Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent developments, here's a concise analysis of AZPN stock:

Current Situation Emerson Electric has made a final offer of $265 per share to acquire the remaining shares of Aspen Technology. This tender offer is set to expire on March 10, 2025, and requires majority approval from minority shareholders.

Key Considerations

• Elliott Investment Management has recently opposed the acquisition, having invested over $1.5 billion in Aspen Technology
• Emerson already holds a 57% stake in Aspen and has stated they will maintain their majority ownership if the tender offer fails
• The $265 per share offer represents a premium to current trading levels

Technical Analysis

• Current price shows consolidation around $264-265 level
• RSI (14) at 58.08 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD shows slightly bullish momentum with 3.47 reading
• Support levels at $263.53 (Fibonacci S1) and resistance at $274.24 (Fibonacci R1)

Recommendation SELL - Given the tender offer at $265 and limited upside potential beyond this price, selling at current levels around $264 is recommended. The risk/reward ratio doesn't favor holding, as the downside risk could be significant if the tender offer fails.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for AZPN stock in 2025:

AZPN is expected to reach $309 by end of 2025, representing a 16.7% upside from current price of $264.78, driven by continued growth in industrial software solutions and AI integration. The company's strong position in process optimization and asset management software provides sustainable competitive advantages.

Key Growth Drivers:

1. Industrial Software Dominance: Aspen Technology maintains its leadership in industrial software solutions, particularly in process optimization and asset management. The company's deep domain expertise and innovation in asset-intensive industries positions it well for continued growth.

2. AI Integration: The company is actively expanding its AI capabilities and cloud computing offerings through AWS, which should drive higher margins and recurring revenue streams. This aligns with broader industry trends toward digital transformation.

3. Strong Financial Performance: Recent Q2 FY2025 results exceeded expectations with adjusted EPS of $2.06 vs consensus of $1.84, demonstrating operational efficiency and pricing power.

Technical Analysis:

• Current price shows strong support at $247.65 level
• RSI at 58.08 indicates moderate bullish momentum without being overbought
• MACD shows positive trend with slight bullish divergence

Risk Factors:

• Potential economic slowdown affecting industrial clients
• Increasing competition in industrial software space
• Integration risks from recent acquisitions

The S1 support level for AZPN Stock is $263.77 ,The R1 resistant level for AZPN Stock is $274.17.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-21, the price of AZPN Stock was $263.9.

The target price for AZPN Stock according to analyst rating is 290.00, with the highest price target at 315.00 and the lowest at 265.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on AZPN Stock overall.

The market cap of AZPN is $16.7B.

Based on the provided data and recent analyst coverage, here's a concise analysis of AZPN's valuation:

AZPN appears to be trading at premium multiples with a P/E of 33.44x and EV/EBITDA of 10.37x, suggesting relatively high valuation levels compared to historical averages.

The stock is currently showing mixed technical signals with RSI-14 at 58.08 indicating neutral momentum, while trading above all major moving averages (SMA 200/250) suggesting overall bullish long-term trend.

KeyBanc maintains a Hold rating with a price target of $241, implying potential downside from current levels around $264.

The stock's current price level near $264 is testing resistance near its 52-week high of $265.05, suggesting limited upside potential without significant fundamental catalysts.

Given the premium valuation metrics and limited upside potential based on technical analysis and analyst targets, AZPN appears moderately overvalued at current levels.

Aspen Technology, Inc. is an industrial software company. The Company develops solutions to address complex industrial environments where it is critical to optimize the asset design, operations and maintenance lifecycle. The Company combines modeling, simulation, and optimization capabilities with industrial operations expertise and applies advanced analytics to improve the profitability and sustainability of production assets. It operates through three segments: OSI, Inc., SSE and Heritage AspenTech. It offers products for asset performance management, manufacturing and supply chain, performance engineering, subsurface science & engineering and artificial intelligence of things hub (AIoT). Its products include Aspen Mtell, Aspen Fidelis, Aspen ProMV, Aspen Process Pulse, Aspen Unscrambler, Aspen DMC3, Aspen Virtual Advisor for DMC3, Aspen Enterprise IP.21 Historian, Aspen GDOT, Aspen Unified Reconciliation and Accounting, Aspen PIMS-AO and others.

Based on the available data and recent developments, here's the 2030 price prediction for AZPN stock:

AZPN stock is projected to reach $385-395 by 2030, representing a 45-50% increase from current levels. This forecast is primarily driven by Emerson's current $265 per share acquisition offer and the company's strong position in industrial software solutions, particularly in AI integration.

The recent activist investor Elliott Management's opposition to Emerson's $7.2 billion tender offer suggests significant untapped value potential, indicating the stock could be worth more than the current offer price.

AZPN has a total of 3900 employees.