SMBC Stock Price Prediction

Southern Missouri Bancorp Inc

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54.800

-0.450(-0.810%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Southern Missouri Bancorp Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. SMBC has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

SMBC stock price ended at $54.8 on Friday, after losing -0.81%

The Southern Missouri Bancorp Inc stock price decreased by -0.81% on the last trading day (16 May 2025), dropping from 55.12 to 54.8. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.67% , ranging from a day low of $54.445 to a day high of 55.9. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 3.12% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 17.21K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 38.00K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 2.09M.

SMBC Technical Signals

SMBC(Southern Missouri Bancorp Inc Corp) has 4 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-07. The total price change during this trend is +4.46%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of SMBC over the last 5 trading days is 1.84M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

SMBC Moving Average Analysis

Southern Missouri Bancorp Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Monday, May 19, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $56.66623, and $58.284. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $51.43177, and $49.814. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

SMBC Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Southern Missouri Bancorp Inc(SMBC) as of 12 May 2025 is 11.29%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 53.28 to 54.44. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

4 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

3.701

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

1.66

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.891

Bullish

Moving Average

20-day SMA crosses above 60-day SMA

Bullish

3 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

132.242

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

85.946

Bearish

Moving Average

Price crosses below 5-day SMA

Bearish

SMBC Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Southern Missouri Bancorp Inc(SMBC), our algorithm predicts SMBC's 1-month price at $55.58, with an 1.42%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.29%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Southern Missouri Bancorp Inc (SMBC.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a 1.42% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with SJM.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.29%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

SMBC

Future prediction

Up: 1.42%

SJM

Up: 1.42%Similarity: 98.29%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

SJM.N

98.29%

+1.42%

ANIP.O

98.28%

-6.61%

NBIX.O

98.07%

+3.81%

SMBC Seasonality Analysis

Based on SMBC's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is72.73%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in SMBC. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Southern Missouri Bancorp Inc (SMBC.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while February has the lowest probability (36.36%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Southern Missouri Bancorp Inc. (SMBC)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.