KNSL Trails Behind Industry, Sells at a Premium: Should You Hold the Stock?
Stock Performance: Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) shares have declined by 17.1% over the past year, underperforming the industry average growth of 6.8%, while trading at a premium compared to the Zacks Property and Casualty Insurance industry.
Earnings Growth and Estimates: The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts a 17.8% increase in Kinsale Capital's 2025 earnings per share, with a long-term earnings growth rate of 14.8%, significantly higher than the industry average of 7.3%.
Operational Efficiency: Kinsale Capital boasts a return on equity (ROE) of 25.6% and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 22.4%, both outperforming industry averages, indicating strong efficiency in utilizing shareholder funds.
Market Position and Strategy: The company is well-positioned in the excess and surplus (E&S) market, targeting small and medium-sized accounts with better pricing strategies, and has a solid dividend history along with a share repurchase program to enhance shareholder value.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on ACGL
About ACGL
About the author

- New Investment Disclosure: According to an SEC filing dated February 10, 2026, Robertson Opportunity Capital disclosed a new stake in MarketAxess (NASDAQ:MKTX) by purchasing 28,830 shares valued at approximately $5.23 million, indicating confidence in the company.
- Asset Allocation Change: This acquisition represents 1.9% of Robertson's 13F reportable assets, highlighting MarketAxess's significance in the portfolio and potentially influencing future investment decisions.
- Market Performance Analysis: As of February 9, 2026, MarketAxess shares were priced at $171.23, down 13.7% over the past year and underperforming the S&P 500 by 28 percentage points, reflecting market caution regarding its future growth.
- Growth Potential Assessment: Despite total sales only inching up 4% in 2025, MarketAxess saw average daily volumes in block trading, portfolio trading, and dealer-initiated trading increase by 29%, 41%, and 32% respectively, indicating significant growth opportunities in the largely untapped bond trading market.
- Innovative Collaboration: Arch RoamRight partners with Tern to become the first travel insurance provider to offer products directly through Tern's platform, enhancing purchasing convenience for travel advisors and travelers while solidifying its market leadership.
- Instant Insurance Access: This integration allows travel advisors and travelers to access Arch RoamRight's insurance products immediately when planning their trips, significantly improving customer experience and enhancing trust.
- Enhanced Customer Experience: The incorporation of Arch RoamRight's offerings into Tern's platform provides travelers with a one-stop solution for booking and protection, streamlining the travel planning process and increasing travel advisors' efficiency and client satisfaction.
- Strategic Market Positioning: This partnership not only demonstrates Arch RoamRight's commitment to technological innovation but also indicates its dedication to enhancing customer protection and service quality in the highly competitive travel insurance market.
- Significant Earnings Growth: Arch Capital generated $1.1 billion in after-tax operating income in Q4 2025, a 26% increase year-over-year, with total after-tax operating income reaching $3.7 billion for the year, showcasing the company's strong performance and profitability in the insurance market.
- Effective Capital Management: The company repurchased $1.9 billion of common stock in 2025, reflecting robust operating cash flows and capital generation capabilities, while book value per share increased by 22.6%, further enhancing shareholder value.
- Strong Insurance Segment Performance: The insurance group reported $119 million in underwriting income for Q4, with gross premiums written increasing by 2%, while the reinsurance segment achieved a record $1.6 billion in underwriting income for the year, indicating solid growth across business segments.
- Optimistic Outlook: Despite increased competition, management expressed measured optimism for 2026, expecting the operating expense ratio to range between 3.9% and 4.5%, demonstrating the company's ongoing focus on cost control and risk management.
- Rating Upgrade: Arch Capital Group has received an upgrade to an overweight rating, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on its future performance, which is likely to attract more investor attention.
- Price Target Set: Analysts have set an average price target of $107.15, indicating significant upside potential for the stock price, which may enhance market confidence in the company.
- Market Reaction: This rating upgrade could lead to a short-term increase in stock price, thereby boosting investor buying interest and further driving the company's market capitalization growth.
- Investor Confidence: With the rating elevation, Arch Capital Group is expected to attract more institutional investors, strengthening its competitive position in the insurance and reinsurance markets.
- Earnings Beat: Arch Capital reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $2.98, exceeding expectations by $0.41, indicating robust performance in its insurance and reinsurance segments, although shares only rose by 0.04%.
- Catastrophic Losses: The company faced pre-tax current accident year catastrophic losses of $164 million in its insurance and reinsurance segments, net of reinsurance and reinstatement premiums, highlighting ongoing market risks.
- Reserve Development: Arch Capital experienced favorable development in prior year loss reserves amounting to $118 million, net of related adjustments, showcasing effective risk management and loss control, which enhances financial stability.
- Share Buybacks: The company executed $798 million in share repurchases during Q4, reflecting confidence in its intrinsic value, while the book value per common share reached $65.11 as of December 31, 2025, marking a 4.5% increase from September 30, 2025.









