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MPC Should I Buy

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OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

Should You Buy Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
247.290
1 Day change
1.80%
52 Week Range
272.460
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/19
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. While the company has positive analyst ratings and a favorable long-term outlook, the current technical indicators and trading sentiment do not suggest an immediate entry point. Additionally, hedge funds are selling, and there are no significant insider or congress trading trends to support a buy decision. The investor may consider monitoring the stock for a better entry point or exploring other opportunities.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is negative (-2.834) and expanding, indicating bearish momentum. The RSI is at 26.153, which is neutral but leaning towards oversold territory. Moving averages are converging, suggesting no clear trend. The stock is trading near its key support level of 242.676, with resistance levels at 255.282 and above.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts have raised price targets recently, with Wells Fargo setting a target of $344 and Morgan Stanley at $265, citing strong refining margins and operational flexibility. The company's consistent execution and capital return profile are also highlighted as strengths.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are selling significantly, with a 178.21% increase in selling activity over the last quarter. Technical indicators show bearish momentum, and the stock is trading near its support level. Additionally, there is no recent congress trading data or significant insider activity to support a buy decision.

Financial Performance

No financial data is available for the latest quarter. However, analysts have noted strong Q1 results driven by improved crack spreads and tighter supply on the West Coast.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

The majority of analysts maintain a positive outlook, with several price target increases. However, one analyst (Freedom Broker) has a Sell rating, citing overvaluation and limited upside at current levels. The consensus remains optimistic about the company's long-term potential.

Wall Street analysts forecast MPC stock price to fall
14 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MPC stock price to fall
9 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 242.910
sliders
Low
184
Averages
201.5
High
213
Current: 242.910
sliders
Low
184
Averages
201.5
High
213
Wells Fargo
Sam Margolin
Overweight
maintain
$335 -> $344
AI Analysis
2026-06-15
Reason
Wells Fargo
Sam Margolin
Price Target
$335 -> $344
AI Analysis
2026-06-15
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Wells Fargo analyst Sam Margolin raised the firm's price target on Marathon Petroleum to $344 from $335 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm attended a site tour of the Garyville refinery hosted by Marathon Petroleum. The plant's flexibility and recent optimization projects are well suited for both today's environment and the company's recurring enhancement goals, Wells says.
Morgan Stanley
NULL
to
Overweight
maintain
$233 -> $265
2026-06-12
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$233 -> $265
2026-06-12
maintain
NULL
to
Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on Marathon Petroleum to $265 from $233 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. Refining margins have eased from the mid-May peak, but remain elevated compared to pre-conflict levels, says the analyst, who refreshed the firm's refiner price targets and updated estimates for the latest strip prices through 2027. Even with a Strait of Hormuz reopening, cracks are likely to remain supported by tight product inventories and stable demand trends, the analyst added.
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