USM Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how USM performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, USM sees a -1.81% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.42% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +6.74%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
USM Key Earning Data
USM Earnings Analysis
Positive
Earnings Surprise Achieved: United States Cellular Corporation beats earnings expectations with reported EPS of $0.05, exceeding expectations of $-0.1.
Cost Reduction Success: In 2024, both businesses maintained their cost reduction programs, resulting in expanded margins and a 7% increase in adjusted EBITDA on a consolidated basis.
Debt Reduction and Cash Flow: The company paid down over $200 million in debt, strengthening its balance sheet and maintaining a free cash flow positive position.
5G Deployment Expansion: The 5G mid-band deployment and fiber program at TDS Telecom increased the footprint nearly 30% over the past three years, enhancing competitive positioning.
Retail Subscriber Growth: Retail subscriber results showed meaningful year-over-year progress, including growth in fixed wireless, which surpassed 150,000 customers.
Customer Retention Improvement: Postpaid handset gross additions increased year-over-year by 16%, and postpaid handset churn decreased by 14 basis points, indicating improved customer retention.
Free Cash Flow Increase: Free cash flow in 2024 was $280 million, an $88 million increase over 2023, primarily due to profitability improvements and decreased capital expenditures.
Residential Revenue Growth: TDS Telecom's fiber strategy resulted in a 6% increase in residential revenues, driven by growth in broadband connections and average revenue per connection.
Fiber Service Expansion: TDS Telecom added 129,000 fiber service addresses in 2024, surpassing its goal of 125,000, and plans to deliver 150,000 fiber service addresses in 2025.
Network Quality Leadership: The company ranked first in the north central region according to JD Power 2025 US wireless network quality performance study, reflecting strong network performance.
Negative
Earnings Beat, Revenue Decline: Despite beating earnings expectations with an EPS of $0.05, the company reported a 2% decline in service revenues, primarily driven by a decrease in the average retail subscriber base.
Subscriber Addition Challenges: Net retail subscriber additions were negative, indicating ongoing challenges in the competitive environment and the company's lack of scale.
Profitability Pressures and Declines: Adjusted operating income before depreciation and amortization (OIBDA) declined by 14%, and adjusted EBITDA decreased by 11%, reflecting pressures on profitability despite some cost optimization efforts.
Financial Guidance Uncertainty: The company is not issuing financial guidance for 2025, indicating uncertainty in future performance and potential challenges ahead.
Transaction Uncertainty: The pending transaction with T-Mobile is subject to regulatory approvals and other closing conditions, which introduces uncertainty regarding the timing and completion of the deal.
Tax Obligations Impacting Cash Flow: The company expects to incur significant cash income tax obligations related to the gain on sale from the T-Mobile transaction, estimated between $225 to $325 million, which could impact cash flow.
Severance Obligations Impact: There are expected severance obligations for employees not retained by T-Mobile, which may include cash obligations for accrued wages, bonuses, and other benefits, adding to financial liabilities.
Increased Legal and Advisory Costs: The company anticipates incurring additional legal, advisory, and investment banking fees in 2025 and 2026 related to the pending transactions, which could further strain financial resources.
USM FAQs
How does USM typically perform around its earnings report dates?
USM's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -1.81% change leading up to the report and a +1.42% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is United States Cellular Corp (USM) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
USM Earning Call Sentiment
United States Cellular Corporation (NYSE:USM) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

USM.N
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