HMC Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how HMC performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, HMC sees a -0.63% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.75% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.46%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
HMC Key Earning Data
HMC Earnings Analysis
Positive
Adjusted Operating Profit: Operating profit for FYE March 2025 was JPY 1.2134 trillion, with a one-time expense adjustment leading to an adjusted operating profit of JPY 1.341 trillion.
Record Motorcycle Sales and Profit: The motorcycle business achieved record highs in unit sales, operating profit, and operating profit margin, with a total of 20.572 million units sold.
Strong Operating Cash Flow: Operating cash flow after R&D adjustments remained strong at JPY 2.800 trillion, indicating a solid source for future investments.
Hybrid EV Sales Growth: Despite challenges in the automobile sector, hybrid EV sales expanded, particularly in North America, contributing to a positive outlook for future sales.
Dividend Increase Announcement: The company plans to increase its annual dividend from JPY 68 to JPY 70 per share, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns and capital efficiency.
Market Dominance and Profitability: The motorcycle business maintains a dominant market share, allowing for a low-cost structure and profit expansion.
Hybrid Vehicle Profitability Improvement: The automobile business has reduced hybrid electric vehicle system costs while enhancing marketability, leading to improved profitability of current models.
Share Buyback Progress: Honda's share buyback program of JPY 1.1 trillion is progressing well, with approximately JPY 589.5 billion worth of shares acquired by April 30, 2025.
Negative
Operating Profit Decline: Operating profit for FYE March 2025 was JPY 1.2134 trillion, which was JPY 168.4 billion short of the previous period.
Decline in Automobile Sales: Automobile business saw a decline in unit sales mainly in China and ASEAN, impacted by increased North American incentives for EVs.
Decline in Affiliate Earnings: Equity in earnings of affiliates was JPY 900 million, down by JPY 109.8 billion mainly due to the decline in sales volume in China.
Net Profit Decline: Net profit attributable to the owner of the parent decreased by JPY 271.3 billion totaling JPY 835.8 billion.
Decline in Operating Profit: Operating profit before reflecting the impact of change of the estimates for automobile businesses declined by JPY 189.1 billion year-on-year, resulting in JPY 371.5 billion.
Profit Decline Analysis: Sales impact caused a profit decline of JPY 333.7 billion due to sales volume reduction and increased incentives to boost EV sales.
Automobile Profit Decline: Operating profit for the automobile business was significantly affected by increased research and development expenses, which declined profit by JPY 38.2 billion.
Electric Vehicle Market Slowdown: The electric vehicle market growth has slowed down more than expected, leading to a postponement of large-scale investments in Canada.
Operating Profit Forecast Decline: The consolidated earnings forecast for FYE March 2026 projects operating profit to be JPY 500 billion, which is a significant decrease compared to previous years.
HMC FAQs
How does HMC typically perform around its earnings report dates?
HMC's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -0.63% change leading up to the report and a +2.75% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is Honda Motor Co Ltd (HMC) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
HMC Earning Call Sentiment
Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
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