Should I Buy TPB? TPB 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Turning Point Brands Inc (TPB) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

119.890

1 Day change

-3.70%

52 Week Range

124.730

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/26

Turning Point Brands Inc (TPB) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term focus and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, bullish technical indicators, and positive analyst sentiment make it a compelling choice. While there are no immediate trading signals or significant news catalysts, the overall growth trajectory and market positioning suggest a favorable long-term investment opportunity.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for TPB are bullish. The MACD histogram is positive at 0.692, indicating upward momentum. The RSI_6 is neutral at 70.586, and the moving averages are aligned bullishly (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading near its R1 resistance level of 118.761, with additional resistance at 122.521 and support at 112.673.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Strong financial performance in Q3 2025, with revenue up 12.65% YoY, net income up 70.34% YoY, and EPS up 66.18% YoY.
Gross margin improvement to 59.19%, up 16.42% YoY.
Positive analyst sentiment, with Alliance Global Partners raising the price target to $110 and maintaining a Buy rating.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

No recent news or significant event-driven catalysts.
Lack of trading signals from AI Stock Picker or SwingMax.
No recent congress trading data or notable insider/hedge fund activity.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, TPB demonstrated strong financial growth. Revenue increased by 12.65% YoY to $118.98 million, net income surged by 70.34% YoY to $21.08 million, and EPS grew by 66.18% YoY to $1.13. Gross margin also improved significantly to 59.19%, reflecting operational efficiency.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Alliance Global Partners recently raised the price target for TPB to $110 from $103 and maintained a Buy rating. The firm highlighted strong sales and EBITDA growth driven by pouches, marking the eighth consecutive quarter of positive performance.

5 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast TPB stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TPB is 116.67 USD with a low forecast of 110 USD and a high forecast of 120 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

4 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 124.490

Low

110

Averages

116.67

High

120

Current: 124.490

Low

110

Averages

116.67

High

120

Alliance Global Partners

Aaron Grey

Buy

maintain

$103 -> $110

AI Analysis

2025-11-05

Reason

Alliance Global Partners

Aaron Grey

Price Target

$103 -> $110

AI Analysis

2025-11-05

maintain

Buy

Reason

Alliance Global Partners analyst Aaron Grey raised the firm's price target on Turning Point Brands to $110 from $103 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm says posted its eighth consecutive sales and EBITDA as pouches helped drive another strong quarter of growth.

Oppenheimer

Ian Zaffino

Outperform

maintain

$85 -> $98

2025-08-07

Reason

Oppenheimer

Ian Zaffino

Price Target

$85 -> $98

2025-08-07

maintain

Outperform

Reason

Oppenheimer analyst Ian Zaffino raised the firm's price target on Turning Point Brands to $98 from $85 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm says that driven by strength in Modern Oral/white pouch, Turning Point reported Q2 revenue of $117M, ahead of its/Street's $108M/$105M estimates. Oppenheimer cites increased confidence in FRE/Alp's growth trajectory.

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TPB Should I Buy

TPB Should I Buy

Should You Buy Turning Point Brands Inc (TPB) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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