Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that TMHC stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $60.94, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $62.01. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $64.12. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $64.63, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $89.51. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. TMHC has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
TMHC stock price ended at $60.92 on Tuesday, after rising0.54%
The Taylor Morrison Home Corp stock price increased by 0.54% on the last trading day (29 Jul 2025), rising from 60.59 to 60.59. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.92% , ranging from a day low of $59.81 to a day high of 60.96. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -6.11% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -361.29K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.14M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 68.76M.
TMHC Technical Signals
TMHC(Taylor Morrison Home Corp Corp) has 7 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-07-22. The total price change during this trend is -9.32%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of TMHC over the last 5 trading days is 120.34M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
Taylor Morrison Home Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Tuesday, July 29, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $68.02, and $71.04. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $58.24, and $55.22. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
TMHC Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Taylor Morrison Home Corp(TMHC) as of 25 Jul 2025 is 20.63%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 60.72 to 60.75. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Strong buy
Sell
3
Buy
7
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Negative
SMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Negative
SMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
7 Bullish Signals
7 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20
11.57
Bullish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-147.293
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
1.175
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.362
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
0.139
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-85.335
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 10-day SMA
--
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
In 2026, Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $40.67 and $89.93.
Taylor Morrison Home Corp Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: TMHC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -9.94%
In Jan 2026, Taylor Morrison Home Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $54.06. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $47.33 and a high of $61.40.
Feb 2026: TMHC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 16.98%
In Feb 2026, Taylor Morrison Home Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $70.22. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $61.05 and a high of $78.93.
Mar 2026: TMHC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 19.54%
In Mar 2026, Taylor Morrison Home Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $71.76. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $53.46 and a high of $76.09.
Apr 2026: TMHC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 23.93%
In Apr 2026, Taylor Morrison Home Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $74.40. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $65.23 and a high of $89.93.
May 2026: TMHC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 23.93%
In May 2026, Taylor Morrison Home Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $74.40. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $74.01 and a high of $83.27.
Jun 2026: TMHC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 18.24%
In Jun 2026, Taylor Morrison Home Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $70.98. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $68.29 and a high of $79.22.
Jul 2026: TMHC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 7.67%
In Jul 2026, Taylor Morrison Home Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $64.63. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $58.58 and a high of $75.07.
Aug 2026: TMHC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 19.04%
In Aug 2026, Taylor Morrison Home Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $71.46. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $58.51 and a high of $73.68.
Sep 2026: TMHC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -9.94%
In Sep 2026, Taylor Morrison Home Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $54.06. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $48.43 and a high of $54.23.
Oct 2026: TMHC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 23.93%
In Oct 2026, Taylor Morrison Home Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $74.40. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $72.04 and a high of $82.28.
Nov 2026: TMHC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -9.94%
In Nov 2026, Taylor Morrison Home Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $54.06. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $40.67 and a high of $65.30.
Dec 2026: TMHC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -9.94%
In Dec 2026, Taylor Morrison Home Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $54.06. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $52.24 and a high of $70.69.
TMHC Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Taylor Morrison Home Corp(TMHC), our algorithm predicts TMHC's 1-month price at $56.73, with an -6.61%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 92.39%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC.N) stock, as of Sunday, July 27, 2025 , forecasts a -6.61% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with AUPH.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.39%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
Based on TMHC's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in July is54.55%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in TMHC. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while October has the lowest probability (30.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Taylor Morrison Home Corp. (TMHC)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
Should I buy Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. TMHC has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while October has the lowest probability (30.00%).
How has Taylor Morrison Home Corp. (TMHC)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
TMHC's stock price rose by 70.77% in 2023,increased by 16.13% in 2024, and went up by 0.61%in 2025.
Bearish technical signals of TMHC include: MOM_10 < 0, 5-day SMA crosses below 200-day SMA, 10-day SMA crosses below 200-day SMA.
Is TMHC a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
TMHC has 7 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for TMHC is Strong buy . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of TMHC.
What is the trend of Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC)'s moving average?
Taylor Morrison Home Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of July 29 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal.
What is price prediction for TMHC stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC.N) stock, as of July 27 2025, forecasts a -6.61% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with AUPH stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.39%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for TMHC Stock?
Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC) is expected to reach a price of **$62** by the end of 2025. This prediction is supported by strong demand in the homebuilding sector, with TMHC benefiting from a favorable market position and positive sentiment from analysts.
What is price prediction 2030 for TMHC Stock?
Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC) is predicted to reach **$90 per share** by 2030, driven by strong demand in the homebuilding sector and its solid fundamentals. The stock is currently undervalued with a forward P/E of 7.46, indicating room for growth.