The chart below shows how PCG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, PCG sees a -1.94% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.82% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.34%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Core Earnings Increase: 1. Core Earnings Growth: PG&E reported core earnings per share of $0.37 for Q3 2024, totaling $1.06 for the first nine months, reflecting a $0.30 increase year-over-year.
Capital Plan Expansion: 2. Increased Capital Plan: The company added $1 billion to its five-year capital plan, now totaling $63 billion through 2028, supporting a 10% growth in earnings per share guidance for 2025.
Operating Cash Flow Increase: 3. Operating Cash Flow Improvement: PG&E's operating cash flow increased by $1.8 billion in the first nine months of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023, with expectations to exceed $3 billion for the full year.
O&M Cost Reduction: 4. O&M Cost Savings: The company achieved a 5.5% reduction in operating and maintenance expenses in 2023, contributing to improved financial performance and customer affordability.
EPS Growth Commitment: 5. Long-term EPS Growth Commitment: PG&E reaffirmed its commitment to at least 9% core earnings per share growth annually from 2026 through 2028, demonstrating a strong financial outlook.
Negative
Wildfire Incident Surge: 1. Increased Wildfire Incidents: Incidents affecting 10 acres or more have increased more than threefold this year compared to 2023, indicating a significant rise in wildfire risk despite mitigations.
Wildfire Ignition Rate: 2. High Ignition Rate: The ignition rate in high fire-threat areas stands at 1.44 for the rolling 12 months through November 4, reflecting ongoing wildfire challenges.
Equipment Safety Concerns: 3. No Major Fires Due to Equipment: While there have been no major fires attributed to PG&E equipment, the elevated ignition count raises concerns about the effectiveness of current safety measures.
Operating Cash Flow Issues: 4. Operating Cash Flow Concerns: Despite a projected increase in operating cash flow by $3 billion for the full year, the company remains just one notch below investment grade, indicating potential financial instability.
Undergrounding Filing Delay: 5. Delayed Undergrounding Filing: The undergrounding filing is expected to be delayed until mid-2025, which could hinder long-term safety and reliability improvements in high-risk areas.
PG&E Corporation (PCG) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
PCG.N
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