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Amount
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EV/EBITDA(TTM)
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Market Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
1.82B
+10.42%
0.503
+43.75%
846.53M
+2.41%
-0.062
+107.7%
1.06B
+3.74%
0.199
+4.83%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Mattel, Inc. (MAT) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.64% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 16.02%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-0.64%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-1.5%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
+16.02%
In Past 3 Month
9 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MAT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MAT is 24.13 USD with a low forecast of 20.00 USD and a high forecast of 29.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 20.210
Low
20.00
Averages
24.13
High
29.00
Current: 20.210
Low
20.00
Averages
24.13
High
29.00
Seaport Research
Neutral
initiated
2025-11-10
Reason
Seaport Research
Price Target
2025-11-10
initiated
Neutral
Reason
As previously reported, Seaport Research initiated coverage of Mattel with a Neutral rating and no price target. The firm sees "a mix of pros and cons that net out to a Neutral rating," telling investors that while Mattel should benefit from a toy industry that has been performing well so far in 2025, its overall financial performance has been uneven and two of its largest brands are showing signs of weakness.
Seaport Research
Gerrick Johnson
Neutral
initiated
2025-11-10
Reason
Seaport Research
Gerrick Johnson
Price Target
2025-11-10
initiated
Neutral
Reason
Seaport Research analyst Gerrick Johnson initiated coverage of Mattel with a Neutral rating.
JPMorgan
Christopher Horvers
Neutral
downgrade
$25 -> $23
2025-10-27
Reason
JPMorgan
Christopher Horvers
Price Target
$25 -> $23
2025-10-27
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Christopher Horvers lowered the firm's price target on Mattel to $23 from $25 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm says the "legitimate shift" of retail ordering caused Q3 toy sales to miss estimates. However, accelerating sales and "lean" inventories at retail suggest a strong finish to fiscal 2026, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Roth Capital
Eric Handler
Neutral
downgrade
$22 -> $20
2025-10-22
Reason
Roth Capital
Eric Handler
Price Target
$22 -> $20
2025-10-22
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Roth Capital analyst Eric Handler lowered the firm's price target on Mattel to $20 from $22 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The company's Q3 results were short of estimates, but the management kept its full-year guidance unchanged, and while Mattel is confident in its outlook, there are a number of doubts among investors toward achieving mid-teens net sales growth in Q4, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The stock remains inexpensive but the firm needs to see a clearer path for consistent top-line growth to take a more constructive view, Roth added.
DA Davidson
Keegan Cox
Buy
downgrade
$30 -> $25
2025-10-22
Reason
DA Davidson
Keegan Cox
Price Target
$30 -> $25
2025-10-22
downgrade
Buy
Reason
DA Davidson analyst Keegan Cox lowered the firm's price target on Mattel to $25 from $30 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company missed across the board but reiterated their full year guidance, which implies a strong ramp this holiday season, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Strong industry growth and increasing point-of-sale data indicate that consumer demand hasn't fallen off yet from tariff related price increases, the firm added.
Stifel
Martin Landry
Buy
to
Hold
downgrade
$33 -> $25
2025-08-01
Reason
Stifel
Martin Landry
Price Target
$33 -> $25
2025-08-01
downgrade
Buy
to
Hold
Reason
Stifel analyst Martin Landry downgraded Spin Master (SNMSF) to Hold from Buy with a price target of C$25, down from C$33, after the company reported Q2 results "materially below" consensus estimates. Management pointed to "a gloomy outlook" due to retailers de-stocking inventory and sourcing domestically and while these issues were expected given comments from Hasbro (HAS) and Mattel (MAT) during their Q2 calls, the impact is worse than previously expected and the firm's forecasts now suggest that Spin Master's EPS could decline year-over-year for a third consecutive year, the analyst tells investors.
See All Ratings
Valuation Metrics
The current forward P/E ratio for Mattel Inc (MAT.O) is 12.18, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 14.88. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Mattel Inc 's fair value, click here.
Forward PE
The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
Fair
5Y Average PE
14.88
Current PE
12.18
Overvalued PE
18.66
Undervalued PE
11.10
Forward EV/EBITDA
The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
9.11
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
10.59
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
7.62
Forward PS
The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
N/A
5Y Average PS
1.24
Current PS
0.00
Overvalued PS
1.38
Undervalued PS
1.11
Financials
Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
Trading Trends
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds areSelling! The selling amount has increased 2986.19% over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
MAT News & Events
Events Timeline
(ET)
2025-10-21
17:26:13
Mattel anticipates significant revenue growth in Q4
2025-10-21
16:07:22
Mattel supports FY25 adjusted EPS forecast of $1.54-$1.66, aligning with consensus of $1.61.
2025-10-21
16:06:46
Mattel announces Q3 adjusted earnings per share of 89 cents, below consensus estimate of $1.06
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News
![[object Object]](https://d5bp8bijhhba2.cloudfront.net/image/cover_image/caa4590e184e3054c887f51fcd1efa0badb2497769a1ed5765551b76b6b630ea.jpg)
Preview
8.0
12-12NASDAQ.COMNoteworthy MAT Put and Call Options Set for March 2026
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Preview
3.0
12-11NASDAQ.COMValidea's Leading Consumer Discretionary Stocks Inspired by Peter Lynch - December 11, 2025
![[object Object]](https://d5bp8bijhhba2.cloudfront.net/image/cover_image/75d194622918a0faa87edb59d8d48a039e39880683df42ba6da370cdcd1de8c8.jpg)
Preview
6.5
12-08NASDAQ.COMZacks Industry Outlook Spotlights Hasbro and Mattel
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