MPC Forecast — Price Prediction for 2025. Should I Buy MPC?
1-Day-Price-Prediction
-0.72%
1-Week Prediction
+0.02%
1-Month Prediction
+3.82%
2026 Prediction
-27.37%
2030 Prediction
-35.2%
Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that MPC stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $169.19, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $170.45. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $176.93. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $123.78, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $110.43. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Should I Buy Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MPC has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
MPC stock price ended at $172.51 on Wednesday, after rising1.23%
The Marathon Petroleum Corp stock price increased by 1.23% on the last trading day (07 Jan 2026), rising from 173.36 to 172.51. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 4.72% , ranging from a day low of $168.6936 to a day high of 176.65. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 4.70% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 352.32K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 2.73M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 471.47M.
MPC Technical Signals
MPC(Marathon Petroleum Corp Corp) has 1 buy signal and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-12-10. The total price change during this trend is -9.82%. Recently, the price has increased while volume droped, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of MPC over the last 5 trading days is 441.00M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
MPC Moving Average Analysis
Marathon Petroleum Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Wednesday, January 7, 2026, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $178.59, and $184.61. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $159.09, and $153.07. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
MPC Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Marathon Petroleum Corp(MPC) as of 10 Dec 2025 is 19.11%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 190.73 to 191.30. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
3
Buy
1
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Negative
SMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
1 Bullish Signals
1 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
7.74
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-11.761
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-5.068
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
89.567
Bearish
MPC Stock Forecast
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Month
Min. Price
Avg. Price
Max. Price
Potential ROI
Jan 2026
$119.95
$123.78
$148.45
-21.96%
Feb 2026
$150.25
$162.47
$172.36
+2.43%
Mar 2026
$127.04
$142.80
$166.15
-9.97%
Apr 2026
$131.17
$137.84
$152.80
-13.09%
May 2026
$129.87
$135.36
$160.61
-14.66%
Jun 2026
$114.79
$125.55
$153.33
-20.84%
Jul 2026
$134.89
$157.07
$180.52
-0.97%
Aug 2026
$123.47
$145.91
$158.60
-8.00%
Sep 2026
$114.93
$136.64
$157.60
-13.85%
Oct 2026
$111.09
$123.78
$130.99
-21.96%
Nov 2026
$144.49
$158.95
$179.32
+0.22%
Dec 2026
$122.56
$123.78
$128.97
-21.96%
In 2026, Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $111.09 and $180.52.
Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: MPC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -21.96%
In Jan 2026, Marathon Petroleum Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $123.78. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $119.95 and a high of $148.45.
Feb 2026: MPC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 2.43%
In Feb 2026, Marathon Petroleum Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $162.47. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $150.25 and a high of $172.36.
Mar 2026: MPC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -9.97%
In Mar 2026, Marathon Petroleum Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $142.80. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $127.04 and a high of $166.15.
Apr 2026: MPC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -13.09%
In Apr 2026, Marathon Petroleum Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $137.84. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $131.17 and a high of $152.80.
May 2026: MPC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -14.66%
In May 2026, Marathon Petroleum Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $135.36. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $129.87 and a high of $160.61.
Jun 2026: MPC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -20.84%
In Jun 2026, Marathon Petroleum Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $125.55. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $114.79 and a high of $153.33.
Jul 2026: MPC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -0.97%
In Jul 2026, Marathon Petroleum Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $157.07. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $134.89 and a high of $180.52.
Aug 2026: MPC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -8.00%
In Aug 2026, Marathon Petroleum Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $145.91. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $123.47 and a high of $158.60.
Sep 2026: MPC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -13.85%
In Sep 2026, Marathon Petroleum Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $136.64. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $114.93 and a high of $157.60.
Oct 2026: MPC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -21.96%
In Oct 2026, Marathon Petroleum Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $123.78. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $111.09 and a high of $130.99.
Nov 2026: MPC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 0.22%
In Nov 2026, Marathon Petroleum Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $158.95. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $144.49 and a high of $179.32.
Dec 2026: MPC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -21.96%
In Dec 2026, Marathon Petroleum Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $123.78. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $122.56 and a high of $128.97.
MPC Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Marathon Petroleum Corp(MPC), our algorithm predicts MPC's 1-month price at $168.51, with an 2.04%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 99.08%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC.N) stock, as of Sunday, January 4, 2026 , forecasts a 2.04% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with TSLA.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 99.08%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
MPC
No data
TSLA
Up: 2.04%Similarity: 99.08%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
TSLA.O
99.08%
+2.04%
IMTE.O
99.00%
-26.71%
PM.N
98.89%
+8.89%
KGC.N
98.84%
+3.14%
ZIM.N
98.81%
-18.07%
KALA.O
98.79%
+6.22%
BH.N
98.79%
+25.84%
FUNC.O
98.79%
+29.50%
VCYT.O
98.77%
-18.91%
PPBT.O
98.73%
+10.38%
MPC Seasonality Analysis
Based on MPC's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in January is66.67%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in MPC. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at76.92%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (76.92%), while December has the lowest probability (38.46%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
Should I buy Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MPC has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (76.92%), while December has the lowest probability (38.46%).
How has Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
MPC's stock price fell by -8.44% in 2024,increased by 14.94% in 2025, and went up by 4.46%in 2026.
Which bullish technical signals does MPC have?
Bullish technical signals of MPC include: MOM_10 > 0.
Is MPC a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
MPC has 1 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for MPC is Sell . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of MPC.
What is the trend of Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)'s moving average?
Marathon Petroleum Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of January 07 2026, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.
What is price prediction for MPC stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC.N) stock, as of January 04 2026, forecasts a 2.04% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with TSLA stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 99.08%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2026 for Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) Stock?
In Dec 2026, Marathon Petroleum Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $123.78. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $122.56 and a high of $128.97.
What is price prediction 2030 for Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) Stock?
In Dec 2030, Marathon Petroleum Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $95.47. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $88.67 and a high of $110.54.