Blue Owl Capital Maintains Buy Rating Amid Choppy Performance
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 23 2026
0mins
Should l Buy OWL?
Source: CNBC
- Strong Institutional Demand: According to TD Cowen's report, despite facing near-term volatility, institutional demand for alternative assets remains robust, leading analysts to maintain a buy rating while lowering the 12-month price target from $16 to $14, still implying about 54% upside potential.
- Increased Redemption Pressure: Analyst Bill Katz noted that Blue Owl Capital is experiencing elevated redemption cycles, which are expected to impact earnings and cause short-term stock price fluctuations, particularly after pausing quarterly redemptions, raising investor concerns over risks in the nearly $2 trillion private credit market.
- Ample Liquidity: Despite the redemption pressures, TD Cowen indicated that Blue Owl's funds demonstrate ample liquidity even under extreme scenarios, suggesting that the company will not be a 'forced seller' of assets, providing a degree of reassurance to investors.
- Dividend Support: TD Cowen believes that Blue Owl Capital's 9.9% dividend yield will help support the stock price, and a 20 times multiple on the remaining pieces of the company still suggests a stock value of about $15, indicating its long-term investment potential.
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Analyst Views on OWL
Wall Street analysts forecast OWL stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 8.840
Low
18.00
Averages
21.13
High
28.00
Current: 8.840
Low
18.00
Averages
21.13
High
28.00
About OWL
Blue Owl Capital Inc. is an alternative asset management company. The Company deploys private capital across Credit, GP Strategic Capital and Real Estate platforms on behalf of institutional and private wealth clients. Its product platforms include Credit, GP Strategic Capital and Real Estate. Its credit products offer private financing solutions primarily to upper-middle-market companies. Its credit products are offered through a mix of business development companies, long-dated private funds, managed accounts and collateralized loan obligations. It is focused on acquiring equity stakes in or providing debt financing to private capital firms. Its Real Estate products are focused on acquiring triple net lease real estate occupied by investment-grade or creditworthy tenants. Its Real Estate products are offered through Permanent Capital vehicles, including its real estate investment trusts, and long-dated private funds. It offers asset management services to the insurance industry.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Total Fundraising: Since its inception, Blue Owl has raised over $22 billion across various private offerings and share classes, indicating strong performance in the private credit market and its ability to continuously attract investors.
- Portfolio Structure: As of February 28, Blue Owl's portfolio includes debt investments in 347 companies with a total par value of $34.2 billion, with 87.8% of investments being first-lien debt, reflecting its strategic focus on risk management.
- Liquidity Management: Blue Owl holds approximately $3.9 billion in level 2 liquid assets and $780 million in cash, providing ample liquidity for operations and investor activities, ensuring income generation capabilities amid rising interest rates.
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Investor Sentiment: There is growing investor wariness regarding potential defaults and liquidity tightening, leading to significant sell-offs in Blue Owl's stock, despite some analysts suggesting that the market may have overreacted to recent performance issues.
Analyst Ratings: Recent shifts in analyst sentiment have turned bullish, with firms like BMO Capital Markets and TD Cowen reiterating buy-equivalent ratings, indicating a belief in the company's long-term stability and growth potential.
Earnings and Dividends: Blue Owl's earnings visibility is bolstered by its fee-based model, and it has a strong track record of dividend increases, making it an attractive option for income-focused investors despite current market volatility.
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- Redemption Pressures: As a representative of several private credit managers, Blue Owl has recently faced a wave of redemptions from retail-focused funds, partly due to concerns surrounding software companies, reflecting current market uncertainties.
- Shifting Investor Preferences: According to a JPMorgan survey, about 60% of 333 global family offices have no allocation to private credit, while approximately 30% plan to increase their exposure in the sector over the next 12 to 18 months, suggesting a growing comfort among wealthy investors with less liquid funds.
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- Private Capital Raise: Blue Owl Capital raised $20.7 million by selling 2.27 million unregistered Class I shares, which supports its public fundraising efforts and demonstrates the firm's proactive approach to expanding its lending portfolio.
- Total Fundraising: Since its inception, Blue Owl has raised over $22 billion across various private offerings and share classes, indicating strong performance in the private credit market and its ability to continuously attract investors.
- Portfolio Structure: As of February 28, Blue Owl's portfolio includes debt investments in 347 companies with a total par value of $34.2 billion, with 87.8% of investments being first-lien debt, reflecting its strategic focus on risk management.
- Liquidity Management: Blue Owl holds approximately $3.9 billion in level 2 liquid assets and $780 million in cash, providing ample liquidity for operations and investor activities, ensuring income generation capabilities amid rising interest rates.
See More
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- Mortgage Stocks Rally: Shares of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac surged over 30% on Monday after billionaire Bill Ackman labeled them as 'stupidly cheap' in a social media post, indicating strong market confidence in their future potential.
- Boston Scientific Downgrade: Boston Scientific's stock fell more than 9% after Raymond James downgraded it from strong buy to outperform, reflecting concerns over weakening trends in its key growth areas and leading investors to adopt a cautious stance on its future performance.
- Cybersecurity Gains: Palo Alto Networks saw its shares jump over 7% after CEO Nikesh Arora disclosed a $10 million stock purchase, demonstrating market confidence in the company's growth prospects amid rising demand for cybersecurity solutions.
- United Therapeutics Innovation: United Therapeutics' stock rose nearly 13%, reaching a 52-week high, following positive phase 3 clinical trial results for its main product Tyvaso, and its plan to seek priority FDA review to expand the drug's label, showcasing strategic advancements in lung disease treatment.
See More
Blue Owl's Risk/Reward Profile Appears Exceptionally Favorable
Current Stock Performance: Blue Owl Capital's shares are trading around $9, down over 65% from last year's highs, raising concerns about the company's stability in the private credit space amid a challenging market environment.
Investor Sentiment: There is growing investor wariness regarding potential defaults and liquidity tightening, leading to significant sell-offs in Blue Owl's stock, despite some analysts suggesting that the market may have overreacted to recent performance issues.
Analyst Ratings: Recent shifts in analyst sentiment have turned bullish, with firms like BMO Capital Markets and TD Cowen reiterating buy-equivalent ratings, indicating a belief in the company's long-term stability and growth potential.
Earnings and Dividends: Blue Owl's earnings visibility is bolstered by its fee-based model, and it has a strong track record of dividend increases, making it an attractive option for income-focused investors despite current market volatility.
See More
Medallia's Challenges Pose Risks for Private Credit, Affecting Blackstone and Thoma Bravo.
- Medallia's Market Position: Medallia is identified as a significant issue within the private credit markets, highlighting its challenges and vulnerabilities.
- Exposure of Firms: Two firms are noted to have the most exposure to Medallia, indicating potential risks for their financial stability.
See More
Blue Owl Capital Seeks Partnerships with Family Offices
- Family Office Partnerships: Blue Owl Capital is actively seeking to partner with family offices to attract ultra-wealthy investors into private markets, indicating a strategic focus on high-net-worth clientele.
- Redemption Pressures: As a representative of several private credit managers, Blue Owl has recently faced a wave of redemptions from retail-focused funds, partly due to concerns surrounding software companies, reflecting current market uncertainties.
- Shifting Investor Preferences: According to a JPMorgan survey, about 60% of 333 global family offices have no allocation to private credit, while approximately 30% plan to increase their exposure in the sector over the next 12 to 18 months, suggesting a growing comfort among wealthy investors with less liquid funds.
- Diverse Investment Opportunities: Blue Owl's partnership opportunities range from large-scale co-investments to pooled vehicles, aiming to enhance its competitiveness in the private market through diversified investment strategies.
See More
BLUE OWL CREDIT INCOME CORP: DEBT INVESTMENTS IN 347 PORTFOLIO COMPANIES TOTALING $34.21 BILLION AS OF FEBRUARY 28
- Company Overview: Blue Owl Credit Income Corp. has made investments in 347 portfolio companies.
- Investment Value: The aggregate par value of these investments is reported to be $34.21 billion as of February 28.
See More
