Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Century Aluminum Co(CENX) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Century Aluminum Co earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate
Surprise Analysis
| FY2025Q3 | 2025-11-06 | After Hours | 0.79 | 0.56 | -29.11 | 629.85M | 632.20M | +0.37 | +14.04 | +2.04 |
| FY2025Q2 | 2025-08-07 | After Hours | 0.34 | 0.30 | -11.76 | 611.35M | 628.10M | +2.74 | +1.63 | +5.21 |
| FY2025Q1 | 2025-05-07 | After Hours | 0.53 | 0.36 | -32.08 | 527.00M | 633.90M | +20.28 | -1.96 | +8.60 |
| FY2024Q4 | 2025-02-20 | After Hours | 0.30 | 0.49 | +63.33 | 515.27M | 631.00M | +22.46 | -13.27 | -3.34 |
| FY2024Q3 | 2024-11-04 | After Hours | 0.32 | 0.63 | +96.88 | 553.05M | 539.10M | -2.52 | +20.01 | +26.34 |
| FY2024Q2 | 2024-08-08 | After Hours | 0.02 | 0.01 | -50.00 | 495.97M | 560.80M | +13.07 | -2.47 | +4.87 |
| FY2024Q1 | 2024-05-01 | - | -0.19 | -0.39 | -105.26 | 473.77M | 489.50M | +3.32 | -7.72 | +1.15 |
| FY2023Q4 | 2024-02-21 | - | -0.23 | 0.30 | +230.43 | 487.70M | 512.30M | +5.04 | +3.82 | +0.88 |
| FY2023Q3 | 2023-11-08 | - | -0.19 | -0.13 | +31.58 | 514.10M | 545.20M | +6.05 | -1.08 | +15.67 |
| FY2023Q2 | 2023-08-09 | - | -0.12 | 0.16 | +233.33 | 523.00M | 575.50M | +10.04 | +0.11 | -13.14 |
CENX Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Century Aluminum Co reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-06. The company achieved an EPS of 0.56, compared to analyst estimates of 0.79 by -29.11% . Revenue for the quarter reached 632.20M compared to expectations of 629.85M by 0.37% .
The stock price reacted with a 14.04% one-day change and a 2.04% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Century Aluminum Co growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
CENX Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, Century Aluminum Co(CENX) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 649.23M and an EPS of 1.21.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.78%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 0.85%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -5.62% . These revisions correlate with a 39.70% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Century Aluminum Co long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between CENX's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-0.78%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+0.85%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
-5.62%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
+39.70%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.54B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.37
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Stock Price30.86
CENX Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
Century Aluminum Co revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-06,After Hours):
EPS: 0.56 (Actual) vs.0.79 (Estimate) (-29.11%)
Revenue: 632.20M (Actual) vs. 629.85M (Estimate) (0.37%)
Price Reaction: 14.04%(1-Day), 2.04%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-07,After Hours):
EPS: 0.30 (Actual) vs.0.34 (Estimate) (-11.76%)
Revenue: 628.10M (Actual) vs. 611.35M (Estimate) (2.74%)
Price Reaction: 1.63%(1-Day), 5.21%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-07,After Hours):
EPS: 0.36 (Actual) vs.0.53 (Estimate) (-32.08%)
Revenue: 633.90M (Actual) vs. 527.00M (Estimate) (20.28%)
Price Reaction: -1.96%(1-Day), 8.60%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how CENX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CENX sees a +1.62% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +3.32% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.10%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 14.04% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -9.63% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
Century Aluminum Co (CENX) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-07
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with increased net sales, net income, and adjusted EBITDA. The restart and new smelter projects, along with positive market outlooks, suggest growth potential. Despite some operational challenges, management's optimistic guidance and strategic plans, including shareholder returns through buybacks, contribute to a positive sentiment. The Q&A session reinforces this with management's confident responses on growth and capital allocation, despite some uncertainties. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives, suggesting a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
Century Aluminum Co (CENX) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-08-08
The earnings call presents mixed signals. The decrease in net sales and net loss are negative factors, but increased liquidity and shipments provide some optimism. The Q&A section reveals management's lack of transparency on economic incentives and site selection, raising concerns. However, positive factors include the expected benefit from the 45x credit and potential EBITDA growth. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, as the company's financial health and strategic initiatives show both strengths and weaknesses.
Century Aluminum Co (CENX) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-07
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: stable financial performance with strong liquidity and debt reduction, but offset by one-time costs and lack of clear guidance on future cost benefits. The Q&A reveals some concerns about cost pressures and lack of clarity on future savings. Despite positive elements like increased shipments and pricing, the absence of strong forward guidance or new partnerships tempers the outlook. Thus, the stock is likely to remain neutral in the short term.
Century Aluminum Company (CENX) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-05
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with increased adjusted EBITDA and net income. Despite a decrease in net sales due to operational issues, the company has managed to improve liquidity and expects additional benefits from tax credits. The Q&A session highlighted management's cautious approach to capacity restarts and asset repurposing, with analysts showing interest in the company's strategic decisions. Although there are some operational challenges and liquidity concerns, the overall sentiment is positive, with optimistic guidance and potential for future growth.
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FAQ
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