Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Vista Energy SAB de CV(VIST) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Vista Energy SAB de CV earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate
Surprise Analysis
| FY2025Q3 | 2025-10-22 | After Hours | 1.24 | 1.48 | +19.35 | 653.36M | 706.14M | +8.08 | +11.47 | +33.24 |
| FY2025Q2 | 2025-07-10 | After Hours | 2.15 | 2.16 | +0.65 | 597.64M | 610.54M | +2.16 | -5.93 | -9.42 |
| FY2025Q1 | 2025-04-23 | After Hours | 0.82 | - | - | 451.15M | 438.46M | -2.81 | +2.73 | -4.08 |
| FY2024Q4 | 2025-02-26 | After Hours | 0.90 | - | - | 464.55M | 471.32M | +1.46 | -5.42 | -10.82 |
| FY2024Q3 | 2024-10-23 | After Hours | 1.46 | 0.55 | -62.33 | 437.49M | 462.38M | +5.69 | +2.26 | +6.20 |
| FY2024Q2 | 2024-07-11 | - | 1.40 | 0.74 | -47.14 | 404.38M | 396.72M | -1.89 | +0.17 | +0.15 |
| FY2024Q1 | 2024-04-24 | - | 0.89 | 0.49 | -44.94 | 353.79M | 317.40M | -10.29 | -1.77 | -2.31 |
| FY2023Q4 | 2024-02-20 | - | 1.54 | 2.52 | +63.64 | 349.03M | 309.20M | -11.41 | +3.69 | +6.72 |
| FY2023Q3 | 2023-10-24 | - | 1.16 | 1.29 | +11.21 | - | 289.69M | - | +0.79 | -6.96 |
| - | 2023-07-13 | - | 0.64 | 0.61 | -4.69 | - | - | - | +2.62 | +0.11 |
VIST Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Vista Energy SAB de CV reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-22. The company achieved an EPS of 1.48, compared to analyst estimates of 1.24 by 19.35% . Revenue for the quarter reached 706.14M compared to expectations of 653.36M by 8.08% .
The stock price reacted with a 11.47% one-day change and a 33.24% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Vista Energy SAB de CV growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
VIST Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, Vista Energy SAB de CV(VIST) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 677.09M and an EPS of 1.06.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 4.52%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 19.44%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 6.15% . These revisions correlate with a 36.00% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Vista Energy SAB de CV long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between VIST's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+4.52%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+19.44%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
+6.15%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
+36.00%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.40B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:6.32
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Stock Price51.79
VIST Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
Vista Energy SAB de CV revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-22,After Hours):
EPS: 1.48 (Actual) vs.1.24 (Estimate) (19.35%)
Revenue: 706.14M (Actual) vs. 653.36M (Estimate) (8.08%)
Price Reaction: 11.47%(1-Day), 33.24%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-10,After Hours):
EPS: 2.16 (Actual) vs.2.15 (Estimate) (0.65%)
Revenue: 610.54M (Actual) vs. 597.64M (Estimate) (2.16%)
Price Reaction: -5.93%(1-Day), -9.42%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-23,After Hours):
EPS: (Actual) vs.0.82 (Estimate) (%)
Revenue: 438.46M (Actual) vs. 451.15M (Estimate) (-2.81%)
Price Reaction: 2.73%(1-Day), -4.08%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how VIST performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, VIST sees a -5.39% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.03% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.26%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 11.47% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 36.27% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
Vista Energy SAB de CV (VIST) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-10-23
The earnings call highlights strong production growth, improved EBITDA margins, and increased well tie-ins, indicating operational efficiency and financial health. The Q&A reveals positive sentiment with production exceeding guidance and strategic flexibility in well tie-ins. Although CapEx slightly exceeds guidance, it supports growth. The market strategy and shareholder returns are well-received, with no major risks identified. Given the market cap, a positive stock price movement of 2% to 8% is likely over the next two weeks.
Vista Energy SAB de CV (VIST) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-07-11
The earnings call presents mixed signals. The acquisition of Petronas Argentina and production growth are positive, but the removal of 2025 market guidance and a decline in realized oil prices are concerning. The Q&A reveals a cautious approach to future operations, potential free cash flow issues, and a lack of detailed guidance, which may worry investors. The market cap suggests moderate volatility, leading to a neutral stock price prediction.
Vista Energy SAB de CV (VIST) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-04-24
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with significant production growth and improved EBITDA margins. The acquisition of Petronas Argentina is expected to enhance EBITDA and margins further. While there are concerns about debt management, the overall sentiment from the Q&A suggests confidence in synergies and production growth. The removal of 2025 guidance due to the acquisition could be a potential concern, but the strong operational metrics and strategic moves outweigh this, indicating a positive outlook for the stock price over the next two weeks.
Vista Energy SAB de CV (VIST) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-27
The company reported strong financial performance with a 52% increase in total revenues and a robust 83% share price increase over the year. Despite some concerns about production delays in Q1 2025, the overall guidance remains optimistic with significant production ramp-up plans for later in the year. Additionally, the company maintains a solid financial position with a low net leverage ratio and plans for continued growth in Vaca Muerta. These factors, along with a sizable share repurchase program, suggest a positive outlook for stock price movement.
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-24
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with significant revenue and production growth, along with optimistic future guidance. The share buyback program and expansion plans further support positive sentiment. However, uncertainties in long-term strategy and negative free cash flow slightly temper the outlook. Market reaction is likely positive, given the company's mid-cap status and strong operational metrics.
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-07-12
The earnings call summary presents strong financial performance with a 66% revenue increase and 90% adjusted EBITDA growth, alongside strategic developments such as new rigs and production growth. Despite concerns about free cash flow and lifting costs, the Q&A session revealed positive outlooks with expected double-digit growth and increased export volumes. The company's solid financial position, strategic investments, and optimistic guidance, combined with a mid-sized market cap, suggest a positive stock price movement in the 2% to 8% range over the next two weeks.
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FAQ
What were the key highlights of VIST’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?
How did VIST’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for VIST for 2025/Q4?
How does VIST’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
What should investors expect from VIST’s next earnings report?