Home Depot's Market Leadership and Investment Insights
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 04 2026
0mins
Source: Fool
- Broad Market Coverage: Approximately 90% of the U.S. population lives within 10 miles of a Home Depot location, showcasing the company's market leadership; however, it has only achieved a disappointing total return of 12% over the past five years, significantly lagging behind the S&P 500's 94% return.
- Cyclical Demand Characteristics: Home Depot's demand is cyclical, with revenue jumping 19.9% and 14.4% during the pandemic, but growth is expected to slow to an annualized rate of just 2.2% between fiscal 2021 and 2025 due to high interest rates and inflationary pressures.
- Importance of Professional Customers: About 50% of Home Depot's revenue comes from professional customers, who represent only 10% of its customer base, yet their sales growth outpaces that of DIY customers, highlighting the company's significant advantage in this high-value segment.
- Capital Return Strategy: Despite cyclical challenges, Home Depot generated $14.2 billion in net income in fiscal 2025 and reduced its diluted share count by 7.3% over the past five years, demonstrating its ongoing profitability and commitment to returning cash to shareholders.
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Analyst Views on HD
Wall Street analysts forecast HD stock price to rise
23 Analyst Rating
17 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 327.480
Low
320.00
Averages
401.47
High
441.00
Current: 327.480
Low
320.00
Averages
401.47
High
441.00
About HD
The Home Depot, Inc. is a home improvement retailer. The Company is engaged in retail operations and sells an assortment of home improvement products, building materials, lawn and garden products, decor products, and facilities maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products, in stores and online. It also provides a number of services, including home improvement installation services, and tool and equipment rental. It operates four lines of business: roofing and building products; interior and construction products; landscape, and pool. It operates a total of 2,361 retail stores and over 1,280 SRS locations across all 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, Guam, 10 Canadian provinces and Mexico. Its store averages 105,000 square feet of indoor retail space, interconnected with an e-commerce business that offers products for the do-it-yourself (DIY) customer, professional contractors, and the installation business for the Do-It-For-Me customer.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Analysis of Three Stocks Bearish on Wall Street
- Home Depot's Growth Challenges: Home Depot (HD) has experienced only a 2.3% annual revenue increase over the past three years, significantly lagging behind other consumer retail companies, which may lead to continued underperformance in the market.
- Starbucks Sales Decline: Starbucks (SBUX) is projected to see a 2.6% sales decline over the next 12 months, and its same-store sales have been disappointing for the past two years, forcing the company to potentially adjust its pricing and marketing strategies to stimulate demand.
- Hubbell's Strong Performance: Hubbell (HUBB) has achieved a 10.2% annual sales growth over the past five years, and its share buybacks have propelled its earnings per share growth to 19.7%, indicating robust market performance and profitability.
- Market Sentiment Analysis: While Home Depot and Starbucks face significant challenges, Hubbell's strong performance and healthy cash flow provide flexibility for future investments and shareholder returns, highlighting the varying market outlooks for different companies.
See More
Analyst Blog Highlights: Stocks Featured by Zacks
- NVIDIA Performance Analysis: NVIDIA's shares have underperformed over the past two years with a growth rate of 52.9%, lagging behind the semiconductor industry's 64.7%, facing risks from supply chain execution and intensifying competition, yet strong demand for AI infrastructure continues to support its growth potential.
- Oracle Cloud Growth: Oracle's shares have outperformed the software industry over the past six months with a 4.6% increase, benefiting from robust cloud infrastructure growth and strategic partnerships, although competition from hyperscalers may pressure margins.
- Home Depot's Market Strategy: Home Depot's shares have outperformed the home furnishings retail industry over the past year with a decline of 2.9%, enhancing service capabilities through integrated retail strategies and digital investments, but facing pressures from unfavorable sales mix and rising costs.
- Catalyst's Community Banking Model: Catalyst's shares have increased by 27.9% over the past year, outperforming the banking industry at 16.3%, supported by its community-focused banking model and stable deposit base, although interest rate volatility and economic weakness may impact growth.
See More
Recap of CNBC Investing Club Monthly Meeting
- Portfolio Analysis: During the June Monthly Meeting, Jim Cramer and Jeff Marks provided an in-depth analysis of 35 portfolio stocks, highlighting their preference for Intel due to its significant upside potential in data center CPU growth, particularly in the context of competition with TSMC.
- Tech Giants Restructuring: Cramer noted a reordering of the 'Magnificent Seven,' with newcomers like SpaceX and the yet-to-go-public Anthropic and OpenAI emerging as formidable competitors, indicating intensified market competition, especially in the AI sector.
- Strengths of Alphabet and Apple: Alphabet is positioned advantageously in the AI era with its YouTube and Waymo businesses, while Apple leverages its ecosystem of over 2.5 billion iPhone users to strengthen its AI partnership with Alphabet, showcasing both companies' robust market positions.
- Market Dynamics and Investment Strategy: Despite challenges faced by Meta and Microsoft, Cramer advises maintaining investments in Amazon and Nvidia, believing that the latter's GPU demand will continue to grow, and that Amazon's cloud business remains highly profitable.
See More
LGBTQ+ Consumers Shift Spending Based on DEI Commitments
- Changing Consumer Trends: According to a survey by the Human Rights Campaign Foundation, 72% of LGBTQ+ consumers report reducing purchases from companies perceived to be scaling back on diversity and inclusion commitments, highlighting consumer sensitivity to corporate social responsibility.
- Brand Loyalty Shifts: The survey indicates that Target, Walmart, and Amazon are viewed as companies losing support, while Costco, Apple, and Kroger gained favor due to their strong DEI policies, reflecting the direct impact of brand image on consumer behavior.
- Significant Economic Impact: The National LGBT Chamber of Commerce estimates that LGBTQ+ consumers represent over $1.7 trillion in economic spending power in the U.S., compelling businesses to take their diversity and inclusion policies seriously to maintain market share.
- Corporate Responses and Challenges: While Amazon claims to continue supporting its employees and diverse customer base, Target faced backlash from both political sides over its DEI policies, leading to reduced sales in summer 2023, illustrating how corporate stances on DEI can significantly affect sales performance.
See More
LGBTQ+ Consumers Shift Brand Loyalties Based on DEI Policies
- Changing Consumer Trends: Research from the Human Rights Campaign Foundation reveals that nearly 72% of LGBTQ+ consumers are reducing purchases from companies perceived to be diminishing their diversity and inclusion commitments, highlighting a significant consumer focus on corporate social responsibility.
- Brand Impact: The survey identifies Target, Walmart, Amazon, Chick-Fil-A, and Home Depot as the companies most frequently linked to reduced spending, indicating that shortcomings in diversity and inclusion policies can lead to customer attrition.
- Rewarding Supportive Brands: Nearly 70% of LGBTQ+ consumers report increasing spending on companies they view as supportive of diversity and inclusion, with Costco, Apple, Ben & Jerry's, Delta Air Lines, and Kroger cited as beneficiaries, demonstrating that corporate social responsibility can effectively enhance customer loyalty.
- Significant Market Potential: The National LGBT Chamber of Commerce estimates that LGBTQ+ consumers contribute over $1.7 trillion to the U.S. economy, suggesting that investments in diversity and inclusion are not only a moral obligation but also a strategic move to capture a substantial market share.
See More
Home Renovation Boom 2.0: Home Depot Positioned for Growth
- Strong Cash Flow: Home Depot generates $14 billion in annual free cash flow, with consistent growth over the past decade, demonstrating the company's robust profitability and stability in the home improvement market.
- Significant Dividend Growth: The company has achieved an 11% annualized dividend increase over the past five years and has repurchased 17% of its outstanding shares in the last decade, enhancing investor returns and market confidence.
- Surge in Renovation Demand: With the average American home now 44 years old, homeowners are opting to renovate rather than move due to high mortgage rates, with projected remodeling spending reaching $518 billion this year, driving sales growth for Home Depot.
- AI Tools Enhance Efficiency: Home Depot's recently launched AI tools can convert construction blueprints into material lists in days, improving contractor efficiency and increasing material orders, further solidifying the company's market position.
See More
Analysis of Three Stocks Bearish on Wall Street
- Home Depot's Growth Challenges: Home Depot (HD) has experienced only a 2.3% annual revenue increase over the past three years, significantly lagging behind other consumer retail companies, which may lead to continued underperformance in the market.
- Starbucks Sales Decline: Starbucks (SBUX) is projected to see a 2.6% sales decline over the next 12 months, and its same-store sales have been disappointing for the past two years, forcing the company to potentially adjust its pricing and marketing strategies to stimulate demand.
- Hubbell's Strong Performance: Hubbell (HUBB) has achieved a 10.2% annual sales growth over the past five years, and its share buybacks have propelled its earnings per share growth to 19.7%, indicating robust market performance and profitability.
- Market Sentiment Analysis: While Home Depot and Starbucks face significant challenges, Hubbell's strong performance and healthy cash flow provide flexibility for future investments and shareholder returns, highlighting the varying market outlooks for different companies.
See More
Analyst Blog Highlights: Stocks Featured by Zacks
- NVIDIA Performance Analysis: NVIDIA's shares have underperformed over the past two years with a growth rate of 52.9%, lagging behind the semiconductor industry's 64.7%, facing risks from supply chain execution and intensifying competition, yet strong demand for AI infrastructure continues to support its growth potential.
- Oracle Cloud Growth: Oracle's shares have outperformed the software industry over the past six months with a 4.6% increase, benefiting from robust cloud infrastructure growth and strategic partnerships, although competition from hyperscalers may pressure margins.
- Home Depot's Market Strategy: Home Depot's shares have outperformed the home furnishings retail industry over the past year with a decline of 2.9%, enhancing service capabilities through integrated retail strategies and digital investments, but facing pressures from unfavorable sales mix and rising costs.
- Catalyst's Community Banking Model: Catalyst's shares have increased by 27.9% over the past year, outperforming the banking industry at 16.3%, supported by its community-focused banking model and stable deposit base, although interest rate volatility and economic weakness may impact growth.
See More
Recap of CNBC Investing Club Monthly Meeting
- Portfolio Analysis: During the June Monthly Meeting, Jim Cramer and Jeff Marks provided an in-depth analysis of 35 portfolio stocks, highlighting their preference for Intel due to its significant upside potential in data center CPU growth, particularly in the context of competition with TSMC.
- Tech Giants Restructuring: Cramer noted a reordering of the 'Magnificent Seven,' with newcomers like SpaceX and the yet-to-go-public Anthropic and OpenAI emerging as formidable competitors, indicating intensified market competition, especially in the AI sector.
- Strengths of Alphabet and Apple: Alphabet is positioned advantageously in the AI era with its YouTube and Waymo businesses, while Apple leverages its ecosystem of over 2.5 billion iPhone users to strengthen its AI partnership with Alphabet, showcasing both companies' robust market positions.
- Market Dynamics and Investment Strategy: Despite challenges faced by Meta and Microsoft, Cramer advises maintaining investments in Amazon and Nvidia, believing that the latter's GPU demand will continue to grow, and that Amazon's cloud business remains highly profitable.
See More
LGBTQ+ Consumers Shift Spending Based on DEI Commitments
- Changing Consumer Trends: According to a survey by the Human Rights Campaign Foundation, 72% of LGBTQ+ consumers report reducing purchases from companies perceived to be scaling back on diversity and inclusion commitments, highlighting consumer sensitivity to corporate social responsibility.
- Brand Loyalty Shifts: The survey indicates that Target, Walmart, and Amazon are viewed as companies losing support, while Costco, Apple, and Kroger gained favor due to their strong DEI policies, reflecting the direct impact of brand image on consumer behavior.
- Significant Economic Impact: The National LGBT Chamber of Commerce estimates that LGBTQ+ consumers represent over $1.7 trillion in economic spending power in the U.S., compelling businesses to take their diversity and inclusion policies seriously to maintain market share.
- Corporate Responses and Challenges: While Amazon claims to continue supporting its employees and diverse customer base, Target faced backlash from both political sides over its DEI policies, leading to reduced sales in summer 2023, illustrating how corporate stances on DEI can significantly affect sales performance.
See More
LGBTQ+ Consumers Shift Brand Loyalties Based on DEI Policies
- Changing Consumer Trends: Research from the Human Rights Campaign Foundation reveals that nearly 72% of LGBTQ+ consumers are reducing purchases from companies perceived to be diminishing their diversity and inclusion commitments, highlighting a significant consumer focus on corporate social responsibility.
- Brand Impact: The survey identifies Target, Walmart, Amazon, Chick-Fil-A, and Home Depot as the companies most frequently linked to reduced spending, indicating that shortcomings in diversity and inclusion policies can lead to customer attrition.
- Rewarding Supportive Brands: Nearly 70% of LGBTQ+ consumers report increasing spending on companies they view as supportive of diversity and inclusion, with Costco, Apple, Ben & Jerry's, Delta Air Lines, and Kroger cited as beneficiaries, demonstrating that corporate social responsibility can effectively enhance customer loyalty.
- Significant Market Potential: The National LGBT Chamber of Commerce estimates that LGBTQ+ consumers contribute over $1.7 trillion to the U.S. economy, suggesting that investments in diversity and inclusion are not only a moral obligation but also a strategic move to capture a substantial market share.
See More
Home Renovation Boom 2.0: Home Depot Positioned for Growth
- Strong Cash Flow: Home Depot generates $14 billion in annual free cash flow, with consistent growth over the past decade, demonstrating the company's robust profitability and stability in the home improvement market.
- Significant Dividend Growth: The company has achieved an 11% annualized dividend increase over the past five years and has repurchased 17% of its outstanding shares in the last decade, enhancing investor returns and market confidence.
- Surge in Renovation Demand: With the average American home now 44 years old, homeowners are opting to renovate rather than move due to high mortgage rates, with projected remodeling spending reaching $518 billion this year, driving sales growth for Home Depot.
- AI Tools Enhance Efficiency: Home Depot's recently launched AI tools can convert construction blueprints into material lists in days, improving contractor efficiency and increasing material orders, further solidifying the company's market position.
See More
