The chart below shows how EPRT performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, EPRT sees a -1.13% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.03% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.27%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
AFFO Growth Increase: 1. Strong AFFO Growth: The company reported an AFFO per share of $0.43 for Q3 2024, marking a 2% increase compared to Q3 2023, and a total AFFO of $77.9 million, which is up 17% year-over-year.
Investment Activity Overview: 2. High Investment Activity: Essential Properties invested $308 million through 37 transactions in Q3 2024, achieving a weighted average cash yield of 8.1%, which is an increase of 50 basis points from the previous year.
Strong Tenant Stability: 3. Robust Portfolio Performance: The company ended the quarter with 2,053 properties that were 99.9% leased, with a weighted average lease term of 14.1 years, indicating strong tenant stability and long-term cash flow.
Tenant Profitability Ratio: 4. Healthy Tenant Coverage: The weighted average unit level rent coverage ratio was 3.6x, reflecting strong profitability among tenants at the unit level, which supports the sustainability of rental income.
Strong Liquidity Position: 5. Solid Liquidity Position: The company maintained a liquidity of $1.2 billion and a pro forma leverage of 3.5x, positioning it well for future growth and investment opportunities.
Negative
AFFO Per Share Decline: 1. Decreased AFFO per Share: The AFFO per share for Q3 2024 was $0.43, which, while a 2% increase year-over-year, reflects only a modest growth rate compared to previous quarters, indicating potential stagnation in earnings growth.
Equity Dilution Impact: 2. Increased Dilution from Equity Issuance: The company faced a headwind of approximately $0.01 to AFFO per share due to the treasury stock method related to unsettled forward equity, with an estimated total dilution reaching $0.02 for the full year 2024.
Tenant Profitability Risk: 3. Tenant Coverage Ratio Decline: The weighted average unit level rent coverage ratio decreased to 3.6x from previous levels, indicating a decline in tenant profitability and potential risk in the portfolio.
Rising General & Administrative Costs: 4. High G&A Expenses: Total G&A expenses increased to $28 million to $31 million for 2025, reflecting a rise in operational costs that could impact profitability if not managed effectively.
Conservative Acquisition Outlook: 5. Reduced Acquisition Guidance: The company provided a conservative acquisition guidance of $250 million per quarter moving forward, down from previous levels, indicating a potential slowdown in growth and investment activity.
Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. (EPRT) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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