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MAT Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Mattel Inc(MAT) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Mattel Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-21After Hours1.050.89-15.241.84B1.74B-5.50-2.76+1.17
FY2025Q22025-07-23After Hours0.160.19+18.751.05B1.02B-3.23-16.39-13.81
FY2025Q12025-05-05After Hours-0.10-0.03+70.00791.49M826.60M+4.44+2.78+6.42
FY2024Q42025-02-04After Hours0.230.35+52.171.63B1.65B+1.24+15.33+20.92
FY2024Q32024-10-23After Hours0.941.14+21.281.86B1.84B-0.93+4.44+14.40
FY2024Q22024-07-23-0.160.19+18.751.10B1.08B-1.76-7.71+3.16
FY2024Q12024-04-23--0.12-0.05+58.33832.92M809.50M-2.81+0.59-0.70
FY2023Q42024-02-07-0.300.29-3.331.64B1.62B-1.14+1.57+1.73
FY2023Q32023-10-25-0.871.08+24.141.83B1.92B+4.57-0.49-5.59
-2023-07-26--0.040.10+350.00---+0.71+0.47
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MAT Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Mattel Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-21. The company achieved an EPS of 0.89, compared to analyst estimates of 1.05 by -15.24% . Revenue for the quarter reached 1.74B compared to expectations of 1.84B by -5.50% .
The stock price reacted with a -2.76% one-day change and a 1.17% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Mattel Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

MAT Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Mattel Inc(MAT) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 1.85B and an EPS of 0.54.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.56%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -2.13%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 6.1% . These revisions correlate with a 12.27% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Mattel Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between MAT's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.56%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-2.13%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+6.1%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+12.27%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:5.43B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.58
—
Stock Price21.13
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MAT Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Mattel Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-21,After Hours):
EPS: 0.89 (Actual) vs.1.05 (Estimate) (-15.24%)
Revenue: 1.74B (Actual) vs. 1.84B (Estimate) (-5.50%)
Price Reaction: -2.76%(1-Day), 1.17%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-23,After Hours):
EPS: 0.19 (Actual) vs.0.16 (Estimate) (18.75%)
Revenue: 1.02B (Actual) vs. 1.05B (Estimate) (-3.23%)
Price Reaction: -16.39%(1-Day), -13.81%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-05,After Hours):
EPS: -0.03 (Actual) vs.-0.10 (Estimate) (70.00%)
Revenue: 826.60M (Actual) vs. 791.49M (Estimate) (4.44%)
Price Reaction: 2.78%(1-Day), 6.42%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how MAT performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MAT sees a -1.05% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +4.24% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.26%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -2.76% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -2.60% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Mattel Inc (MAT) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-10-21
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: financial performance shows positive net interest margin and deposit growth, but there are concerns about increased loan loss reserves and decreased capital ratios. The Q&A reveals uncertainties in M&A strategies and competitive pressures on deposits. Despite some positive elements, like increased noninterest income and decreased expenses, the revised guidance and macroeconomic uncertainties temper optimism, leading to a neutral sentiment.
Mattel Inc (MAT) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-10-21
The earnings call summary presents mixed signals. Basic financial performance shows some weakness with lower net income and increased leverage ratio. However, product development and market strategy are positive, with new films and digital partnerships. Guidance is slightly revised downward, but optimistic for growth. Shareholder returns through repurchases are a positive. Q&A insights indicate strong demand and retailer orders, but concerns about tariffs and vague management responses temper enthusiasm. Overall, these factors balance out, suggesting a neutral stock price movement in the short term.
Mattel Inc (MAT) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-07-23
The earnings call reveals a mixed outlook. Positive elements include strong consumer demand, supply chain diversification, and cost-saving initiatives. However, the pause in full-year guidance, tariff impacts, and uncertainties in the second half create a cautious sentiment. The Q&A highlights management's inability to provide precise impacts of tariffs and pricing actions, adding to the ambiguity. The lack of a clear guidance and potential margin pressures offset the positives, leading to a neutral sentiment for the stock's short-term movement.
Mattel Inc (MAT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-07
The earnings call reveals mixed results with positive financial performance but significant concerns. While there are improvements in gross margin and operating loss, issues like economic volatility, high retail inventories, cost inflation, and paused guidance due to uncertainties weigh heavily. The Q&A section highlights tariff impacts and supply chain challenges. Despite a robust share repurchase plan, the overall sentiment is negative due to the absence of guidance and macroeconomic concerns, likely leading to a stock price decline of -2% to -8%.
Mattel Inc (MAT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-05
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: positive aspects include increased net sales, improved margins, and significant share repurchases. However, challenges such as economic volatility, cost inflation, and uncertainties around tariffs and supply chain changes create potential headwinds. The Q&A reveals cautious optimism but lacks clarity on some issues, particularly pricing and inventory impacts. Overall, the sentiment is balanced, leading to a neutral prediction for the stock price movement over the next two weeks.
Mattel Inc (MAT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-05
The earnings call reflects mixed signals: positive financial performance with increased net sales, gross margin, and share repurchases, but concerns over tariffs, consumer spending uncertainty, and inventory levels. The Q&A reveals management's confidence in mitigating tariff impacts and maintaining retailer relationships, yet lacks clarity on specific outcomes. The strategic plan shows optimism with growth targets and cost savings. Given the balance of positive and negative factors, the stock price reaction is likely to be neutral, especially without a clear market cap context.
Mattel Inc (MAT) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-04
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with improved margins and EPS, robust share repurchase plans, and positive outlook for key brands like Hot Wheels and UNO. Despite some headwinds like cost inflation and tariffs, management's strategies to mitigate these, along with confidence in gaining market share, suggest a positive sentiment. The Q&A indicates some uncertainties around pricing actions but overall analyst sentiment remains optimistic. The lack of market cap data limits precise impact prediction, but overall indicators suggest a positive stock price movement in the near term.
Mattel, Inc. (MAT) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-24
The earnings call presented strong financial results, with increased free cash flow and ongoing share repurchases. Despite some margin pressure due to cost inflation, the company maintains positive guidance for EPS and EBITDA growth. The Q&A highlighted confidence in future industry growth and no impact on free cash flow from retail partner changes. The management's commitment to innovation and digital gaming initiatives further supports a positive outlook. The overall sentiment is positive, suggesting a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Mattel, Inc. (MAT) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-07-24
The earnings call indicates a positive outlook with strong financial performance, strategic cost savings, and a robust entertainment expansion plan. The Q&A reveals management's confidence in their supply chain, growth in key product lines, and undervalued stock potential. The lack of specific guidance on some questions was noted but doesn't overshadow the positive sentiment. With strong earnings, optimistic guidance, and continued share repurchases, the stock price is likely to see a positive movement in the short term.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of MAT’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

MAT reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-21, showcasing a revenue of 1.74B against an estimate of 1.84B, resulting in a -5.5% surprise. The EPS was 0.89, surpassing the expected 1.05 by -15.24% . The stock experienced a -2.76% price change on the earnings day and a 1.17% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did MAT’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following MAT’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-21, the stock price moved by -2.76% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 1.17% change. Historically, MAT’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -1.05% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +4.24% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for MAT for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate MAT’s annual revenue to reach 1.85B, while the EPS is projected at 0.54. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.56% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 6.1% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does MAT’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between MAT’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.56%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 6.1% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from MAT’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, MAT’s stock price typically moves by -1.05% in the 10 days before its earnings and +4.24% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.54 and revenue of 1.85B.
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What is the sentiment in Mattel Inc (MAT) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call presents a mixed picture: financial performance shows positive net interest margin and deposit growth, but there are concerns about increased loan loss reserves and decreased capital ratios. The Q&A reveals uncertainties in M&A strategies and competitive pressures on deposits. Despite some positive elements, like increased noninterest income and decreased expenses, the revised guidance and macroeconomic uncertainties temper optimism, leading to a neutral sentiment.
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