Should I Buy ConocoPhillips Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. COP has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
COP stock price ended at $95.5 on Tuesday, after rising 0.53%
The ConocoPhillips stock price increased by 0.53% on the last trading day (17 Jun 2025), rising from 95.925 to 95.5. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.03% , ranging from a day low of $94.825 to a day high of 96.75. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 8.63% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -862.27K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 9.47M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 906.11M.
COP Technical Signals
COP(ConocoPhillips Corp) has 4 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-06-13. The total price change during this trend is -1.51%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of COP over the last 5 trading days is 1.02B. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
COP Moving Average Analysis
ConocoPhillips's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Wednesday, June 18, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $99.64740866666668, and $104.62066666666668. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $83.55592466666667, and $78.58266666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
COP Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of ConocoPhillips(COP) as of 16 Jun 2025 is 14.95%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 96.96 to 95.00. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
4
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
5.18
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
7.59
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
1.436
Bullish
Moving Average
10-day SMA crosses above 60-day SMA
--
Bullish
4 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
82.58
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
138.119
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
87.462
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-19.763
Bearish
COP Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to ConocoPhillips(COP), our algorithm predicts COP's 1-month price at $92.39, with an -4.71%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 94.39%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for ConocoPhillips (COP.N) stock, as of Sunday, June 15, 2025 , forecasts a -4.71% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with CIB.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.39%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
COP
No Data
CIB
Down: -4.71%Similarity: 94.39%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
CIB.N
94.39%
-4.71%
SBS.N
93.62%
+3.71%
MRCY.O
93.41%
+2.05%
HNRG.O
92.78%
+20.76%
SOTK.O
92.50%
-17.12%
PBYI.O
92.50%
-2.65%
COP Seasonality Analysis
Based on COP's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in June is46.67%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in COP. In contrast,Februaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at61.54%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying ConocoPhillips (COP.N) stock in February has the highest probability of a positive return (61.54%), while July has the lowest probability (38.46%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows ConocoPhillips. (COP)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy ConocoPhillips (COP.N) stock?
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