TMHC Valuation

Taylor Morrison Home Corp

Add to Watchlist

Advanced Chart

67.370

+0.06(0.089%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

TMHC Relative Valuation

TMHC's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, TMHC is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 9.53 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 5.92. The fair price of Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC) is between 47.64 to 67.72 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

47.64-67.72

Current Price：67.37

Fair

9.53

Trailing

Forward

8.22

EV/EBITDA

Taylor Morrison Home Corp. (TMHC) has a current EV/EBITDA of 8.22. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 6.01. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.29, Undervalued between 3.29 and 4.65, Fairly Valued between 7.36 and 4.65, Overvalued between 7.36 and 8.72, and Strongly Overvalued above 8.72. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 8.22 falls within the Overvalued range.

9.45

EV/EBIT

Taylor Morrison Home Corp. (TMHC) has a current EV/EBIT of 9.45. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 7.17. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.45, Undervalued between 3.45 and 5.31, Fairly Valued between 9.02 and 5.31, Overvalued between 9.02 and 10.88, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.88. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 9.45 falls within the Overvalued range.

0.87

Taylor Morrison Home Corp. (TMHC) has a current PS of 0.87. The 5-year average PS is 0.60. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.25, Undervalued between 0.25 and 0.42, Fairly Valued between 0.77 and 0.42, Overvalued between 0.77 and 0.94, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.94. The current Forward PS of 0.87 falls within the Overvalued range.

11.75

P/OCF

Taylor Morrison Home Corp. (TMHC) has a current P/OCF of 11.75. The 5-year average P/OCF is 12.80. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -13.51, Undervalued between -13.51 and -0.35, Fairly Valued between 25.96 and -0.35, Overvalued between 25.96 and 39.12, and Strongly Overvalued above 39.12. The current Forward P/OCF of 11.75 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

10.20

P/FCF

Taylor Morrison Home Corp. (TMHC) has a current P/FCF of 10.20. The 5-year average P/FCF is 4.76. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -4.73, Undervalued between -4.73 and 0.02, Fairly Valued between 9.51 and 0.02, Overvalued between 9.51 and 14.25, and Strongly Overvalued above 14.25. The current Forward P/FCF of 10.20 falls within the Overvalued range.

Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.10. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.01 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 8.84% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.99, the current P/B ratio is about 11.65% higher. Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 7.37%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 14.74%, the current FCF yield is approximately -49.99% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 16.59% , the current FCF yield is about -55.58% lower.

1.10

P/B

Median3y

1.01

Median5y

0.99

7.37

FCF Yield

Median3y

14.74

Median5y

16.59

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for TMHC's competitors is 1.34, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Taylor Morrison Home Corp Corp (TMHC) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.87, which is -35.22% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 1.96%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

TMHC.N

Taylor Morrison Home Corp

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of TMHC increased by 0.06% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 7.62 to 7.77.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 1.96%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of TMHC in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

1.96%

1.99B → 2.03B

Revenue Growth

-3.88%

10.04 → 9.65

Margin Expansion

1.98%

7.62 → 7.77

P/E Change

0.06%