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TPB Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Turning Point Brands Inc (TPB) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
91.310
1 Day change
-1.69%
52 Week Range
146.900
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Turning Point Brands Inc (TPB) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial growth, positive analyst sentiment, and significant market potential in the oral nicotine pouch category outweigh the current technical weakness and market volatility.

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently oversold with an RSI of 10.022, indicating a potential rebound. However, the MACD is negatively expanding (-5.855), and the price is below key support levels. The short-term trend is bearish, but long-term prospects remain strong.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Q4 2025 revenue increased by 144.60% YoY, net income rose 239.26% YoY, and EPS grew by 223.08% YoY.

  • Modern oral nicotine product sales surged 266% YoY, with projections for this category to account for half of total revenue by the end of

  • Analyst Aaron Grey raised the price target to $135, citing strong growth potential.

  • Apis Capital Advisors increased its stake in TPB, signaling institutional confidence.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Gross margin dropped by 34.32% YoY in Q4 2025, indicating potential cost pressures.

  • The stock fell 20% recently, reflecting market uncertainty.

  • The MACD and technical indicators suggest short-term bearish momentum.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, TPB achieved a 144.60% YoY revenue increase to $121.01 million, a 239.26% YoY net income growth to $8.21 million, and a 223.08% YoY EPS rise to $0.42. However, gross margin dropped to 55.91%, down 34.32% YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Alliance Global analyst Aaron Grey raised the price target to $135 from $110 and maintained a Buy rating. The analyst expects healthy sales growth in 2026 and sees TPB as a leader in the modern oral pouch category.

Wall Street analysts forecast TPB stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TPB stock price to rise
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 92.880
sliders
Low
110
Averages
116.67
High
120
Current: 92.880
sliders
Low
110
Averages
116.67
High
120
Alliance Global
Aaron Grey
Buy
maintain
$110 -> $135
AI Analysis
2026-03-02
Reason
Alliance Global
Aaron Grey
Price Target
$110 -> $135
AI Analysis
2026-03-02
maintain
Buy
Reason
Alliance Global analyst Aaron Grey raised the firm's price target on Turning Point Brands to $135 from $110 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares following the Q4 report. The firm says that while increased trade spend adds some uncertainty in Turning's the net sales guidance, there could be some conservatism in the outlook Alliance sees 2026 as a "healthy sales growth year" for the company. It believes Turning Point will be a "winner within the modern oral pouch category, "
Alliance Global Partners
Aaron Grey
Buy
maintain
$103 -> $110
2025-11-05
Reason
Alliance Global Partners
Aaron Grey
Price Target
$103 -> $110
2025-11-05
maintain
Buy
Reason
Alliance Global Partners analyst Aaron Grey raised the firm's price target on Turning Point Brands to $110 from $103 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm says posted its eighth consecutive sales and EBITDA as pouches helped drive another strong quarter of growth.
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