Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent data and upcoming earnings report, here's a concise analysis of ADSK stock:

Technical Analysis

The stock has been trading in a consolidation pattern between $250-$260 over the past month, showing relative stability ahead of earnings. Recent price action suggests accumulation with higher lows being formed.

Fundamental Outlook

• Revenue growth of 11% YoY with strong margins (89.94% gross margin)
• Healthy ROE of 60.4% indicates efficient capital utilization
• Current P/E ratio of 60.51x suggests premium valuation but justified given growth profile

Upcoming Catalyst According to recent news, Autodesk will report earnings on February 27th, 2025. The market will be closely watching this report for:

• Q4 performance metrics
• FY2026 guidance
• Commentary on AI integration progress

Recent Insider Activity Director Mary T McDowell sold 550 shares at $264.74 on February 15th, which represents a small portion of her total holdings (38,766 shares remaining). This isolated sale doesn't indicate a strong bearish signal.

Based on the technical setup showing price stability, solid fundamentals, and upcoming earnings catalyst, ADSK appears positioned for potential upside. Consider buying with a stop loss below $250 support level.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for ADSK stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

Current Market Position

• Current Price: $287.95 (Pre-market +1.04%)
• Key Support Levels: $281.70, $271.89 (Fibonacci)
• Key Resistance Levels: $307.38, $313.44 (Fibonacci)

Price Target Analysis The stock price is expected to reach $357 by end of 2025, representing a ~24% upside from current levels. This projection is supported by:

1. Strong fundamentals and cash flow growth - Autodesk is expected to see over 40% free cash flow growth in FY2025

2. Aggressive capital return potential - The company could deploy cash more aggressively toward shareholder returns in 2025

3. Technical setup - The stock has pulled back 8% from recent highs, creating an attractive entry point while maintaining its long-term uptrend

Key Risks

• New CFO transition period and FY26 uncertainty
• Potential broader market volatility in early 2025
• Valuation remains elevated with forward P/E of 60x

The S1 support level for ADSK Stock is $283.91 ,The R1 resistant level for ADSK Stock is $302.6.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-26, the price of ADSK Stock was $284.24.

The target price for ADSK Stock according to analyst rating is 347.00, with the highest price target at 400.00 and the lowest at 290.00. Analysts have a Strong Buy rating on ADSK Stock overall.

The market cap of ADSK is $61.0B.

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's a comprehensive analysis of ADSK's valuation:

Technical Analysis

The stock is showing bearish technical signals with RSI at 37.30 indicating a moderately oversold condition. The MACD is negative at -1.72 with a bearish histogram of -2.12, suggesting downward momentum.

Valuation Metrics

The stock appears overvalued based on several key metrics:

• Forward P/E of 60.51x is significantly higher than industry average
• EV/EBITDA of 41.35x indicates premium valuation
• P/S ratio of 9.97x suggests expensive pricing relative to sales
• P/B ratio of 29.28x is substantially above typical software industry levels

Financial Performance

While showing strong fundamentals:

• Revenue grew from $4.39B to $5.50B (2022-2024)
• Net income increased from $497M to $906M
• Gross margin improved to 89.94%
• Net margin expanded to 16.48%

Recent Developments According to recent reports, Piper Sandler upgraded ADSK with a price target of $357, citing potential for more aggressive capital return in 2025. However, there are concerns about execution risks with the new CFO appointment.

Conclusion ADSK appears overvalued at current levels due to:

• Premium valuation multiples across all metrics
• Technical indicators showing bearish momentum
• While fundamentals are strong, current pricing appears to have priced in significant future growth

Autodesk, Inc. is engaged in three-dimensional (3D) design, engineering and entertainment technology solutions, spanning architecture, engineering, construction, product design, manufacturing, media and entertainment. Its product offerings are focused on four primary product families: Architecture, Engineering and Construction, AutoCAD and AutoCAD LT, Manufacturing, and Media and Entertainment. Its products include AutoCAD Civil 3D; Building Connected; Architecture, Engineering and Construction Collection; Autodesk Build; Revit; AutoCAD; AutoCAD LT; Computer-Aided Manufacturing (CAM) Solutions; Fusion 360; Product Design and Manufacturing Collection; Inventor; Vault; Media and Entertainment Collection; Maya; ShotGrid, and 3ds Max. Its product development and manufacturing software provides manufacturers in automotive, transportation, industrial machinery, consumer products, and building product industries with digital design, engineering, manufacturing, and production solutions.

Based on the provided data and context, I'll analyze ADSK's potential price for 2030:

Technical Analysis & Current Position

Current Market Status

• Current Price: $287.95 (Pre-market +1.04%)
• Fibonacci Levels show strong resistance at $307.38 (R1) and support at $287.76 (S1)

Growth Catalysts & Future Outlook

1. Business Model Evolution:

• Successful transition to subscription-based model
• Strong billing growth (28% in Q3 FY25)
• Robust performance across major platforms including AEC, AutoCAD, Manufacturing, and Media & Entertainment

2. Capital Return Potential:

• Expected to deploy cash more aggressively toward capital return in coming years
• Free cash flow growth projected over 40% in 2025

3. Analyst Sentiment:

• Recent price target upgrades:
  • Piper Sandler: $357 (Upgraded to Overweight)
  • BofA: $335
• Strong consensus among analysts with majority maintaining "Strong Buy" ratings

2030 Price Prediction

Based on these factors, ADSK stock price prediction for 2030:

• Base Case: $550-600 Reasoning: Continued market leadership in design software, successful execution of subscription model, and steady growth in core segments

• Bull Case: $700-750 Reasoning: Accelerated adoption of digital transformation, successful AI integration, and aggressive capital return policies

• Bear Case: $400-450 Reasoning: Increased competition, economic downturn affecting construction markets, or execution challenges

Most likely scenario: Base Case ($550-600) given Autodesk's strong market position, successful business model transition, and consistent growth trajectory.

ADSK has a total of 14100 employees.