COP Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how COP performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, COP sees a +2.96% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.44% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.45%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
COP Key Earning Data
COP Earnings Analysis
Positive
Earnings Per Share Beat: ConocoPhillips reported an EPS of $2.09, beating expectations of $2.05, indicating strong financial performance.
Production Exceeds Guidance: The company produced 2.389 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, exceeding the high end of production guidance for the quarter.
Lower 48 Oil Production: In the Lower 48 region, production averaged 1.462 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, with significant contributions from the Permian, Eagle Ford, and Bakken regions.
Strong Cash Flow Generation: ConocoPhillips generated $5.5 billion in cash from operations, demonstrating robust cash flow generation.
Shareholder Returns Strategy: The company returned $2.5 billion to shareholders in the first quarter, including $1.5 billion in buybacks and $1 billion in dividends, consistent with their long-term track record of returning 45% of cash flow to shareholders.
Capital Expenditure Reduction: Capital expenditures were reduced to $3.4 billion, reflecting ongoing capital efficiency improvements and plan optimization.
Capital Allocation Success: The company has a disciplined capital allocation framework and is executing well on its integration of Marathon Oil, progressing ahead of schedule.
Production Growth Outlook: ConocoPhillips expects to maintain low single-digit production growth for the year despite lower capital spending, showcasing operational resilience.
Strong Financial Position: The company has a strong balance sheet with $7.5 billion in cash and short-term investments, positioning it well for future investments and shareholder returns.
Negative
Economic Uncertainty and Volatility: The macro environment is marked by uncertainty and volatility, with revised lower outlooks for global economic growth and oil demand.
OPEC Plus Cuts Impact: OPEC plus is unwinding voluntary cuts quicker than expected, leading to softened oil prices compared to the first quarter.
Increased Corporate Tax Rate: The company expects a higher effective corporate tax rate than previously guided, due to geographic mix.
Lower APLNG Distributions Expected: Full year APLNG distributions are now expected to be lower at $800 million, primarily due to lower pricing.
Cash Flow Outlook: There is an anticipated modest use of cash on a full year basis, including an operating working capital outflow of $800 million in the second quarter.
COP FAQs
How does COP typically perform around its earnings report dates?
COP's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a +2.96% change leading up to the report and a +0.44% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is Conocophillips (COP) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
COP Earning Call Sentiment
ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

COP.N
2.05%