Technical Analysis: MTH is currently showing bearish momentum with RSI-14 at 37.26, indicating oversold conditions. The stock has broken below its 5-day SMA (73.56) and 10-day SMA (74.50), suggesting short-term weakness.
Price Targets for Next Week: Based on Fibonacci levels and current technical indicators:
News Impact: Recent analysis indicates MTH ranks 10th among consumer discretionary stocks with a potential 37% upside. However, Keefe Bruyette recently lowered their price target to $90 from $97, citing challenging homebuilding environment.
Forecast for Next Week: Given the technical weakness and recent analyst downgrades, MTH is likely to test support levels. The predicted price range:
Trading Recommendation: SELL
Rationale:
The price of MTH is predicted to go up -4.02%, based on the high correlation periods with PHM. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 97.29%.
MTH
PHM
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2025-02-06
Price Target
$97 → $90
Upside
+17.52%
UBS
2025-01-08
Price Target
$126 → $118
Upside
+54.79%
JP Morgan
2024-12-13
Price Target
$220 → $197
Upside
+16.96%