Should I Buy Century Aluminum Co Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. CENX has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
CENX stock price ended at $16.79 on Friday, after losing -2.67%
The Century Aluminum Co stock price decreased by -2.67% on the last trading day (Friday Apr 2025), dropping from 16.81 to 16.79. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.59% , ranging from a day low of $16.6101 to a day high of 17.04. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 14.69% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -410.20K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 768.02K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 12.95M.
CENX Technical Signals
CENX(Century Aluminum Co Corp) has 2 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-04-23. The total price change during this trend is -0.47%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of CENX over the last 5 trading days is 20.38M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a outlook in the mid-term.
CENX Moving Average Analysis
Century Aluminum Co's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Monday, April 28, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $17.88, and $18.94. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $14.43, and $13.36. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
CENX Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Century Aluminum Co(CENX) as of is %, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from to . The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
5
Buy
2
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
2 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
2.15
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA
--
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
84.1
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-1.09
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.5
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
96.66
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-17.44
Bearish
CENX Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Century Aluminum Co(CENX), our algorithm predicts CENX's 1-month price at $0, with an 0%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 0%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Century Aluminum Co (CENX.O) stock, as of Invalid Date , forecasts a % change over the next month, based on its high correlation with stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is %. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
CENX
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
No Data
CENX Seasonality Analysis
Based on CENX's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in April is45.45%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in CENX. In contrast,offers the highest probability of positive returns at54.55%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Century Aluminum Co (CENX.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while August has the lowest probability (20.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Century Aluminum Co. (CENX)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
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