concept
- Potential of Space Data Centers: Nvidia's Space-1 Vera Rubin module, announced on March 16, aims to address data transmission bottlenecks in space by enabling real-time data analysis, thereby laying the groundwork for future orbital data centers.
- Market Demand and Challenges: While the concept of space data centers garners interest, practical implementation faces high launch costs and technical hurdles, with Nvidia's advancements potentially serving as a first step in overcoming these obstacles.
- Partnerships: Nvidia collaborates with several space tech companies, including Starcloud, which successfully launched the first satellite operating an Nvidia H100 GPU in space, showcasing its strategic positioning in the space market.
- Investment Outlook: Although market expectations for Nvidia's future growth have moderated, the current forward P/E ratio of 21.4 still reflects its core position in AI and data centers, with the success of space data centers likely to further enhance its market value.
See More
Super Micro Charged with Smuggling Nvidia Chips to China
- Smuggling Charges: The U.S. government has charged multiple individuals connected to Super Micro Computer, including co-founder Wally Liaw, with smuggling Nvidia's advanced chips to China, which could severely impact the reputation of both Super Micro and its partner Nvidia.
- Market Reaction: Following the scandal, Nvidia's stock has dropped 10%, although it still boasts a market cap of $4.1 trillion, reflecting investor concerns over high-valued tech stocks, especially in light of potential market restrictions.
- Chinese Market Opportunity: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang estimated that the AI market in China could reach $50 billion in the coming years, and this incident may hinder Nvidia's growth prospects in this lucrative market, despite the alleged smuggling amount being around $2.5 billion.
- Long-term Investment Outlook: While facing short-term risks, Nvidia's chips are likely to remain in high demand in the AI sector, prompting investors to consider adding to their positions during price dips, anticipating a potential rebound in the future.
See More
Nvidia Faces Risks from Chinese Market Scandal
- Market Growth Potential: Nvidia's growth potential in the Chinese market is widely recognized, with CEO Jensen Huang estimating that the AI market could reach $50 billion in the coming years; however, the recent scandal involving Super Micro raises concerns about the stock's future performance amid fears of market restrictions.
- Smuggling Scandal Impact: The U.S. government has charged multiple individuals connected to Super Micro with smuggling Nvidia chips worth approximately $2.5 billion, which could undermine investor confidence in Nvidia, even though the company itself is not accused of wrongdoing.
- Stock Volatility: Nvidia's shares have fallen 10% this year, although they remain above the 52-week low of $87; the stock's price-to-earnings ratio is currently at 34, down from over 50 in the past year, yet it shows no signs of rallying amidst broader tech sector pressures.
- Long-Term Investment Outlook: Despite short-term risks, Nvidia's opportunities in AI remain substantial, with continued high demand for its chips, making the stock worth considering for long-term investment, even as it may dip further in the near future.
See More
Market Volatility and TJX Dividend Increase
- Market Volatility: The S&P 500 struggled to maintain gains at the start of the holiday-shortened trading week, initially rising after President Trump's comments on the Iran war but subsequently falling, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq leading the decline, indicating market uncertainty.
- Oil Price Impact: U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices rose over 3% to above $100 per barrel; however, despite this typically leading to higher bond yields, the 10-year Treasury yield fell about 10 basis points to 4.32%, reflecting a cautious market response to short-term energy cost spikes.
- TJX Dividend and Buyback: TJX Companies announced a 14% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.48 per share and plans to repurchase approximately $2.5 billion to $2.75 billion of stock in the current fiscal year, signaling confidence in future earnings and cash flow growth, despite a modest dividend yield of 1.2%.
- Strong Long-term Performance: TJX shares have risen 298% over the past decade, with a total return of 358% when including reinvested dividends, demonstrating the company's consistent execution and off-price model's effectiveness in attracting value-seeking shoppers.
See More
Semiconductor Stocks Face Short-Term Downside Risks
- Market Performance Analysis: In Q1 2023, the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) showed strong performance, outperforming the S&P 500 by approximately 7 percentage points year-to-date; however, it faces short-term downside leadership risks that could impact overall market sentiment.
- Technical Indicator Warning: According to Tom DeMark's TD Combo model, SMH's long-term uptrend shows signs of exhaustion, with the last two 'sell' signals accurately predicting cyclical corrections in late 2021 and mid-2024, indicating a potential nine-month corrective phase ahead.
- Taiwan Semiconductor's Market Position: As the second-largest holding in SMH, TSMC's stock has recently broken down below the daily cloud model, facing short-term support at $293 from a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, with a further drop below $232 potentially exacerbating market downside pressure.
- Industry Outlook: Semiconductor stocks typically lead both uptrends and downtrends, thus the loss of relative strength for SMH and its constituents is viewed as a bearish signal for major indices, prompting investors to be cautious of the potential risks posed by bearish technical catalysts.
See More
