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AMSF Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Amerisafe Inc (AMSF) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
33.790
1 Day change
3.24%
52 Week Range
53.270
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/26
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Amerisafe Inc (AMSF) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock lacks significant positive catalysts, has mixed financial performance, and no strong proprietary trading signals. It is recommended to hold and monitor for better entry points or stronger signals.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is positive at 0.124 and expanding, indicating a bullish momentum. However, the RSI at 47.944 is neutral, and the moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). Key support is at 32.309, and resistance is at 33.52. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a mixed trend with no strong buy signal.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • Revenue increased by 10.33% YoY in Q4 2025, indicating some growth in the company's top line.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analysts have lowered price targets, with Truist reducing it to $36 from $45 and maintaining a Hold rating. No significant hedge fund or insider trading activity. No recent news or congress trading data.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased to $80.67M (up 10.33% YoY), but net income dropped to $10.42M (-21.00% YoY), and EPS decreased to $0.55 (-20.29% YoY). Gross margin remained unchanged.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are cautious with mixed ratings. Truist lowered the price target to $36 from $45, maintaining a Hold rating due to higher accident year losses. Citizens lowered the price target to $55 from $60 but maintained an Outperform rating, citing strong returns in casualty lines despite declining property pricing.

Wall Street analysts forecast AMSF stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AMSF stock price to rise
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 33.760
sliders
Low
55
Averages
55
High
55
Current: 33.760
sliders
Low
55
Averages
55
High
55
Truist
Hold
downgrade
$45 -> $36
AI Analysis
2026-02-27
Reason
Truist
Price Target
$45 -> $36
AI Analysis
2026-02-27
downgrade
Hold
Reason
Truist lowered the firm's price target on Amerisafe to $36 from $45 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares after its Q4 earnings miss. The company's higher accident year losses were partially offset by higher premium growth, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Truist adds that its Hold rating reflects its view that the stock is fairly valued.
Citizens
Outperform
maintain
$60 -> $55
2026-01-16
Reason
Citizens
Price Target
$60 -> $55
2026-01-16
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Citizens lowered the firm's price target on Amerisafe to $55 from $60 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Fourth quarter results are expected to reflect lighter catastrophe losses and limited mark-to-market impacts, with attention focused on pricing trends amid weakness in property lines, the analyst tells investors in a research note. While property pricing is declining, returns remain strong and casualty lines continue to see solid rate increases, pointing to a market in transition rather than broadly soft, the firm says.
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