MAT

Mattel Inc

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Advanced Chart

15.750

+0.030(+0.190%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Line

Candle

YTD

High

15.940

Open

15.630

VWAP

15.75

Vol

3.06M

Mkt Cap

5.09B

Low

15.580

Amount

48.12M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

6.62

Total Shares

344.06M

6.01B

EV/OCF(TTM)

7.51

P/S(TTM)

1.00

Mattel, Inc. is a toy company and owner of catalogs of children's and family entertainment franchises in the world. The Company's segments include North America, International and American Girl. Its portfolio of owned and licensed brands and products are grouped into four brand categories: Dolls, which includes brands such as Barbie, Monster High, American Girl, Polly Pocket, Spirit (Universal) and Enchantimals; Infant, Toddler, and Preschool includes brands such as Fisher-Price and Thomas & Friends, Power Wheels, and Fireman Sam; Vehicles include brands such as Hot Wheels, including Hot Wheels Monster Trucks and Hot Wheels Mario Kart (Nintendo), Matchbox and CARS (Disney Pixar), and Action Figures, Building Sets, Games, and Other include brands such as Masters of the Universe, MEGA, UNO, Lightyear (Disney Pixar), Jurassic World (NBCUniversal), world wrestling entertainment (WWE) and Star Wars (Disney). Its offerings include film and television content, gaming, music and live events.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2025Q3

FY2025Q2

FY2025Q1

1.88B

+2.22%

1.176

+3.17%

1.11B

+2.9%

0.205

+8.07%

791.49M

-2.23%

-0.095

+90.04%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Mattel, Inc. (MAT) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.82% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -16.13%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-0.82%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+6.47%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Down

-16.13%

In Past 3 Month

11 Analyst Rating

55.24% Upside

Wall Street analysts forecast MAT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MAT is 24.45 USD with a low forecast of 19.00 USD and a high forecast of 30.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

8 Buy

3 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

55.24% Upside

Current: 15.750

Low

19.00

Averages

24.45

High

30.00

55.24% Upside

Current: 15.750

Low

19.00

Averages

24.45

High

30.00

Jefferies

Kylie Cohu

Hold

Strong Buy

Upgrades

$20 → $28

2025-02-05

Reason

Jefferies

Kylie Cohu

Price Target

$20 → $28

2025-02-05

Upgrades

Hold

Strong Buy

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Megan Alexander

Hold

Maintains

$22 → $23

2025-02-05

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Megan Alexander

Price Target

$22 → $23

2025-02-05

Maintains

Hold

Reason

DA Davidson

Linda Bolton Weiser

Strong Buy

Maintains

$27 → $30

2025-02-05

Reason

DA Davidson

Linda Bolton Weiser

Price Target

$27 → $30

2025-02-05

Maintains

Strong Buy

Reason

DA Davidson

Linda Bolton Weiser

Strong Buy

Maintains

$27

2024-10-24

Reason

DA Davidson

Linda Bolton Weiser

Price Target

$27

2024-10-24

Maintains

Strong Buy

Reason

B of A Securities

Alexander Perry

Strong Buy

Maintains

$26 → $28

2024-10-24

Reason

B of A Securities

Alexander Perry

Price Target

$26 → $28

2024-10-24

Maintains

Strong Buy

Reason

BofA raised the firm's price target on Mattel to $28 from $26 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after the company reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.14, which beat the firm's $1.02 forecast. The firm lifted its calendar 2025 EPS estimate to $1.65, which reflects continued gross margin expansion and an estimated $150M in contribution to gross billings from Jurassic World Rebirth, which has a July 2025 release.

Morgan Stanley

Megan Alexander

Hold

Maintains

$21 → $22

2024-10-24

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Megan Alexander

Price Target

$21 → $22

2024-10-24

Maintains

Hold

Reason

Morgan Stanley analyst Megan Alexander raised the firm's price target on Mattel to $22 from $21 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. "Strong" Q3 upside was "somewhat overshadowed" by Q4 EPS that was implied well below expectations based on full-year guidance, the analyst tells investors. While the guidance "could prove conservative," it is too early to tell with the most important selling weeks ahead amid a shorter holiday season, impending election and ongoing consumer uncertainty, the analyst added.

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Mattel Inc (MAT.O) is 9.44, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 10.55. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Mattel Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average PE

10.55

Current PE

9.44

Overvalued PE

51.26

Undervalued PE

-30.17

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

9.69

Current EV/EBITDA

0.00

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

11.27

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

8.11

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average PS

1.22

Current PS

0.00

Overvalued PS

1.40

Undervalued PS

1.04