CENX Valuation

Century Aluminum Co

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22.330

-0.05(-0.223%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

CENX Relative Valuation

CENX's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, CENX is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Century Aluminum Co (CENX) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.82 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 17.82. The fair price of Century Aluminum Co (CENX) is between 10.52 to 18.42 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 22.28 USD , Century Aluminum Co is Overvalued By 20.94%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

10.52-18.42

Current Price：22.28

20.94%

Overvalued

8.86

Trailing

Forward

5.40

EV/EBITDA

Century Aluminum Co. (CENX) has a current EV/EBITDA of 5.40. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 4.04. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -28.35, Undervalued between -28.35 and -12.16, Fairly Valued between 20.24 and -12.16, Overvalued between 20.24 and 36.44, and Strongly Overvalued above 36.44. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 5.40 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

8.12

EV/EBIT

Century Aluminum Co. (CENX) has a current EV/EBIT of 8.12. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 4.95. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -55.02, Undervalued between -55.02 and -25.04, Fairly Valued between 34.93 and -25.04, Overvalued between 34.93 and 64.91, and Strongly Overvalued above 64.91. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 8.12 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.81

Century Aluminum Co. (CENX) has a current PS of 0.81. The 5-year average PS is 0.53. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.17, Undervalued between 0.17 and 0.35, Fairly Valued between 0.71 and 0.35, Overvalued between 0.71 and 0.89, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.89. The current Forward PS of 0.81 falls within the Overvalued range.

5.47

P/OCF

Century Aluminum Co. (CENX) has a current P/OCF of 5.47. The 5-year average P/OCF is 21.49. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -37.39, Undervalued between -37.39 and -7.95, Fairly Valued between 50.92 and -7.95, Overvalued between 50.92 and 80.36, and Strongly Overvalued above 80.36. The current Forward P/OCF of 5.47 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

6.57

P/FCF

Century Aluminum Co. (CENX) has a current P/FCF of 6.57. The 5-year average P/FCF is 2.42. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -54.66, Undervalued between -54.66 and -26.12, Fairly Valued between 30.97 and -26.12, Overvalued between 30.97 and 59.51, and Strongly Overvalued above 59.51. The current Forward P/FCF of 6.57 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Century Aluminum Co (CENX) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 2.88. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.33 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 23.90% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 2.56, the current P/B ratio is about 12.65% higher. Century Aluminum Co (CENX) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -1.03%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -5.63%, the current FCF yield is approximately -81.73% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -4.83% , the current FCF yield is about -78.70% lower.

2.88

P/B

Median3y

2.33

Median5y

2.56

-1.04

FCF Yield

Median3y

-5.63

Median5y

-4.83

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for CENX's competitors is 0.48, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Century Aluminum Co Corp (CENX) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.81, which is 69.87% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 12.00%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of CENX increased by 55.85% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 15.30 to 18.66.

The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed 21.85%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of CENX in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

12.00%

560.80M → 628.10M

Revenue Growth

21.85%

-1.19 → -1.45

Margin Expansion

22.00%

15.30 → 18.66

P/E Change

55.85%