AMTM Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how AMTM performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AMTM sees a +0.34% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -11.56% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +3.17%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
AMTM Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
2.21B
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Gross Margin
6.41%
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Operating Margin
0.21%
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Net Margin
1.01%
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EPS
0.17
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No Data Available
AMTM Earnings Analysis
Amentum Holdings, Inc. Corporation (AMTM.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Revenue and EBITDA Growth: For the full year, we delivered revenues of $13.9 billion, representing 4% organic growth and adjusted EBITDA of $1.05 billion, representing 7% year-over-year growth, driven by a 20-basis-point year-over-year margin improvement.
Backlog and Revenue Coverage: We ended fiscal year 2024 with $45 billion in backlog, representing 3.2 times annual revenue coverage.
Strong Net Bookings Performance: Net bookings totaled $12 billion, which further underscores the strength of our end markets and the full lifecycle solutions we provide for our diverse base of customers.
Strong Pro Forma Results: We reported strong pro forma financial results above our Capital Markets Day expectations, with robust revenues of $13.9 billion, representing 4% organic growth.
Backlog and Revenue Coverage: Fiscal year 2024 ending backlog was $45 billion, representing 3.2 times annual revenue coverage.
Negative
Backlog and Revenue Challenges: Fiscal year 2024 ended with $45 billion in backlog, representing 3.2 times annual revenue coverage, indicating potential challenges in revenue realization.
Net Bookings Performance: Net bookings totaled $12 billion, which underscores the strength of our end markets but also highlights the need for effective execution to convert these into revenue.
Adjusted EBITDA Increase: The adjusted EBITDA was $1.05 billion, reflecting a 7% year-over-year increase, but this was partially offset by expected wind-downs of historical programs.
Future Growth Concerns: The fiscal year 2024 results reflect a strong performance, but the anticipated wind-down of certain historical programs may impact future growth.
Bid Submission Concerns: The company expects to submit over $35 billion of bids in fiscal year 2025, but with only 8% of revenues expected to come from new business, this raises concerns about dependency on existing contracts.
AMTM FAQs
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AMTM Earning Call Sentiment
Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
1.0x
00:00
00:00
AMTM.N
-0.77%Positive
The earnings call shows mixed signals: strong revenue growth and EBITDA improvement are positive, but competitive pressures, regulatory issues, and supply chain challenges pose risks. The absence of a share repurchase program and unclear management responses to certain risks add uncertainty. Despite optimistic guidance, the Q4 book-to-bill ratio below 1 and pending bid awards may delay revenue. Overall, the balance of strong financial performance and significant risks suggests a neutral stock price movement.
