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TKR Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Timken Co(TKR) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Timken Co earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-29Pre-Market1.251.37+9.601.12B1.16B+3.32+2.63+0.95
FY2025Q22025-07-30Pre-Market1.341.42+5.971.16B1.17B+1.54-7.67-8.69
FY2025Q12025-04-30Pre-Market1.431.40-2.101.13B1.14B+1.15-1.56+1.67
FY2024Q42025-02-05Pre-Market0.981.16+18.371.07B1.07B+0.70+3.46+4.06
FY2024Q32024-11-05Pre-Market1.371.23-10.221.12B1.13B+0.79-12.92-8.22
FY2024Q22024-07-31-1.601.63+1.871.19B1.18B-0.37+1.62-5.31
FY2024Q12024-04-30-1.501.77+18.001.15B1.19B+3.22+2.91+3.41
FY2023Q42024-02-05-1.231.37+11.381.06B1.09B+3.33-4.45-3.91
FY2023Q32023-11-01-1.601.55-3.131.20B1.14B-4.63-0.48+2.17
FY2023Q22023-08-03-2.072.01-2.901.30B1.27B-1.89-9.20-14.32
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TKR Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Timken Co reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-29. The company achieved an EPS of 1.37, compared to analyst estimates of 1.25 by 9.60% . Revenue for the quarter reached 1.16B compared to expectations of 1.12B by 3.32% .
The stock price reacted with a 2.63% one-day change and a 0.95% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Timken Co growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

TKR Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Timken Co(TKR) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 1.07B and an EPS of 1.09.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.76%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -0.13%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -0.48% . These revisions correlate with a 6.40% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Timken Co long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between TKR's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.76%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.13%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.48%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+6.40%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:4.54B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:5.26
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Stock Price82.76
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AI Stock Picker

TKR Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Timken Co revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-29,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.37 (Actual) vs.1.25 (Estimate) (9.60%)
Revenue: 1.16B (Actual) vs. 1.12B (Estimate) (3.32%)
Price Reaction: 2.63%(1-Day), 0.95%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-30,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.42 (Actual) vs.1.34 (Estimate) (5.97%)
Revenue: 1.17B (Actual) vs. 1.16B (Estimate) (1.54%)
Price Reaction: -7.67%(1-Day), -8.69%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-30,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.40 (Actual) vs.1.43 (Estimate) (-2.10%)
Revenue: 1.14B (Actual) vs. 1.13B (Estimate) (1.15%)
Price Reaction: -1.56%(1-Day), 1.67%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how TKR performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TKR sees a +1.06% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.73% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -2.68%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -0.72% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -0.74% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Timken Co (TKR) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-10-29
The earnings call reveals cautious outlooks, with declining revenues and adjusted earnings, and concerns about tariffs and trade uncertainty. Although there are positive signs like backlog improvement and automation investments, the lack of clear guidance for 2026, expected organic sales decline, and cautious management responses in the Q&A indicate potential challenges. The combination of these factors and a reduced earnings outlook suggests a likely negative market reaction.
Timken Co (TKR) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-07-30
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: while there are positive developments like automation growth potential and backlog increases, there are concerns about reduced organic volume guidance and inefficiencies in the Mexico plant ramp-up. The cautious approach due to trade uncertainties and vague management responses further temper optimism. Given these factors and the lack of strong catalysts, a neutral stock price reaction is expected over the next two weeks.
Timken Co (TKR) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-01
The earnings call reveals several negative factors, including an EPS miss, lower demand, tariff impacts, economic uncertainty, and inflationary pressures. Despite some positive elements like share repurchases and improved renewable energy demand, the overall sentiment is negative due to declining revenue, reduced margins, and operational challenges. The Q&A section highlights management's evasiveness on key issues, further contributing to a negative outlook. Given these factors, the stock price is likely to experience a negative movement in the range of -2% to -8% over the next two weeks.
Timken Co (TKR) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-04-30
The earnings call indicates several challenges: declining revenue, lower EBITDA margins, and competitive pressures, particularly in Europe and the Americas. While there are positive aspects like increased free cash flow and shareholder returns, the cautious market demand outlook and supply chain issues are concerning. The Q&A session highlights uncertainties in volume and pricing assumptions, with management providing unclear responses. Despite some positive trends in renewable energy and cost-saving targets, the overall sentiment leans negative due to weak financial performance and market challenges.
The Timken Company (TKR) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2024-11-05
The earnings call reflects several negative factors: revenue decline, margin compression, and reduced free cash flow outlook. The Q&A section highlights concerns about renewable energy sector performance, unclear management responses, and lack of optimism for 2025. Despite cost reduction efforts, the weak guidance and economic outlook, along with geographic weaknesses, suggest a negative sentiment. The stable leverage and ongoing dividend payments offer some stability, but overall, the negative elements outweigh the positives, leading to a prediction of a negative stock price movement.
The Timken Company (TKR) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-07-31
The earnings call reveals mixed signals. Revenue and EPS declined, and there are challenges like supply chain issues and increased tax rates. However, there are positives: acquisitions are expected to contribute positively, dividends increased, and shareholder returns are ongoing. The Q&A section indicates cautious optimism in renewables and operational improvements, but management's vague responses on cost savings raise concerns. Overall, the sentiment is balanced, leading to a neutral prediction.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of TKR’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

TKR reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-29, showcasing a revenue of 1.16B against an estimate of 1.12B, resulting in a 3.32% surprise. The EPS was 1.37, surpassing the expected 1.25 by 9.6% . The stock experienced a 2.63% price change on the earnings day and a 0.95% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did TKR’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following TKR’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-29, the stock price moved by 2.63% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 0.95% change. Historically, TKR’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +1.06% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +1.73% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for TKR for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate TKR’s annual revenue to reach 1.07B, while the EPS is projected at 1.09. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.76% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -0.48% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does TKR’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between TKR’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.76%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -0.48% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from TKR’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, TKR’s stock price typically moves by +1.06% in the 10 days before its earnings and +1.73% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 1.09 and revenue of 1.07B.
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What is the sentiment in Timken Co (TKR) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call reveals cautious outlooks, with declining revenues and adjusted earnings, and concerns about tariffs and trade uncertainty. Although there are positive signs like backlog improvement and automation investments, the lack of clear guidance for 2026, expected organic sales decline, and cautious management responses in the Q&A indicate potential challenges. The combination of these factors and a reduced earnings outlook suggests a likely negative market reaction.
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