MPC Stock Price Prediction

Marathon Petroleum Corp

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145.060

+0.510(+0.350%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MPC has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

MPC stock price ended at $145.06 on Wednesday, after rising 0.35%

The Marathon Petroleum Corp stock price increased by 0.35% on the last trading day (07 May 2025), rising from 144.72 to 144.55. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.13% , ranging from a day low of $141.91 to a day high of 146.35. The price has declined in 2 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 10.02% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -123.24K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 3.30M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 478.11M.

MPC Technical Signals

MPC(Marathon Petroleum Corp Corp) has 3 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-30. The total price change during this trend is +5.20%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of MPC over the last 5 trading days is 375.43M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

MPC Moving Average Analysis

Marathon Petroleum Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Wednesday, May 7, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $147.9759666666667, and $153.45766666666668. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $130.23936666666668, and $124.7576666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

MPC Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Marathon Petroleum Corp(MPC) as of 05 May 2025 is 32.01%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 141.55 to 143.33. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

3 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

3.827

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

13.16

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

1.447

Bullish

4 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

94.494

Bearish

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

123.396

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

100

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-7.617

Bearish

MPC Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Marathon Petroleum Corp(MPC), our algorithm predicts MPC's 1-month price at $128.71, with an -9.07%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.03%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 4, 2025 , forecasts a -9.07% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with HVT.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.03%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

MPC

Future prediction

Up: -9.07%

HVT

Down: -9.07%Similarity: 98.03%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

HVT.N

98.03%

-9.07%

MPC Seasonality Analysis

Based on MPC's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is63.64%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in MPC. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while September has the lowest probability (40.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.