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WCN Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Waste Connections Inc(WCN) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Waste Connections Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-21After Hours1.381.44+4.352.45B2.46B+0.37+2.69+0.56
FY2025Q22025-07-23After Hours1.251.29+3.202.39B2.41B+0.67+2.07+4.02
FY2025Q12025-04-23After Hours1.071.13+5.612.22B2.23B+0.43+0.53-0.08
FY2024Q42025-02-12After Hours1.201.16-3.332.24B2.26B+0.76-0.59-1.12
FY2024Q32024-10-23After Hours1.301.35+3.852.30B2.34B+1.86-1.00-1.46
FY2024Q22024-07-24-1.181.24+5.082.22B2.25B+1.21-0.54-2.40
FY2024Q12024-04-24-1.021.04+1.962.06B2.07B+0.86+0.01-2.46
FY2023Q42024-02-13-1.081.11+2.782.04B2.04B-+1.41+8.31
FY2023Q32023-10-25-1.141.17+2.632.06B2.06B-+2.25-3.63
-2023-08-02-1.011.02+0.99----0.91-1.90
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WCN Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Waste Connections Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-21. The company achieved an EPS of 1.44, compared to analyst estimates of 1.38 by 4.35% . Revenue for the quarter reached 2.46B compared to expectations of 2.45B by 0.37% .
The stock price reacted with a 2.69% one-day change and a 0.56% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Waste Connections Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

WCN Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Waste Connections Inc(WCN) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 2.37B and an EPS of 1.28.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.02%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 0.61%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -0.16% . These revisions correlate with a -3.37% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Waste Connections Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between WCN's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+0.02%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+0.61%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
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-0.16%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
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-3.37%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:9.46B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:5.14
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Stock Price173.25
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WCN Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Waste Connections Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-21,After Hours):
EPS: 1.44 (Actual) vs.1.38 (Estimate) (4.35%)
Revenue: 2.46B (Actual) vs. 2.45B (Estimate) (0.37%)
Price Reaction: 2.69%(1-Day), 0.56%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-23,After Hours):
EPS: 1.29 (Actual) vs.1.25 (Estimate) (3.20%)
Revenue: 2.41B (Actual) vs. 2.39B (Estimate) (0.67%)
Price Reaction: 2.07%(1-Day), 4.02%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-23,After Hours):
EPS: 1.13 (Actual) vs.1.07 (Estimate) (5.61%)
Revenue: 2.23B (Actual) vs. 2.22B (Estimate) (0.43%)
Price Reaction: 0.53%(1-Day), -0.08%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how WCN performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, WCN sees a -1.04% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.23% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.03%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 2.69% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -2.92% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Waste Connections Inc (WCN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-10-22
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate a positive outlook with expected revenue growth, margin expansion, and strategic acquisitions. The AI and technology strategy is promising for future improvements, and share repurchases indicate confidence. While there are challenges like Chiquita landfill and commodity impacts, the overall sentiment is positive, with optimistic guidance and proactive strategies. The lack of specific guidance for some areas is a minor concern but does not outweigh the positive aspects.
Waste Connections Inc (WCN) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-07-24
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While there are positive elements such as improved employee retention and safety performance, strong acquisition revenues, and a flexible buyback strategy, concerns remain. The Q&A highlights uncertainties in volume recovery, muted seasonal trends, and potential cost increases due to tariffs. The lack of clear guidance on AI impact and cost reductions further adds to the uncertainty. Overall, the sentiment is balanced, leading to a neutral stock price prediction.
Waste Connections Inc (WCN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-04-25
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with a 7.5% revenue increase, solid waste margin expansion, and a positive shareholder return plan. The Q&A section shows confidence in M&A activities and stable pricing plans, despite some challenges like higher commodity levels. The company's proactive approach to potential risks, such as PFAS regulation, and strong financial metrics contribute to a positive outlook. However, the lack of market cap information limits the assessment of stock price sensitivity.
Waste Connections Inc (WCN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-24
The earnings call indicates stable financial performance with a 7.5% revenue increase and a strong balance sheet. However, negative factors like weather-related volume losses and commodity price declines offset positives. The Q&A section revealed no major risks but highlighted regulatory uncertainties. Shareholder returns are promising, but the lack of market cap data limits impact assessment. Overall, the mixed signals suggest a neutral stock price movement.
Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-24
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with record revenue and EBITDA growth, a significant dividend increase, and positive acquisition activity. The Q&A session highlights management's confidence in managing risks and uncertainties. While there are some concerns about cost inflation and potential election impacts, the overall sentiment remains positive with strong guidance for 2025. The positive factors outweigh the negatives, suggesting a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-07-25
The earnings call summary presents strong financial performance with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, and an improved EBITDA margin. The company has a robust acquisition strategy contributing to revenue, despite some integration risks. The shareholder return plan is positive with flexibility for acquisitions. The Q&A reveals confidence in future volume improvements and consistent acquisition returns, although some macroeconomic uncertainties remain. Overall, the optimistic guidance, strong financials, and acquisition strategy suggest a positive sentiment, likely leading to a stock price increase.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of WCN’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

WCN reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-21, showcasing a revenue of 2.46B against an estimate of 2.45B, resulting in a 0.37% surprise. The EPS was 1.44, surpassing the expected 1.38 by 4.35% . The stock experienced a 2.69% price change on the earnings day and a 0.56% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did WCN’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following WCN’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-21, the stock price moved by 2.69% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 0.56% change. Historically, WCN’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -1.04% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -0.23% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for WCN for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate WCN’s annual revenue to reach 2.37B, while the EPS is projected at 1.28. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.02% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -0.16% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does WCN’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between WCN’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.02%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -0.16% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from WCN’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, WCN’s stock price typically moves by -1.04% in the 10 days before its earnings and -0.23% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 1.28 and revenue of 2.37B.
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What is the sentiment in Waste Connections Inc (WCN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate a positive outlook with expected revenue growth, margin expansion, and strategic acquisitions. The AI and technology strategy is promising for future improvements, and share repurchases indicate confidence. While there are challenges like Chiquita landfill and commodity impacts, the overall sentiment is positive, with optimistic guidance and proactive strategies. The lack of specific guidance for some areas is a minor concern but does not outweigh the positive aspects.
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