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PFSI Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of PennyMac Financial Services Inc(PFSI) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of PennyMac Financial Services Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-21After Hours3.053.37+10.49573.46M632.90M+10.36+7.16+9.97
FY2025Q22025-07-22After Hours3.011.02-66.11551.41M444.73M-19.35-7.38-10.40
FY2024Q42025-01-30After Hours3.052.88-5.57524.22M470.11M-10.32-8.82-8.40
FY2024Q32024-10-22After Hours2.923.49+19.52488.39M411.83M-15.67-3.49-1.16
FY2024Q22024-07-23-2.652.67+0.75469.53M406.13M-13.50+1.19-0.14
FY2024Q12024-04-24-2.342.48+5.98429.96M305.66M-28.91-0.77-7.70
FY2023Q42024-02-01-1.011.76+74.26417.58M361.94M-13.32+2.06+2.47
FY2023Q32023-10-26-1.571.77+12.74405.32M400.31M-1.24+1.73+9.17
-2023-04-27-1.200.57-52.50---+2.98-7.80
-2023-02-02-0.850.89+4.71---+5.21-2.94
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PFSI Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, PennyMac Financial Services Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-21. The company achieved an EPS of 3.37, compared to analyst estimates of 3.05 by 10.49% . Revenue for the quarter reached 632.90M compared to expectations of 573.46M by 10.36% .
The stock price reacted with a 7.16% one-day change and a 9.97% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in PennyMac Financial Services Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

PFSI Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, PennyMac Financial Services Inc(PFSI) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 650.84M and an EPS of 3.49.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 5.32%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 7.55%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 9.49% . These revisions correlate with a 12.84% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in PennyMac Financial Services Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between PFSI's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+5.32%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+7.55%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
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+9.49%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
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+12.84%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.21B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:11.98
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Stock Price132.58
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PFSI Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

PennyMac Financial Services Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-21,After Hours):
EPS: 3.37 (Actual) vs.3.05 (Estimate) (10.49%)
Revenue: 632.90M (Actual) vs. 573.46M (Estimate) (10.36%)
Price Reaction: 7.16%(1-Day), 9.97%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-22,After Hours):
EPS: 1.02 (Actual) vs.3.01 (Estimate) (-66.11%)
Revenue: 444.73M (Actual) vs. 551.41M (Estimate) (-19.35%)
Price Reaction: -7.38%(1-Day), -10.40%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-01-30,After Hours):
EPS: 2.88 (Actual) vs.3.05 (Estimate) (-5.57%)
Revenue: 470.11M (Actual) vs. 524.22M (Estimate) (-10.32%)
Price Reaction: -8.82%(1-Day), -8.40%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how PFSI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, PFSI sees a -4.81% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -2.79% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.55%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 7.16% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 4.92% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

PennyMac Financial Services Inc (PFSI) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-10-21
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a significant increase in pretax income and reduced hedge costs. The Q&A section indicates positive sentiment with increased volumes, improved recapture rates, and opportunities from industry consolidation. Although there are some uncertainties, such as the government shutdown impact, the overall outlook is positive due to AI initiatives, a focus on organic growth, and strategic capital allocation. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity, leading to a positive stock price reaction.
PennyMac Financial Services Inc (PFSI) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-07-23
The earnings call presents a mixed sentiment. Financial performance is impacted by lower margins and increased expenses, but management expects improvements in ROE and stability in margins. The Q&A reveals concerns about unclear guidance on sub-servicing and hedging impact, but also notes strategic adjustments and stable leverage. Given the market cap and these mixed signals, a neutral sentiment is justified for the stock's short-term movement.
PennyMac Financial Services Inc (PFSI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-04-24
The earnings call reveals several negative indicators: declining net income, EPS miss, reduced ROE, and increased operational costs. Additionally, the Q&A highlights concerns about hedging effectiveness and potential liquidity issues. Despite some positive aspects like AI-driven cost efficiencies and a stable servicing portfolio, these are outweighed by declining production volumes and fair value of MSRs. The absence of a share buyback program further dampens sentiment. Given these factors and the company's mid-cap status, a negative stock price movement of -2% to -8% is expected.
PennyMac Financial Services Inc (PFSI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-22
The earnings call reflects mixed sentiments. Financial performance shows slight declines in net income and EPS, but management remains optimistic about organic growth and cost efficiencies. The Q&A reveals confidence in handling competitive threats and technology-driven efficiencies, but there are concerns about MSR value declines and vague responses on delinquency impacts. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a neutral prediction.
PennyMac Financial Services Inc (PFSI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-22
The earnings call summary presents a mixed picture: while the servicing portfolio and liquidity are strong, net income and loan originations declined. The Q&A section reveals some concerns about competition and unclear management responses. The lack of a share repurchase program and the issuance of unsecured notes might further dampen sentiment. The dividend announcement is positive but not enough to offset other concerns. Given these mixed signals and the company's market cap, the stock price is likely to remain stable, resulting in a neutral sentiment.
PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. (PFSI) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-10-23
The earnings call presents a mixed sentiment. Financial performance shows some positive aspects such as increased production segment pretax income and broker channel growth, but is offset by significant fair value declines in MSRs and increased operational costs. The Q&A section reveals concerns about interest rate impacts on lock volumes and ROE, but also highlights market share gains. The dividend remains stable, but no share repurchase program was announced. Given the market cap, these mixed signals suggest a neutral stock price movement over the next two weeks.
PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. (PFSI) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-07-23
The earnings call presented mixed signals: net income decline and hedge losses are negatives, but increased origination volumes and a 50% dividend hike are positives. Q&A revealed some concerns about hedge volatility and unclear management responses on subservicing opportunities. With a market cap of $4.7 billion, these factors suggest a neutral stock price reaction in the short term.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of PFSI’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

PFSI reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-21, showcasing a revenue of 632.90M against an estimate of 573.46M, resulting in a 10.36% surprise. The EPS was 3.37, surpassing the expected 3.05 by 10.49% . The stock experienced a 7.16% price change on the earnings day and a 9.97% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did PFSI’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following PFSI’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-21, the stock price moved by 7.16% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 9.97% change. Historically, PFSI’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -4.81% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -2.79% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for PFSI for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate PFSI’s annual revenue to reach 650.84M, while the EPS is projected at 3.49. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 5.32% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 9.49% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does PFSI’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between PFSI’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 5.32%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 9.49% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from PFSI’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, PFSI’s stock price typically moves by -4.81% in the 10 days before its earnings and -2.79% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 3.49 and revenue of 650.84M.
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What is the sentiment in PennyMac Financial Services Inc (PFSI) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a significant increase in pretax income and reduced hedge costs. The Q&A section indicates positive sentiment with increased volumes, improved recapture rates, and opportunities from industry consolidation. Although there are some uncertainties, such as the government shutdown impact, the overall outlook is positive due to AI initiatives, a focus on organic growth, and strategic capital allocation. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity, leading to a positive stock price reaction.
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