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  5. ARCO
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ARCO

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    Overview
    Forecast
    Valuation
    Earnings
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
1.26B
+10%
0.237
-15.22%
1.18B
+9.45%
0.000
-100%
1.23B
+7.55%
0.000
-100%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 0.17% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 9.00%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.17%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-8.75%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
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+9.00%
In Past 3 Month
Wall Street analysts forecast ARCO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARCO is 8.37 USD with a low forecast of 7.90 USD and a high forecast of 8.70 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ARCO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARCO is 8.37 USD with a low forecast of 7.90 USD and a high forecast of 8.70 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 7.630
sliders
Low
7.90
Averages
8.37
High
8.70
Current: 7.630
sliders
Low
7.90
Averages
8.37
High
8.70
JPMorgan
Neutral
downgrade
2025-11-11
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
2025-11-11
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan lowered the firm's price target on Arcos Dorados to $8.70 from $8.80 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares as part of a Q3 preview. The firm says the company's momentum is still lagging in Brazil.
Bradesco BBI
Pedro Pinto
Outperform -> Neutral
downgrade
$8.50
2025-11-02
Reason
Bradesco BBI
Pedro Pinto
Price Target
$8.50
2025-11-02
downgrade
Outperform -> Neutral
Reason
Bradesco BBI analyst Pedro Pinto downgraded Arcos Dorados to Neutral from Outperform with an $8.50 price target.
JPMorgan
Froylan Mendez
Overweight -> Neutral
downgrade
2025-07-02
Reason
JPMorgan
Froylan Mendez
Price Target
2025-07-02
downgrade
Overweight -> Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Froylan Mendez downgraded Arcos Dorados to Neutral from Overweight with a price target of $8.80, down from $10.50. For Arcos, the firm thinks Brazil will keep missing expectations as the inflection point should only come by next year. The firm is adopting a relative preference in the QSR sector towards Alsea over Arcos as it sees an inflection point in operational momentum in Q2 for the former driven by improved same-store sales in both Mexico and Europe, the analyst tells investors.
See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO.N) is 11.95, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 13.99. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc 's fair value, click here.
  • Forward PE
  • Forward EV/EBITDA
  • Forward PS

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Fair
5Y Average PE
13.99
Current PE
11.95
Overvalued PE
25.92
Undervalued PE
2.07

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
7.88
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
9.72
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
6.05

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PS
0.42
Current PS
0.00
Overvalued PS
0.49
Undervalued PS
0.35
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Financials

Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
FCF Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC

Trading Trends

  • Insider
  • Hedge Fund
  • Congress Trading
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
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ARCO News & Events

Events Timeline

(ET)
2025-11-12
07:40:32
Arcos Dorados Announces Q3 Earnings Per Share of 71 Cents, Exceeding Consensus of 13 Cents
select
2025-08-13 (ET)
2025-08-13
07:22:16
Arcos Dorados reports Q2 EPS 11c, consensus 7c
select
2025-06-06 (ET)
2025-06-06
16:02:52
Arcos Dorados names Luis Raganato as CEO, succeeding Marcelo Rabach
select
Sign Up For More Events
Sign Up For More Events

News

[object Object]
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3.0
11-27NASDAQ.COM
Validea's Leading Consumer Discretionary Stocks According to Martin Zweig - November 27, 2025
  • Top Rated Consumer Discretionary Stocks: Validea's Growth Investor model highlights New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU) as a leading stock with a 77% rating, indicating strong fundamentals and valuation, while TJX Companies (TJX) and Arko Corp. (ARKO) both received 69% ratings, suggesting moderate interest based on their fundamentals.

  • Company Descriptions: New Oriental focuses on educational services and products, TJX operates off-price apparel and home fashions retail, Arko runs convenience stores and fuel wholesaling, and Arcos Dorados is a major McDonald's franchisee in Latin America.

  • Stock Ratings Overview: The ratings for these companies reflect their performance against Martin Zweig's investment strategy, with scores above 80% indicating strong interest, while those below suggest less favorable conditions.

  • About Martin Zweig and Validea: Martin Zweig was a successful investor known for his stock recommendation newsletter, while Validea provides investment research based on strategies from renowned investors, aiming to help users outperform the market.

[object Object]
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1.0
11-13Newsfilter
Arcos Dorados Set to Join Upcoming Investor Conference
  • Investor Event Participation: Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. will participate in the Bradesco BBI 15th CEO Forum in New York on November 18-19, 2025.

  • Company Overview: Arcos Dorados is the largest independent McDonald's franchisee globally, operating nearly 2,500 restaurants across 21 Latin American and Caribbean countries, employing over 100,000 people.

  • Community Commitment: The company focuses on community development, providing job opportunities for youth, and aims for a positive environmental impact through its "Recipe for the Future."

  • Stock Exchange Listing: Arcos Dorados is listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol ARCO.

[object Object]
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9.5
11-12Benzinga
McDonald's Franchisee Arcos Dorados Sees Q3 Boost from Latin Flavors
  • Strong Q3 Performance: Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. reported third-quarter sales of $1.192 billion, with systemwide comparable sales up 12.7% year-over-year, although it fell short of analyst expectations.

  • Profitability Boost: The company achieved earnings per share of 71 cents, significantly higher than the previous year's 17 cents, aided by a $125.2 million federal tax credit in Brazil, which is expected to enhance future cash flow.

  • Digital Growth and Expansion: Digital channel revenue increased by 11.2% year-over-year, making up 61% of total sales, while the company opened 22 new restaurants in the quarter, enhancing customer experience across its locations.

  • Positive Market Reaction: Following the earnings report, Arcos Dorados shares rose by 4.58% in premarket trading, reflecting investor confidence in the company's growth strategy and operational efficiency.

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FAQ

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What is Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO) stock price today?

The current price of ARCO is 7.63 USD — it has decreased -1.04 % in the last trading day.

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What is Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO)'s business?

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. is a McDonald's franchisee. The Company operates or franchises over 2,140 McDonald's-branded restaurants. It divides its operations into four geographical divisions: Brazil; the Caribbean division, consisting of Aruba, Colombia, Curacao, French Guiana, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Puerto Rico, Trinidad and Tobago, the United States Virgin Islands of Saint Croix and Saint Thomas, and Venezuela; the North Latin America division (NOLAD), consisting of Costa Rica, Mexico and Panama, and the South Latin America division (SLAD), consisting of Argentina, Chile, Ecuador, Peru and Uruguay. Its menus feature over three tiers of products: entry-level options, such as its Big Pleasures, Small Prices offerings and Almuerzos Colombianos (Colombian Lunches) in Colombia; core menu options, such as the Big Mac, Happy Meal and Quarter Pounder, and premium options, such as Big Tasty or Angus premium hamburgers and chicken sandwiches and low-calorie or low-sodium products.

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What is the price predicton of ARCO Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast ARCO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARCO is 8.37 USD with a low forecast of 7.90 USD and a high forecast of 8.70 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

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What is Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 1.19B USD, increased 5.22 % YoY.

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What is Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 0.71 USD, increased 317.65 % YoY.

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What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO)'s fundamentals?

The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 0.17% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 9.00%.
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How many employees does Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO). have?

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO) has 98615 emplpoyees as of December 05 2025.

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What is Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO) market cap?

Today ARCO has the market capitalization of 1.61B USD.

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