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TPB Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Turning Point Brands Inc (TPB) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
81.430
1 Day change
2.62%
52 Week Range
146.900
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Turning Point Brands Inc (TPB) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, positive analyst outlook, and potential for growth in the modern oral pouch category make it a compelling investment opportunity, despite the lack of immediate trading signals.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for TPB are mixed but lean slightly positive. The MACD histogram is above 0 and positively contracting, suggesting bullish momentum. The RSI is neutral at 43.98, and moving averages are converging, indicating no strong trend. Key support and resistance levels are at 72.494 and 82.519, respectively, with the current pre-market price of 79.095 sitting closer to resistance.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Revenue increased by 144.60% YoY in Q4

  • Net income surged by 239.26% YoY, and EPS grew by 223.08% YoY.

  • Analyst raised the price target to $135 from $110, citing healthy sales growth and potential leadership in the modern oral pouch category.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Gross margin dropped to 57.55%, down -32.39% YoY, which could indicate cost pressures.

  • Lack of recent news or event-driven catalysts.

  • No significant trading trends from hedge funds or insiders.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, TPB demonstrated strong financial growth with revenue increasing to $121.013M (up 144.60% YoY), net income rising to $8.21M (up 239.26% YoY), and EPS improving to 0.42 (up 223.08% YoY). However, gross margin declined to 57.55%, down -32.39% YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Alliance Global analyst Aaron Grey raised the price target to $135 from $110 and maintained a Buy rating. The firm expects healthy sales growth in 2026 and sees TPB as a leader in the modern oral pouch category.

Wall Street analysts forecast TPB stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TPB stock price to rise
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 81.430
sliders
Low
110
Averages
116.67
High
120
Current: 81.430
sliders
Low
110
Averages
116.67
High
120
Alliance Global
Aaron Grey
Buy
maintain
$110 -> $135
AI Analysis
2026-03-02
Reason
Alliance Global
Aaron Grey
Price Target
$110 -> $135
AI Analysis
2026-03-02
maintain
Buy
Reason
Alliance Global analyst Aaron Grey raised the firm's price target on Turning Point Brands to $135 from $110 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares following the Q4 report. The firm says that while increased trade spend adds some uncertainty in Turning's the net sales guidance, there could be some conservatism in the outlook Alliance sees 2026 as a "healthy sales growth year" for the company. It believes Turning Point will be a "winner within the modern oral pouch category, "
Alliance Global Partners
Aaron Grey
Buy
maintain
$103 -> $110
2025-11-05
Reason
Alliance Global Partners
Aaron Grey
Price Target
$103 -> $110
2025-11-05
maintain
Buy
Reason
Alliance Global Partners analyst Aaron Grey raised the firm's price target on Turning Point Brands to $110 from $103 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm says posted its eighth consecutive sales and EBITDA as pouches helped drive another strong quarter of growth.
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