MTH Forecast — Price Prediction for 2025. Should I Buy MTH?
1-Day-Price-Prediction
+15.29%
1-Week Prediction
+43.5%
1-Month Prediction
+21.04%
2026 Prediction
-16.34%
2030 Prediction
-14.11%
Based on our advanced algorithm, we have generated comprehensiveMTH stock price predictions for multiple time horizons. Our models indicate potential volatility in the short term, with specific targets calculated for the 1-day and 1-week outlooks.
Looking further ahead, our analysts have pinpointed significant trend shifts in the longer-term data. We have exclusive projections available for the 1-month forecast, a detailed 2026 projection, and a long-range 2030 forecast that reveals potential upside or downside risks.
Unlock the full analysis to access these precise price targets and see exactly where our models predict MTH is heading. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our premium data-driven insights!
Should I Buy Meritage Homes Corp Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MTH has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
MTH stock price ended at $76.01 on Monday, after rising0.74%
The Meritage Homes Corp stock price increased by 0.74% on the last trading day (12 Jan 2026), rising from 74.63 to 76.01. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.41% , ranging from a day low of $74.63 to a day high of 77.175. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 13.79% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -956.44K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.22M shares were traded, amounting to approximately -1.49M.
MTH Technical Signals
MTH(Meritage Homes Corp Corp) has 6 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-12-29. The total price change during this trend is +14.46%. Recently, the price has dropped while volume droped, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of MTH over the last 5 trading days is 84.39M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
MTH Moving Average Analysis
Meritage Homes Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Tuesday, January 13, 2026, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $77.73, and $82.36. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $62.77, and $58.15. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
MTH Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Meritage Homes Corp(MTH) as of 10 Dec 2025 is 11.67%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 69.75 to 72.12. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
5
Buy
6
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Negative
SMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
6 Bullish Signals
6 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.136
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
9.21
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.521
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 60-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 200-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
10-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA
--
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Relative Strength Index (14 days)
RSI_14 > 70
70.586
Bearish
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
87.879
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
220.342
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
100
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-9.452
Bearish
MTH Stock Forecast
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Month
Min. Price
Avg. Price
Max. Price
Potential ROI
Jan 2026
$54.63
$63.59
$65.26
-0.15%
Feb 2026
$52.28
$56.66
$66.31
-11.03%
Mar 2026
$59.71
$68.31
$77.60
+7.27%
Apr 2026
$56.24
$70.63
$81.99
+10.91%
May 2026
$43.59
$53.31
$57.11
-16.29%
Jun 2026
$65.33
$65.59
$74.41
+3.01%
Jul 2026
$51.46
$57.41
$66.91
-9.85%
Aug 2026
$66.37
$73.18
$82.82
+14.91%
Sep 2026
$57.06
$59.23
$66.33
-6.98%
Oct 2026
$61.31
$65.27
$75.27
+2.49%
Nov 2026
$55.27
$65.12
$67.00
+2.26%
Dec 2026
$41.48
$53.31
$55.44
-16.29%
In 2026, Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $41.48 and $82.82.
Meritage Homes Corp Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: MTH Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -0.15%
In Jan 2026, Meritage Homes Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $63.59. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $54.63 and a high of $65.26.
Feb 2026: MTH Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -11.03%
In Feb 2026, Meritage Homes Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $56.66. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $52.28 and a high of $66.31.
Mar 2026: MTH Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 7.27%
In Mar 2026, Meritage Homes Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $68.31. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $59.71 and a high of $77.60.
Apr 2026: MTH Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 10.91%
In Apr 2026, Meritage Homes Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $70.63. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $56.24 and a high of $81.99.
May 2026: MTH Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -16.29%
In May 2026, Meritage Homes Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $53.31. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $43.59 and a high of $57.11.
Jun 2026: MTH Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 3.01%
In Jun 2026, Meritage Homes Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $65.59. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $65.33 and a high of $74.41.
Jul 2026: MTH Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -9.85%
In Jul 2026, Meritage Homes Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $57.41. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $51.46 and a high of $66.91.
Aug 2026: MTH Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 14.91%
In Aug 2026, Meritage Homes Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $73.18. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $66.37 and a high of $82.82.
Sep 2026: MTH Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -6.98%
In Sep 2026, Meritage Homes Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $59.23. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $57.06 and a high of $66.33.
Oct 2026: MTH Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 2.49%
In Oct 2026, Meritage Homes Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $65.27. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $61.31 and a high of $75.27.
Nov 2026: MTH Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 2.26%
In Nov 2026, Meritage Homes Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $65.12. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $55.27 and a high of $67.00.
Dec 2026: MTH Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -16.29%
In Dec 2026, Meritage Homes Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $53.31. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $41.48 and a high of $55.44.
MTH Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Meritage Homes Corp(MTH), our algorithm predicts MTH's 1-month price at $43.72, with an -42.06%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.04%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Meritage Homes Corp (MTH.N) stock, as of Sunday, January 11, 2026 , forecasts a -42.06% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with STXS.A stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.04%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
MTH
No data
STXS
Down: -42.06%Similarity: 96.04%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
STXS.A
96.04%
-42.06%
BYSI.O
95.90%
+183.75%
SMFG.N
95.55%
-9.68%
ACA.N
95.40%
+3.02%
SONY.N
95.35%
+5.17%
MTH Seasonality Analysis
Based on MTH's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in January is54.55%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in MTH. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at88.89%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Meritage Homes Corp (MTH.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (88.89%), while October has the lowest probability (11.11%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Meritage Homes Corp. (MTH)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MTH has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Meritage Homes Corp (MTH.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Meritage Homes Corp (MTH.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (88.89%), while October has the lowest probability (11.11%).
How has Meritage Homes Corp. (MTH)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
MTH's stock price fell by -9.14% in 2024,decreased by -13.43% in 2025, and went up by 14.77%in 2026.
Which bullish technical signals does MTH have?
Bullish technical signals of MTH include: AO_5_34 > 0, MOM_10 > 0, MACD_12_26_9 > 0, 5-day SMA crosses above 60-day SMA, 5-day SMA crosses above 200-day SMA, 10-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA.
Is MTH a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
MTH has 6 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for MTH is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of MTH.
What is the trend of Meritage Homes Corp (MTH)'s moving average?
Meritage Homes Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of January 13 2026, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.
What is price prediction for MTH stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Meritage Homes Corp (MTH.N) stock, as of January 11 2026, forecasts a -42.06% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with STXS stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.04%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2026 for Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) Stock?
In Dec 2026, Meritage Homes Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $53.31. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $41.48 and a high of $55.44.
What is price prediction 2030 for Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) Stock?
In Dec 2030, Meritage Homes Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $53.29. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $48.52 and a high of $65.62.
Positive
Negative
