TPB Valuation

Turning Point Brands Inc

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99.250

+1.77(1.816%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

TPB Relative Valuation

TPB's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, TPB is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Turning Point Brands Inc (TPB) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 32.31 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 15.14. The fair price of Turning Point Brands Inc (TPB) is between 37.59 to 62.70 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 97.48 USD , Turning Point Brands Inc is Overvalued By 55.46%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

37.59-62.70

Current Price：97.48

55.46%

Overvalued

32.41

Trailing

Forward

16.73

EV/EBITDA

Turning Point Brands Inc. (TPB) has a current EV/EBITDA of 16.73. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 9.57. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 5.40, Undervalued between 5.40 and 7.49, Fairly Valued between 11.65 and 7.49, Overvalued between 11.65 and 13.73, and Strongly Overvalued above 13.73. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 16.73 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

18.79

EV/EBIT

Turning Point Brands Inc. (TPB) has a current EV/EBIT of 18.79. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 11.21. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 6.48, Undervalued between 6.48 and 8.85, Fairly Valued between 13.57 and 8.85, Overvalued between 13.57 and 15.94, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.94. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 18.79 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

3.84

Turning Point Brands Inc. (TPB) has a current PS of 3.84. The 5-year average PS is 1.64. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.34, Undervalued between 0.34 and 0.99, Fairly Valued between 2.29 and 0.99, Overvalued between 2.29 and 2.94, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.94. The current Forward PS of 3.84 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

25.54

P/OCF

Turning Point Brands Inc. (TPB) has a current P/OCF of 25.54. The 5-year average P/OCF is 12.81. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.86, Undervalued between 0.86 and 6.84, Fairly Valued between 18.79 and 6.84, Overvalued between 18.79 and 24.76, and Strongly Overvalued above 24.76. The current Forward P/OCF of 25.54 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

27.71

P/FCF

Turning Point Brands Inc. (TPB) has a current P/FCF of 27.71. The 5-year average P/FCF is 15.22. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.28, Undervalued between -0.28 and 7.47, Fairly Valued between 22.97 and 7.47, Overvalued between 22.97 and 30.72, and Strongly Overvalued above 30.72. The current Forward P/FCF of 27.71 falls within the Overvalued range.

Turning Point Brands Inc (TPB) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 8.01. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 4.05 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 97.76% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 4.81, the current P/B ratio is about 66.51% higher. Turning Point Brands Inc (TPB) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 2.94%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 8.62%, the current FCF yield is approximately -65.89% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 7.86% , the current FCF yield is about -62.60% lower.

8.04

P/B

Median3y

4.05

Median5y

4.81

2.98

FCF Yield

Median3y

8.62

Median5y

7.86

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for TPB's competitors is 4.84, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Turning Point Brands Inc Corp (TPB) exhibits a P/S ratio of 3.84, which is -20.71% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 25.11%, this premium appears sustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

TPB.N

Turning Point Brands Inc

British American Tobacco plc

Philip Morris International Inc

6.26

7.10%

271.61B

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of TPB increased by 151.12% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 332.13 to 735.37.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 25.11%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of TPB in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

25.11%

93.23M → 116.63M

Revenue Growth

4.60%

13.90 → 14.54

Margin Expansion

121.41%

332.13 → 735.37

P/E Change

151.12%