Is It Time to Buy, Sell, or Hold BILL Stock Ahead of Q4 Earnings?
Upcoming Earnings Report: BILL Holdings, Inc. will report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on August 27, with projected revenues of $370.5 to $380.5 million and non-GAAP EPS between 39 and 43 cents.
Revenue Estimates: The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter revenues is $375.70 million, reflecting a 9.3% year-over-year increase, while the full fiscal 2025 revenue estimate stands at $1.45 billion, indicating a 12.77% rise from the previous year.
Strategic Developments: BILL is expanding its offerings for small and midsize businesses (SMBs) with new solutions like Supplier Payments Plus and innovations in procurement and financial automation, despite facing economic headwinds affecting SMB spending.
Market Performance: BILL shares have declined by 4.8% over the past three months, trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 2.60X, which is below the industry average, while maintaining a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) amidst ongoing macroeconomic challenges.
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- Dave Inc Options Volume: Today, Dave Inc's options volume reached 4,250 contracts, representing approximately 425,000 shares, which accounts for 61.8% of its average daily trading volume of 687,930 shares over the past month, indicating a significant increase in market interest.
- High Strike Call Activity: Within Dave Inc, the $180 strike call option is particularly active, with 1,362 contracts traded today, equating to about 136,200 shares, suggesting that investors are increasingly optimistic about future price increases.
- Lululemon Options Volume: Concurrently, Lululemon's options volume hit 17,291 contracts, representing around 1.7 million shares, which is 56.6% of its average daily trading volume of 3.1 million shares over the past month, reflecting the brand's strong market performance.
- Lululemon High Strike Call Activity: For Lululemon, the $175 strike call option saw 853 contracts traded, amounting to approximately 85,300 shares, indicating investor confidence in its growth potential moving forward.
- Sale Overview: Greenhouse Funds LLLP disclosed the sale of 802,904 shares of Blackbaud during Q4 2025, with an estimated transaction value of $51.63 million, marking a complete exit from the company and reflecting concerns over the SaaS sector.
- Impact on Holdings: This transaction reduced Blackbaud's representation in Greenhouse Funds' 13F assets to zero, indicating a lack of confidence in the company's future performance, which could affect the overall performance of the fund's portfolio.
- Market Performance Analysis: As of February 13, 2026, Blackbaud's stock was priced at $49.08, with a one-year return of -39.2%, highlighting the company's vulnerable position in the market, which likely prompted the fund's decision to sell.
- Industry Trend Reflection: The sale by Greenhouse Funds aligns with the broader challenges faced by SaaS stocks, particularly as AI technologies rapidly evolve, putting cost pressures on many SaaS companies and prompting investors to reassess their investment strategies.
- Significant Trade Size: Greenhouse Funds LLLP sold 802,904 shares of Blackbaud in Q4 2025, with an estimated transaction value of $51.63 million, reflecting the fund's strategic exit from SaaS stocks amid market volatility.
- Asset Management Shift: This transaction reduced Greenhouse Funds' Blackbaud position value from 1.89% of AUM to 0, indicating a significant loss of confidence in Blackbaud, likely due to increasing industry uncertainties.
- Market Reaction: Blackbaud's stock continued to decline in 2026, validating the timing of Greenhouse Funds' exit and highlighting concerns about the company's future performance, especially with the rapid advancement of AI technologies.
- Investment Strategy Adjustment: This decision aligns with the broader trend in the SaaS industry, suggesting that the fund's management may prefer reallocating capital to other more promising investments to navigate market fluctuations.
Coinbase Announcement: Coinbase has announced that Billions (BILL) will be added to its listing roadmap.
Trading Launch Timing: The specific timing for the trading launch of BILL will be announced separately after meeting certain conditions.
- New Investment Activity: Starboard Value LP initiated a new position in Fluor Corporation (FLR) by acquiring 5,191,327 shares in Q4 2025, amounting to a total investment of $205.73 million, indicating confidence in Fluor's future growth prospects.
- Ownership Proportion Analysis: This acquisition accounts for 3.9% of Starboard's reportable AUM in its 13F filing, highlighting its significance within a diversified investment portfolio.
- Market Performance Review: As of February 17, 2026, Fluor's shares were priced at $48.57, reflecting a 22.2% increase over the past year, showcasing the company's recovery potential in the engineering and construction sector.
- Strategic Transformation Progress: Fluor has focused on restoring project discipline in recent years, shifting towards projects with more proportional risk structures, and if it can effectively manage project costs, it may enhance its profitability and cash flow stability.
- New Investment Disclosure: According to a February 17, 2026 SEC filing, Starboard Value LP disclosed a new position in Clearwater Analytics by purchasing 9,959,031 shares valued at $240.21 million, indicating confidence in the company's growth potential.
- Asset Management Proportion: This acquisition represents 4.55% of Starboard's reportable assets under management as of December 31, 2025, highlighting the importance of Clearwater in their investment strategy and potentially influencing future allocations.
- Market Performance Analysis: As of February 17, 2026, Clearwater's shares were priced at $22.93, reflecting a 17% decline over the past year and underperforming the S&P 500 by 26.7 percentage points, which suggests market caution regarding its growth outlook.
- Business Model and Challenges: Clearwater Analytics focuses on providing automated investment data management solutions for institutional clients; while its cloud platform ensures steady recurring revenue, the complexity of client onboarding may slow margin growth, prompting investors to assess whether revenue can outpace service delivery costs.











