Amazon's Cloud Business Poised for Strong Growth
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Should l Buy AMZN?
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Profit Dominance from Cloud: In Q4, AWS accounted for 50% of Amazon's operating profits despite only representing 17% of total sales, highlighting the critical role of cloud computing in overall profitability and its potential to drive future profit growth.
- Significant Revenue Growth: AWS achieved a 24% revenue growth in Q4, marking its best performance in over three years, indicating strong market demand and the likelihood of accelerating growth, which will enhance Amazon's competitive position.
- Massive Capital Expenditure: Amazon plans to invest $200 billion in infrastructure expansion; while this high spending raises questions, the company anticipates significant long-term benefits to free cash flow, reflecting confidence in future growth.
- Attractive Valuation for Investors: Amazon's operating cash flow multiple stands at 19 times, lower than Apple and Alphabet, suggesting that the current stock price remains attractive, providing investors an opportunity to buy before AWS potentially takes off.
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Analyst Views on AMZN
Wall Street analysts forecast AMZN stock price to rise
44 Analyst Rating
41 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 248.280
Low
175.00
Averages
280.01
High
325.00
Current: 248.280
Low
175.00
Averages
280.01
High
325.00
About AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc. provides a range of products and services to customers. The products offered through its stores include merchandise and content it has purchased for resale and products offered by third-party sellers. The Company’s segments include North America, International and Amazon Web Services (AWS). It serves consumers through its online and physical stores and focuses on selection, price, and convenience. Customers access its offerings through its websites, mobile apps, Alexa, devices, streaming, and physically visiting its stores. It also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, Fire tablet, Fire TV, Echo, Ring, Blink, and eero, and develops and produces media content. It serves developers and enterprises of all sizes, including start-ups, government agencies, and academic institutions, through AWS, which offers a set of on-demand technology services, including compute, storage, database, analytics, and machine learning, and other services.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- AI Demand Driving Revenue: With surging demand for AI services from companies like Anthropic, AWS is projected to generate over $1 billion in a single quarter, reflecting the rapid growth of AI workloads on cloud platforms.
- Short-Term Profit Pressures: Despite strong demand for AI-related services, there may be short-term profit pressures, particularly as corporate infrastructure spending increases, prompting Amazon to implement cost-cutting measures, including layoffs, to mitigate these challenges.
- Overall Business Performance: Internal data indicates a slight increase in internet spending compared to the previous quarter, which is expected to boost overall revenue, suggesting that Amazon's core business outside of AWS is also experiencing steady growth.
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- Market Impact: As demand for cloud computing continues to rise, this investment by Anthropic is expected to not only propel its own technological advancements but also have a profound impact on the industry, fostering innovation and development in related technologies.
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- Microsoft's AI Ecosystem: Microsoft's forward P/E ratio stands at 21, a 45% discount from its 2024 peak, despite nearly 40% year-over-year growth in Azure cloud revenues, indicating market undervaluation of its AI software, which could impact future investor confidence.
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- Cloud Growth Expectations: Bank of America raised Amazon's price target to $298, anticipating a 28% annual growth rate for Amazon Web Services (AWS), which exceeds market expectations and highlights strong demand and potential profitability in the cloud computing sector.
- AI Demand Driving Revenue: With surging demand for AI services from companies like Anthropic, AWS is projected to generate over $1 billion in a single quarter, reflecting the rapid growth of AI workloads on cloud platforms.
- Short-Term Profit Pressures: Despite strong demand for AI-related services, there may be short-term profit pressures, particularly as corporate infrastructure spending increases, prompting Amazon to implement cost-cutting measures, including layoffs, to mitigate these challenges.
- Overall Business Performance: Internal data indicates a slight increase in internet spending compared to the previous quarter, which is expected to boost overall revenue, suggesting that Amazon's core business outside of AWS is also experiencing steady growth.
See More
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Amazon's Stock Performance: Amazon shares increased by 2.9% in pre-market trading.
Investment Announcement: The rise follows an announcement of a significant investment of up to $25 billion in an anthropic initiative.
See More
Anthropic to Invest Over $100 Billion in Cloud Tech Over Next Decade
- Massive Investment Plan: Anthropic announced plans to invest over $100 billion in cloud technology over the next decade, a move that will significantly enhance its technological capabilities and drive business growth.
- Cloud Technology Strategy: This investment will focus on strengthening its cloud infrastructure, aiming to improve service quality and customer experience, thereby positioning itself more favorably in a competitive market.
- Market Impact: As demand for cloud computing continues to rise, this investment by Anthropic is expected to not only propel its own technological advancements but also have a profound impact on the industry, fostering innovation and development in related technologies.
- Long-term Vision: Through this strategic investment, Anthropic aims to become a leader in the cloud technology space over the next decade, further solidifying its market position in artificial intelligence and machine learning.
See More
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- Tariff Refund Potential: The U.S. Customs and Border Protection has opened a portal for importers to seek over $160 billion in potential tariff refunds, which could provide significant financial relief for many large retailers.
- Trump's Warning: In an interview, Trump stated he would
See More
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- Massive Investment Agreement: Anthropic has secured a $100 billion, ten-year deal with Amazon focused on the procurement of Trainium chips and Graviton cores, which is expected to significantly enhance its competitive edge in the AI market while driving business growth for suppliers like Marvell and Astera Labs.
- Supply Chain Benefits: Marvell, as AWS's long-standing ASIC design partner, is ramping up production of Trainium 3, with expectations to achieve 2 GW of compute capacity by the second half of 2026, further solidifying its market position in AI hardware.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the announcement of the agreement, Astera Labs' stock surged nearly 9% in pre-market trading, while Marvell and Credo Technology saw increases of 2.5% and 4.4%, respectively, indicating market optimism regarding this collaboration.
- Increased Capital Expenditures: Amazon is expected to ramp up capital expenditures over the next two years, with plans for 2026 reaching $200 billion, a significant increase from $131.8 billion in 2025, reflecting confidence in sustained growth in AI demand.
See More
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- Shift in Investor Preference: In 2026, Wall Street's enthusiasm for tech stocks wanes, leading to significant discounts for giants like Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet, reflecting a broader shift towards value stocks and tangible goods producers amid declining interest in the AI narrative.
- Microsoft's AI Ecosystem: Microsoft's forward P/E ratio stands at 21, a 45% discount from its 2024 peak, despite nearly 40% year-over-year growth in Azure cloud revenues, indicating market undervaluation of its AI software, which could impact future investor confidence.
- Amazon's Innovative Moves: Amazon's enterprise value to EBITDA ratio has dropped to 18, the lowest ever, with AWS remaining the business backbone, while new AI products like Bedrock provide foundational models for enterprise clients, driving business growth.
- Alphabet's Hidden Value: Although Alphabet's forward P/E ratio is 29, slightly above its two-year average, its PEG ratio of 0.91 suggests reasonable pricing relative to earnings growth, and its partnership with SpaceX could provide strategic advantages for future AI inference capabilities.
See More
