MAT Valuation

Mattel Inc

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18.180

-0.1(-0.547%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

MAT Relative Valuation

MAT's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, MAT is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Mattel Inc (MAT) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 11.34 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 16.71. The fair price of Mattel Inc (MAT) is between 63.39 to 82.25 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 18.18 USD , Mattel Inc is Undervalued By 71.32%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

63.39-82.25

Current Price：18.18

71.32%

Undervalued

11.34

Trailing

Forward

7.31

EV/EBITDA

Mattel Inc. (MAT) has a current EV/EBITDA of 7.31. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 9.43. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 6.24, Undervalued between 6.24 and 7.83, Fairly Valued between 11.03 and 7.83, Overvalued between 11.03 and 12.62, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.62. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 7.31 falls within the Undervalued range.

10.50

EV/EBIT

Mattel Inc. (MAT) has a current EV/EBIT of 10.50. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 13.16. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 7.82, Undervalued between 7.82 and 10.49, Fairly Valued between 15.83 and 10.49, Overvalued between 15.83 and 18.50, and Strongly Overvalued above 18.50. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 10.50 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.07

Mattel Inc. (MAT) has a current PS of 1.07. The 5-year average PS is 1.24. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.94, Undervalued between 0.94 and 1.09, Fairly Valued between 1.39 and 1.09, Overvalued between 1.39 and 1.54, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.54. The current Forward PS of 1.07 falls within the Undervalued range.

8.18

P/OCF

Mattel Inc. (MAT) has a current P/OCF of 8.18. The 5-year average P/OCF is 11.75. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 4.68, Undervalued between 4.68 and 8.22, Fairly Valued between 15.28 and 8.22, Overvalued between 15.28 and 18.81, and Strongly Overvalued above 18.81. The current Forward P/OCF of 8.18 falls within the Undervalued range.

11.64

P/FCF

Mattel Inc. (MAT) has a current P/FCF of 11.64. The 5-year average P/FCF is 16.22. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 5.62, Undervalued between 5.62 and 10.92, Fairly Valued between 21.53 and 10.92, Overvalued between 21.53 and 26.83, and Strongly Overvalued above 26.83. The current Forward P/FCF of 11.64 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Mattel Inc (MAT) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 2.70. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 3.20 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -15.74% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 6.60, the current P/B ratio is about -59.15% higher. Mattel Inc (MAT) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 8.99%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 8.25%, the current FCF yield is approximately 8.98% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 6.26% , the current FCF yield is about 43.64% lower.

2.70

P/B

Median3y

3.20

Median5y

6.60

8.99

FCF Yield

Median3y

8.25

Median5y

6.26

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for MAT's competitors is 1.27, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Mattel Inc Corp (MAT) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.07, which is -15.72% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -5.66%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Acushnet Holdings Corp

Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp

0.48

-4.09%

1.81B

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of MAT decreased by 4.21% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 11.27 to 11.50.

The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed -0.57%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of MAT in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-5.66%

1.08B → 1.02B

Revenue Growth

-0.57%

5.27 → 5.24

Margin Expansion

2.02%

11.27 → 11.50

P/E Change

-4.21%