MTH Stock: Price, Forecast, Financials & AI Analysis

High

Open

VWAP

Vol

Mkt Cap

Low

Amount

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

Total Shares

EV/OCF(TTM)

P/S(TTM)

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2025Q4

FY2026Q1

FY2026Q2

1.51B

-6.54%

1.565

-66.85%

1.37B

+1.04%

1.399

-17.23%

1.71B

+5.04%

2.074

+1.68%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -3.04% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 6.16%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-3.04%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-6.61%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Up

+6.16%

In Past 3 Month

6 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast MTH stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MTH is 82.67 USD with a low forecast of 69.00 USD and a high forecast of 101.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

4 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 0.000

Low

69.00

Averages

82.67

High

101.00

Current: 0.000

Low

69.00

Averages

82.67

High

101.00

Citizens

Outperform

initiated

$90

2026-01-07

New

Reason

Citizens

Price Target

$90

2026-01-07

New

initiated

Outperform

Reason

Citizens initiated coverage of Meritage Homes with an Outperform rating and $90 price target. The firm says Meritage provides an opportunity to own a top five volume builder at a "relatively inexpensive valuation." The company's core entry level consumer is still suffering from affordability and confidence issues, but investors are "being paid to wait out the consumer" as Meritage's current dividend yield of 2.4% is more than double the S&P 500's 1.2% yield, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

UBS

Buy

maintain

$101 -> $104

2026-01-06

New

Reason

UBS

Price Target

$101 -> $104

2026-01-06

New

maintain

Buy

Reason

UBS raised the firm's price target on Meritage Homes to $104 from $101 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. UBS believes 2026 is poised to be a better year for homebuilding, as builders have moderated production, helping to stabilize/reduce inventory in certain key markets, while overall housing supply remains constrained relative to history, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm thinks incremental improvement in the macro could catalyze sentiment and the stocks.

Evercore ISI

In Line

downgrade

$78 -> $77

2025-12-04

Reason

Evercore ISI

Price Target

$78 -> $77

2025-12-04

downgrade

In Line

Reason

Evercore ISI lowered the firm's price target on Meritage Homes to $77 from $78 and keeps an In Line rating on the shares. The firm's FY25 and FY26 EPS estimates have been fine-tuned to $6.88 and $7.14, respectively, reflecting the company's updated financial outlook.

JPMorgan

Michael Rehaut

Neutral

maintain

$69 -> $74

2025-12-04

Reason

JPMorgan

Michael Rehaut

Price Target

$69 -> $74

2025-12-04

maintain

Neutral

Reason

JPMorgan analyst Michael Rehaut raised the firm's price target on Meritage Homes to $74 from $69 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm maintains a cautious stance on the homebuilders sector for 2026. JPMorgan expects an unfavorable demand/supply backdrop to bring additional pressure and downside risk for builder fundamentals. Builder fundamentals are likely to remain "relatively weak" in 2026, with persisting downside risk to estimates due to a still challenged demand/supply industry backdrop, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

UBS

Buy -> Buy

downgrade

$107 -> $101

2025-10-30

Reason

UBS

Price Target

$107 -> $101

2025-10-30

downgrade

Buy -> Buy

Reason

UBS lowered the firm's price target on Meritage Homes to $101 from $107 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.

BofA

Buy

maintain

$79 -> $85

2025-09-18

Reason

BofA

Price Target

$79 -> $85

2025-09-18

maintain

Buy

Reason

BofA raised the firm's price target on Meritage Homes to $85 from $79 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price targets for homebuilders under its coverage, the analyst tells investors. BofA believes the recent Fed cut is unlikely to meaningfully change the near-term trajectory of the housing market.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Meritage Homes Corp (MTH.N) is 9.74, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 6.80. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Meritage Homes Corp 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

5Y Average PE

6.80

Current PE

9.74

Overvalued PE

9.01

Undervalued PE

4.58

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

5.46

Current EV/EBITDA

8.46

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

7.23

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

3.70

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

5Y Average PS

0.77

Current PS

0.76

Overvalued PS

0.95

Undervalued PS

0.58

Financials

Annual

Quarterly

N/A

Total Revenue

N/A

Operating Profit

N/A

Net Income after Tax

N/A

EPS - Diluted

N/A

Free Cash Flow

N/A

Gross Profit Margin - %

N/A

FCF Margin - %

N/A

Net Margin - %

N/A

ROIC

Trading Trends

Insider

Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

Bought

Hedge Fund

Hedge Funds areBuying! The buying amount has increased 123.32% over the last quarter.

Sold

Bought

Congress Trading

Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

Bought

Insider

Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

Bought

MTH News & Events

Events Timeline

No data

News

5.0

01-07Barron's

Home Builder Stocks Kick Off 2026 Strongly: Reasons for Continued Growth.

5.0

01-07Barron's

Home Builder Stocks Begin Strongly: Key Factors for Sustaining Momentum.

9.5

2025-12-24Benzinga

Lennar Reports Nearly 6% Revenue Decline in Q4 2025, Outlook Dim

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) stock price today?

The current price of MTH is 72.09 USD — it has increased 5.46 % in the last trading day.

What is Meritage Homes Corp (MTH)'s business?

Meritage Homes Corporation is a designer and builder of single-family attached and detached homes. The Company’s segments include homebuilding and financial services. The homebuilding segment is engaged in the business of acquiring and developing land, constructing homes, marketing and selling those homes and providing warranty and customer services. It has operations in three regions: West, Central and East, which are comprised of 12 states: Arizona, California, Colorado, Utah, Texas, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee. These three regions are its principal homebuilding segments. The financial services segment offers title and escrow, mortgage, and insurance services. Its financial services operations also provide mortgage services to its homebuyers through an unconsolidated joint venture. The Company’s homebuilding activities are conducted under the name of Meritage Homes in each of its homebuilding markets.

What is the price predicton of MTH Stock?

What is Meritage Homes Corp (MTH)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Meritage Homes Corp revenue for the last quarter amounts to 1.42B USD, decreased -10.81 % YoY.

What is Meritage Homes Corp (MTH)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Meritage Homes Corp. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 1.39 USD, decreased -47.94 % YoY.

What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Meritage Homes Corp (MTH)'s fundamentals?

How many employees does Meritage Homes Corp (MTH). have?

Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) has 1898 emplpoyees as of January 09 2026.

What is Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) market cap?

Today MTH has the market capitalization of 4.81B USD.