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  4. Forecast

Stock Price Prediction

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HOG
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$
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0.000(0.000%)
    OverviewForecastTechnicalOptionsEarningsFinancialsValuationInsiders

HOG Price Prediction Next Week

Technical Analysis: HOG's stock has shown a clear downward trend, with the price declining from $36.04 on February 23 to $26.42 currently. The stock has experienced significant selling pressure, breaking through several support levels.

News Impact Analysis:

  • Recent dividend announcement: HOG will pay $0.18 per share on March 14, 2025, with an ex-dividend date of February 28. The current dividend yield is approximately 2.6%.
  • Q4 2024 Performance: The company reported disappointing results with:
    • 34.7% decline in consolidated revenue
    • Global retail motorcycle sales down 15%
    • North American retail performance down 13%
    • Operating loss of $214 million vs $44 million loss year-over-year

Price Forecast for Next Week: Based on technical indicators and recent news sentiment:

  • Resistance level: $27.08 (recent high)
  • Support level: $26.11 (recent low)
  • Expected trading range: $25.80 - $27.30

Target Price Prediction: $25.90 by end of next week

Recommendation: SELL Rationale:

  • Negative technical momentum with broken support levels
  • Poor fundamental performance with significant revenue decline
  • Multiple analyst downgrades with lower price targets:
    • Morgan Stanley: $31
    • Citigroup: $29
    • KeyBanc: Hold rating
  • Company's conservative guidance for 2025 suggesting continued challenges

The stock is likely to face continued pressure due to weak fundamentals and negative market sentiment. Current shareholders should consider selling positions, while potential buyers should wait for better entry points.

Technical Analysis: HOG's stock has shown a clear downward trend, with the price declining from $36.04 on February 23 to $26.42 currently. The stock has experienced significant selling pressure, breaking through several support levels.

News Impact Analysis:

  • Recent dividend announcement: HOG will pay $0.18 per share on March 14, 2025, with an ex-dividend date of February 28. The current dividend yield is approximately 2.6%.
  • Q4 2024 Performance: The company reported disappointing results with:
    • 34.7% decline in consolidated revenue
    • Global retail motorcycle sales down 15%
    • North American retail performance down 13%
    • Operating loss of $214 million vs $44 million loss year-over-year

Price Forecast for Next Week: Based on technical indicators and recent news sentiment:

  • Resistance level: $27.08 (recent high)
  • Support level: $26.11 (recent low)
  • Expected trading range: $25.80 - $27.30

Target Price Prediction: $25.90 by end of next week

Recommendation: SELL Rationale:

  • Negative technical momentum with broken support levels
  • Poor fundamental performance with significant revenue decline
  • Multiple analyst downgrades with lower price targets:
    • Morgan Stanley: $31
    • Citigroup: $29
    • KeyBanc: Hold rating
  • Company's conservative guidance for 2025 suggesting continued challenges

The stock is likely to face continued pressure due to weak fundamentals and negative market sentiment. Current shareholders should consider selling positions, while potential buyers should wait for better entry points.

HOG Similar Chart Price Prediction

The price of HOG is predicted to go up -23.85%, based on the high correlation periods with HIMS. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 97.07%.

stocks logo

HOG

stocks logo

HIMS

Down: -23.85%Similarity: 97.07%

HOG Stock Forecast & Prediction For Years 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029 and 2030

Year

HOG Price Forecast($)

Potential Return(%)

2025

35.000

25.900

2026

35.000

29.340

2027

35.000

29.340

2028

35.000

29.340

2029

35.000

29.340

2030

35.000

29.340

What is HOG stock price prediction 2025 ?

HOG's stock price is predicted to reach $35 by the end of 2025, driven by potential recovery in consumer spending as interest rates decline. The company's focus on premium segments like Touring and CVO motorcycles, coupled with cost-cutting initiatives, positions it for moderate growth. However, challenges such as declining global sales and competition from brands like Indian Motorcycles may limit upside potential.

What is HOG stock price prediction 2026 ?

HOG's stock price in 2026 is projected to reach $35, driven by potential recovery in consumer spending as interest rates ease and improved demand for premium motorcycles. Analysts have set price targets between $31 and $35, reflecting cautious optimism despite recent sales challenges. However, risks remain due to competition and demographic shifts in its core customer base.

What is HOG stock price prediction 2027 ?

HOG's stock price in 2027 is projected to reach approximately $35-$40, assuming a modest annual growth rate of 3-5% driven by gradual recovery in consumer demand and easing interest rates. The company's focus on premium segments like Touring and CVO motorcycles, coupled with potential benefits from cost-cutting initiatives, supports this outlook. However, risks include competition, demographic challenges, and macroeconomic uncertainties.

What is HOG stock price prediction 2028 ?

HOG's stock price in 2028 is projected to reach approximately $35-$40, assuming a modest annual growth rate of 4%-5% driven by easing interest rates and steady demand for premium motorcycles. This estimate factors in Harley-Davidson's strong brand equity, potential recovery in consumer spending, and ongoing cost management strategies. However, challenges like demographic shifts and competition may limit upside potential.

What is HOG stock price prediction 2029 ?

HOG's stock price in 2029 is projected to reach approximately $35-$40, driven by moderate revenue growth (around 3.5% CAGR) and stable EBITDA margins near 15.9%. This assumes Harley-Davidson successfully maintains its core customer base while addressing challenges like high debt and limited appeal to younger demographics. However, risks include macroeconomic uncertainties and competition from brands like Indian Motorcycles.

What is HOG stock price prediction 2030 ?

HOG's stock price prediction for 2030 is estimated at $35-$40 per share. This projection is based on moderate revenue growth (3.5% CAGR), stable EBITDA margins (15.9%), and a valuation aligned with historical EV/EBITDA multiples. However, challenges like declining retail sales and limited appeal to younger demographics may cap upside potential.

HOG Revenue Forecast

HOG EPS Forecast

HOG FAQs

What is bull’s view on HOG?

HOG stock is currently trading at $27.01, with a bullish view supported by its oversold RSI of 28.1, indicating potential for a rebound. Analysts like BofA maintain a "Strong Buy" rating with a revised price target of $35, citing attractive valuation despite soft retail trends. Additionally, bullish options activity with high call volume suggests positive sentiment ahead of the February 5 earnings report.

What is bear's view on HOG?

HOG stock is currently trading at $27.01, with bearish sentiment driven by weak retail sales and inventory concerns. Analysts have downgraded price targets, with Citi lowering it to $31 and Morgan Stanley to $33, citing poor momentum and affordability challenges. Despite oversold RSI levels (28.1), the stock faces headwinds from muted consumer confidence and limited near-term catalysts.

What is HOG revenue forecast for next quarter？

The market consensus for HOG's revenue in the upcoming quarter is projected to be approximately $1.122B USD.

What is HOG eps forecast for next quarter？

The market consensus for HOG's eps in the upcoming quarter is projected to be approximately $0.816 USD.

HOG VS S&P500

Harley-Davidson's brand is more than 120 years old and resonates globally with a wide consumer base, particularly its core market (men over 35). Efforts to reconnect with its core consumer could lead to a unit demand uptick faster than we anticipate.

The firm has historically generated solid free cash flow, and we expect it to continue doing so, generating a low-double-digit average FCF yield over the next decade.

Harley has high brand awareness and robust market share in custom and touring segments domestically, two of the most profitable motorcycle categories.

Ask Intellectia about HOG

HOG Analyst's Forecast

Robert Ohmes

B of A Securities

Strong Buy

2025-01-30

Price Target

$40 → $35

Upside

+26.77%

BofA lowered the firm's price target on Harley-Davidson to $35 from $40 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Ahead of the company's scheduled Q4 earnings report due on Wednesday, February 5, the firm lowered its Q4 adjusted EPS to (62c) from (47c) to reflect a lower shipment outlook from soft retail backdrop and as it believes Harley looked to end 2024 with dealer inventory similar to last year at about 49,000 units. The firm also lowered its 2025 EPS view on the still soft retail backdrop, but calls the stock's valuation "attractive."
James Hardiman

Citigroup

Hold

2025-01-23

Price Target

$34 → $31

Upside

+7.9%

Adam Jonas

Morgan Stanley

Buy → Hold

2025-01-21

Price Target

$40 → $33

Upside

+14.42%

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