stocks logo

COP Earnings

Conocophillips
$
85.350
-0.250(-0.290%)
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
  • Earnings

Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Conocophillips(COP) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Conocophillips earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
FY2025Q12025-05-08Pre-Market2.062.09+1.4615.91B17.10B+7.48+1.27+7.37
FY2024Q42025-02-06Pre-Market1.901.98+4.2114.22B14.74B+3.62-0.27-1.81
FY2024Q32024-10-31Pre-Market1.681.78+5.9513.57B13.60B+0.24+6.37+10.34
FY2024Q22024-08-01-2.061.98-3.8814.73B14.14B-4.05-2.53-3.84
FY2024Q12024-05-02-1.992.03+2.0114.96B14.48B-3.23-1.68-1.03
FY2023Q42024-02-08-2.082.40+15.3816.16B15.31B-5.25+1.41-1.96
FY2023Q32023-11-02-2.042.16+5.8814.78B14.87B+0.59+4.59-1.90
FY2023Q22023-08-03-1.941.84-5.1515.03B12.88B-14.28-0.52+0.74
-2023-05-04-2.022.38+17.82---+1.32+4.56
-2023-02-02-2.722.71-0.37----5.44-5.87

COP Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Conocophillips reported performance for FY2025Q1, announced on 2025-05-08. The company achieved an EPS of 2.09, compared to analyst estimates of 2.06 by 1.46% . Revenue for the quarter reached 17.10B compared to expectations of 15.91B by 7.48% .
The stock price reacted with a 1.27% one-day change and a 7.37% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Conocophillips growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

COP Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Conocophillips(COP) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q2 project quarter revenue of 14.41B and an EPS of 1.39.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -3.44%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -22.01%. For the upcoming Q2 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -4.56% . These revisions correlate with a -7.86% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Conocophillips long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between COP's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-3.44%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-22.01%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q2 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-4.56%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-7.86%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:59.59B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:6.40
Stock Price85.35

COP Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Conocophillips revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-08,Pre-Market):
EPS: 2.09 (Actual) vs.2.06 (Estimate) (1.46%)
Revenue: 17.10B (Actual) vs. 15.91B (Estimate) (7.48%)
Price Reaction: 1.27%(1-Day), 7.37%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-02-06,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.98 (Actual) vs.1.90 (Estimate) (4.21%)
Revenue: 14.74B (Actual) vs. 14.22B (Estimate) (3.62%)
Price Reaction: -0.27%(1-Day), -1.81%(5-Day)
FY2024Q3 (2024-10-31,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.78 (Actual) vs.1.68 (Estimate) (5.95%)
Revenue: 13.60B (Actual) vs. 13.57B (Estimate) (0.24%)
Price Reaction: 6.37%(1-Day), 10.34%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how COP performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, COP sees a +2.96% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.46% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.45%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in MAR/2025, the stock changed -0.26% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -3.03% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.

Transcript Summary

Conocophillips (COP) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-09
The earnings call summary presents a mixed picture: strong production growth and shareholder returns are positive, but higher tax rates and budget cuts raise concerns. The Q&A reveals efficiency improvements but lacks clarity on potential shareholder return increases and budget cut specifics. The absence of a new partnership or significant guidance changes tempers expectations. Without a market cap, a neutral sentiment is likely, as the positives and negatives balance out, suggesting a stock price movement within the -2% to 2% range.
Conocophillips (COP) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-08
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Positive aspects include the 4% production growth, $1 billion synergies from Marathon, and a commitment to $10 billion in shareholder returns. However, concerns arise from higher cash taxes, a $500 million budget cut, and the potential need to use cash reserves for capital returns. The Q&A highlighted a lack of clarity in management's responses, especially regarding capital flexibility and budget impacts. Without a clear market cap, and given these mixed signals, a neutral stock price movement is expected over the next two weeks.
Conocophillips (COP) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-07
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance with EPS exceeding expectations, robust production growth, and significant shareholder returns. The acquisition and integration of Marathon Oil show potential for future synergies and capital optimization. Despite concerns about CapEx reduction and market volatility, the company's guidance and strategic debt management are positive. The Q&A section provided additional confidence in management's strategy, though some responses were vague. Overall, strong financial metrics, optimistic guidance, and shareholder-friendly actions suggest a positive stock price movement.
ConocoPhillips (COP) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-31
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with record cash flow, robust shareholder returns, and a solid liquidity position. The Q&A reveals positive synergies and dividend growth, although some ambiguity exists in capital allocation and supply-demand outlook. Overall, the optimistic guidance and strong financial metrics suggest a positive stock price movement.

FAQ

arrow icon

What were the key highlights of COP’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q1?

COP reported its FY2025Q1 earnings on 2025-05-08, showcasing a revenue of 17.10B against an estimate of 15.91B, resulting in a 7.48% surprise. The EPS was 2.09, surpassing the expected 2.06 by 1.46% . The stock experienced a 1.27% price change on the earnings day and a 7.37% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
arrow icon

How did COP’s stock price react after the FY2025Q1 earnings release?

arrow icon

What are the revenue and EPS estimates for COP for 2025/Q2?

arrow icon

How does COP’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

arrow icon

What should investors expect from COP’s next earnings report?

arrow icon

What is the sentiment in Conocophillips (COP) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary?