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ARCO Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc(ARCO) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-12Pre-Market0.100.71+610.001.21B1.19B-1.73+5.27+0.42
FY2025Q22025-08-13Pre-Market0.050.11+120.001.14B1.14B+0.09+9.78+6.19
FY2025Q12025-05-14Pre-Market0.130.07-46.151.05B1.08B+2.14-5.64-6.00
FY2024Q42025-03-12Pre-Market0.220.28+27.271.15B1.14B-0.69+5.38+4.49
FY2024Q22024-08-14Pre-Market0.130.13-1.06B1.11B+4.38-0.59-9.21
FY2024Q12024-05-15--0.14-1.02B1.08B+5.59-5.71-7.67
FY2023Q42024-03-13--0.27-1.17B1.18B+0.44-0.50-7.36
FY2023Q32023-11-16-0.200.30+50.001.09B1.13B+3.37+8.54+8.82
-2023-05-17-0.120.18+50.00---+8.33+3.10
-2023-03-15-0.230.26+13.04----2.49-3.36
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ARCO Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-12. The company achieved an EPS of 0.71, compared to analyst estimates of 0.10 by 610.00% . Revenue for the quarter reached 1.19B compared to expectations of 1.21B by -1.73% .
The stock price reacted with a 5.27% one-day change and a 0.42% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

ARCO Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc(ARCO) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 1.26B and an EPS of 0.13.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.17%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -8.75%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -5.43% . These revisions correlate with a 9.00% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between ARCO's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.17%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-8.75%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-5.43%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+9.00%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:4.72B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:0.51
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Stock Price7.63
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ARCO Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-12,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.71 (Actual) vs.0.10 (Estimate) (610.00%)
Revenue: 1.19B (Actual) vs. 1.21B (Estimate) (-1.73%)
Price Reaction: 5.27%(1-Day), 0.42%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-13,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.11 (Actual) vs.0.05 (Estimate) (120.00%)
Revenue: 1.14B (Actual) vs. 1.14B (Estimate) (0.09%)
Price Reaction: 9.78%(1-Day), 6.19%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-14,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.07 (Actual) vs.0.13 (Estimate) (-46.15%)
Revenue: 1.08B (Actual) vs. 1.05B (Estimate) (2.14%)
Price Reaction: -5.64%(1-Day), -6.00%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how ARCO performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ARCO sees a -3.86% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -4.49% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +2.24%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -3.43% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -3.69% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-12
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, expansion plans, and strategic investments. Positive consumer trends in key markets, easing input costs, and a promising digital ecosystem further bolster the outlook. Despite some uncertainties, such as potential taxation impacts, management's strategic flexibility and focus on profitability and market leadership suggest a positive sentiment. Given the company's market cap, the stock price is likely to react positively in the short term.
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-20
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with improved margins and robust sales growth, particularly in Mexico. Despite challenges like increased beef costs in Brazil, the company has managed to maintain market share through effective pricing and brand-building strategies. The Q&A section highlights management's confidence in maintaining margins and leveraging cost efficiencies. Additionally, the strategic focus on digitalization, new restaurant openings, and sustainability initiatives further supports a positive outlook. Given the market cap, these factors collectively suggest a stock price increase in the range of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-14
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: flat revenue, declining EBITDA, and margin pressures in Brazil are offset by strong sales in SLAD and digital growth. The Q&A reveals management's optimism but lacks clarity on margin recovery and pricing strategies. The market cap indicates moderate sensitivity to news. Overall, the financial performance and strategic updates suggest a neutral sentiment, with no strong catalysts for significant stock movement in either direction over the next two weeks.
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-03-13
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with EPS exceeding expectations, a robust balance sheet, and increased market share. The Q&A section indicates management's confidence in handling challenges like beef cost pressures. The share buyback program and high profitability outlook further enhance sentiment. Despite some competitive pressures, the overall strategy and financial health suggest a positive stock price movement, especially given the company's market cap, which indicates moderate sensitivity to news.
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-03-12
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, with record-high EBITDA and margins, along with successful market expansion, particularly in Brazil. The digital and loyalty strategies are driving growth, and the company's debt management is strategic. While there are cost pressures, particularly in Brazil, management's strategies to mitigate these are reassuring. The Q&A section reveals optimism, with strong ROI on new stores and positive sales trends. Despite some concerns about raw material costs, the overall sentiment is positive, especially given the company's market cap, suggesting a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-13
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with record high revenue, significant market share gains, and expanded margins in key regions like Brazil. Despite some margin pressure in SLAD and NOLAD, the overall sentiment is positive with optimistic guidance and strategic initiatives like digital sales growth and EOTF rollout. The Q&A section supports this sentiment with positive analyst reactions to competitive positioning and growth prospects. While there are uncertainties in labor costs and macroeconomic factors, these are not expected to significantly impact short-term performance. Given the market cap, the stock is likely to see a positive movement of 2% to 8%.
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-15
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, with revenue and market share gains, robust digital sales, and stable debt levels. The strategic focus on digital and delivery channels is yielding results, and the upcoming MFA renewal suggests long-term growth potential. Despite some margin pressures from delivery growth, overall sentiment is positive. The market cap indicates a likely moderate reaction, leading to a 'Positive' prediction for stock movement.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of ARCO’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

ARCO reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-12, showcasing a revenue of 1.19B against an estimate of 1.21B, resulting in a -1.73% surprise. The EPS was 0.71, surpassing the expected 0.1 by 610% . The stock experienced a 5.27% price change on the earnings day and a 0.42% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did ARCO’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following ARCO’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-12, the stock price moved by 5.27% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 0.42% change. Historically, ARCO’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -3.86% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -4.49% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for ARCO for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate ARCO’s annual revenue to reach 1.26B, while the EPS is projected at 0.13. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.17% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -5.43% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does ARCO’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between ARCO’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.17%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -5.43% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from ARCO’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, ARCO’s stock price typically moves by -3.86% in the 10 days before its earnings and -4.49% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.13 and revenue of 1.26B.
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What is the sentiment in Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, expansion plans, and strategic investments. Positive consumer trends in key markets, easing input costs, and a promising digital ecosystem further bolster the outlook. Despite some uncertainties, such as potential taxation impacts, management's strategic flexibility and focus on profitability and market leadership suggest a positive sentiment. Given the company's market cap, the stock price is likely to react positively in the short term.
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