MAT Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how MAT performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MAT sees a +0.51% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.22% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.50%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
MAT Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
1.65B
1.59%
-10.71%
Gross Margin
50.83%
4.59%
-4.29%
Operating Margin
9.80%
7.81%
-64.13%
Net Margin
8.55%
-5.94%
-57.65%
EPS
0.42
0.00%
-61.47%
No Data Available
MAT Earnings Analysis
Mattel Inc Corporation (MAT.O) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Net Sales Growth: Net sales increased 3% in constant currency for Q4, reaching $1,646,000,000, demonstrating strong top-line growth.
Improved Adjusted Gross Margin: Adjusted gross margin improved by 200 basis points to 50.8% in Q4, reflecting effective cost management and operational efficiencies.
Q4 Adjusted EBITDA Growth: Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 increased by 6% to $249,000,000, indicating strong profitability and operational performance.
Strong Free Cash Flow: Free cash flow for the full year was nearly $600,000,000, showcasing robust cash generation capabilities and financial health.
Share Repurchase Strategy: The company repurchased $400,000,000 of shares in 2024, with plans to target an additional $600,000,000 in 2025, reflecting confidence in long-term value creation.
Negative
Net Sales Decline: Net sales declined 0.5% in constant currency for the full year, indicating a stagnation in revenue growth compared to the previous year.
Doll Sales Decline: Dolls gross billings decreased by 8% for the full year, primarily due to a 12% decline in Barbie sales, reflecting a significant drop in one of the company's key product lines.
Decline in Early Childhood Sales: Infant, toddler, and preschool categories saw a 4% decline for the full year, primarily due to the exit from certain product lines, which negatively impacted overall sales performance.
Elevated Retail Inventory Impact: Retail inventory levels were slightly elevated at the beginning of 2025, which is expected to create a headwind for first quarter performance, potentially affecting sales growth.
Increased Tax Burden: The adjusted tax rate is expected to increase to 23%-24% in 2025 from 21% in 2024, indicating a higher tax burden that could impact net earnings.
MAT FAQs
How does MAT typically perform around its earnings report dates?
Is Mattel Inc (MAT) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
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MAT Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Mattel Q4 2024 beats EPS forecast, shares rise
MAT.O
-2.98%Positive
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with improved margins and EPS, robust share repurchase plans, and positive outlook for key brands like Hot Wheels and UNO. Despite some headwinds like cost inflation and tariffs, management's strategies to mitigate these, along with confidence in gaining market share, suggest a positive sentiment. The Q&A indicates some uncertainties around pricing actions but overall analyst sentiment remains optimistic. The lack of market cap data limits precise impact prediction, but overall indicators suggest a positive stock price movement in the near term.
