MPC Stock Price Prediction

Marathon Petroleum Corp

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159.110

+0.220(+0.140%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Should I Buy Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MPC has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

MPC stock price ended at $159.11 on Friday, after rising 0.14%

The Marathon Petroleum Corp stock price increased by 0.14% on the last trading day (23 May 2025), rising from 157.44 to 159.11. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.69% , ranging from a day low of $157.44 to a day high of 160.1. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 5.45% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -788.45K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.58M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 250.81M.

MPC Technical Signals

MPC(Marathon Petroleum Corp Corp) has 4 buy signals and 1 sell signal now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-16. The total price change during this trend is -3.05%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of MPC over the last 5 trading days is 324.87M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.

MPC Moving Average Analysis

Marathon Petroleum Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Sunday, May 25, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $167.35923333333332, and $171.58033333333333. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $153.70143333333337, and $149.48033333333336. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

MPC Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Marathon Petroleum Corp(MPC) as of 16 May 2025 is 17.72%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 165.29 to 164.12. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Buy

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

4 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

18.487

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

8.22

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

6.319

Bullish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20

14.753

Bullish

1 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses below 10-day SMA

Bearish

MPC Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Marathon Petroleum Corp(MPC), our algorithm predicts MPC's 1-month price at $159.41, with an -2.87%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 99.29%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -2.87% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with DINO.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 99.29%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

MPC

Future prediction

Up: -2.87%

DINO

Down: -2.87%Similarity: 99.29%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

DINO.N

99.29%

-2.87%

RL.N

99.21%

-0.16%

BWA.N

99.08%

-1.95%

USB.N

98.86%

-4.41%

SYF.N

98.84%

-6.68%

TPR.N

98.78%

-7.18%

CUZ.N

98.75%

+11.79%

WYNN.O

98.71%

-6.50%

SNV.N

98.66%

-4.99%

GIC.N

98.64%

+7.95%

MPC Seasonality Analysis

Based on MPC's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is63.64%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in MPC. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while September has the lowest probability (40.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.